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Stocks are aiming for record highs with the US shutdown about to end

The world stock market was looking to return to record levels on Thursday, following the end of the U.S. shutdown which is the longest ever recorded. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen, under pressure from the US dollar and the euro hit record lows.

The STOXX 600 index in Europe had a difficult day. A near 1% increase from France's CAC 40 pushed both indexes up to their highest levels before profit-taking and a 5% drop by German engineering giant Siemens brought it down.

The U.S. Stock Futures fluctuated from a slight negative to a 0.2% gain, but the 47-country MSCI All World Index still held on to hope of achieving a fourth daily gain.

On Wednesday, U.S. president Donald Trump signed a bill ending the shutdown of the federal government in the Oval Office.

Next week, we can expect to see the first delayed economic data. The first data to be released could be October's payrolls, with the focus being on whether the figures will confirm recent surveys which have indicated a softening of the job market. Michael Metcalfe, State Street Global Markets, said that they were waiting for data fog to clear. However, the PriceStats data shows that inflation has rolled over, so the jobs data will drive risk sentiment.

SQUEEZED JEN

The currency markets were also active, as the dollar was slipping lower and the yen of Japan under pressure again after Wednesday's appeal by the new Japanese premier to the Bank of Japan for it to slow down rate increases.

The yen reached a record low in Asian trading of 179.49 euros and was close to a nine-month low on the dollar, at 154.66 dollars despite the reminder by the Finance Minister that the government is closely watching the currency.

The Nikkei closed at a record high of 0.4%, while the Topix index reached a new all-time level as investors moved their portfolios away from the most frothy artificial intelligence companies to purchase exposure to other sectors of the economy.

There is still debate over whether the BoJ tightens rates by the end of this year. "Our inclination would be that they will but there's a strong narrative in the market that will prove hard to break, that policy settings will encourage an even weaker yen," State Street’s Metcalfe said.

The pre-market U.S. trade was brightened by a 7% increase in the number of shares traded.

Shares rose after the company increased its profit forecast for the full year, citing signs that the artificial intelligence boom was boosting demand.

Investors have recently shifted away from the most expensive firms and into more defensive sectors such as healthcare, consumer staples and consumer goods.

Next week, the AI chip giant Nvidia will release its latest earnings which could put further pressure on the sector.

Gold held on to its recent gains, trading above $4,200, while government bond benchmarks were slightly weaker, with the U.S. 10 year yields edging higher to 4.10%, and Germany's yields at 2.67%.

OIL SPILLS

Hong Kong's Hang Seng fell slightly from its one-month high, and the Shanghai Composite gained 1% in advance of data on retail sales and credit due later this week.

In London, the mining heavy FTSE 100 fell from its all-time high on Wednesday. However, Europe's technology stocks rose 0.6% after ASML and Infineon displayed signs of recovery following steep losses last week.

The British pound shrugged data that showed its economy barely growing, and Scotland receiving its own credit rating. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar edged up as strong employment numbers bolstered the bets that the rate-cutting cycles there may be ending.

Brent crude futures rose from a three-week-low to $63.33 a barge a day after OPEC’s new forecast that a small excess to demand on the world oil markets for 2026 triggered a drop of 3.8% a day before.

Suvro Sarkar is the DBS Bank energy sector team leader. He said that "recent price weakness" seems to be caused by OPEC revising supply-demand balances for 2026. This confirms that the group has now acknowledged the possibility of an oversupply. (Stephanie Kelly contributed additional reporting from London; Sharon Singleton, Ed Osmond and Ed Osmond edited the article)

(source: Reuters)