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Euro stocks calm down after French stock selloff; Dollar recovers despite Fed independence concerns

Euro stocks calm down after French stock selloff; Dollar recovers despite Fed independence concerns

The U.S. Dollar recovered on Wednesday, despite investors' concerns about attacks on the independence of the Federal Reserve. European shares also edged up after a sharp decline the previous day, and now the focus is on earnings from AI leader Nvidia.

Concerns about the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve grew after a lawyer representing Fed Governor Lisa Cook announced that she would sue President Donald Trump for his decision to dismiss her on Monday.

The dollar recovered from its previous session's drop and was 0.3% higher against a basket currency at 1210 GMT.

Justin Onuekwusi is chief investment officer of St. James's Place. He said that Cook was dovish in general, even though he believes inflation can be unanchored with a central bank less independent.

Onuekwusi said that the markets seemed complacent regarding the risks associated with policymaking.

The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury, which is usually in line with expectations of interest rates, has fallen to its lowest level since May, at 3.645%.

The yield on the 30-year bonds, which took the brunt Tuesday's selling, increased 2 basis points to reach 4.93%.

These moves have widened yield curves measured by the difference between the two-year and 30-year yields to 128 basis points, which is the widest it has been since early 2022.

Trump has repeatedly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and policymakers, for not cutting rates. Market watchers took Powell's remarks at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium of the Fed last week to mean that interest rates could be coming down.

Investors have increased their bets that the Fed will cut rates next month. Traders are pricing in an 84 percent chance of Fed action in September, and expect more than 100 basis points of easing in June 2026.

Ben Bennett, APAC Investment Strategist at Legal and General Investment Management said: "I think investors will be more focused on the September rate movement and how that affects the payroll print."

The STOXX 600 Index in Europe was trading 0.2% up after a nearly 1.0% drop on Tuesday when Francois Bayrou, the French Prime Minister's gamble to gain support for his unpopular plan to reduce debt backfired.

Bayrou's decision to call for a vote of confidence on 8 September has increased the risk that eurozone's second largest economy may soon see another government collapse. After a dramatic selloff on Tuesday and Monday, French bonds have calmed down and stocks are rising.

Gilles Moec, chief economist at AXA, said: "The key question is whether we can have a budget before the end of this year."

He said that for the moment, the markets are pricing in the same outcome as last year when the French government finally pushed through its budget. However, the market's reaction could change if another snap election is called.

Sterling and the euro both fell against a stronger dollar. The euro dropped to $1.1574 - its lowest level since August 6.

NVIDIA

U.S. Stock futures are trading at around 0.1% higher.

Earnings from Nvidia, due later this Wednesday, will be the focus of attention. This will determine how U.S. equity markets, which are heavily tech-focused, and have hit near record highs will trade.

Investors continued to place bets on global demand for AI Infrastructure, and the company was at the forefront of the market recovery since April's lows. In July, the company crossed the $4 trillion mark to become the most valuable company in the world.

Options traders have priced in a swing of $260 billion in Nvidia’s market value following the company’s earnings report. The firm’s business in China, which will be closely monitored after a profit-sharing agreement with the Trump Administration, will also be carefully watched.

The fate of Nvidia’s China business depends on the outcome of tariff negotiations and trade restrictions between the two world’s largest economies.

Japan's government bond yields on long-term bonds rose to new all-time records in Asia following a disappointing result from the Bank of Japan’s regular debt-purchase operations.

Spot gold fell 0.5% in commodities after hitting a two-week peak the previous session.

Oil prices rose, as investors considered the impact of new U.S. duties on India, which is the third largest crude consumer in the world.

Brent crude and West Texas Intermediate Crude futures both rose by around 20 cents to $67.43 and 63.347, respectively.

(source: Reuters)