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Dollar softens as global shares rise amid tariff truce

Global shares and Wall Street rose on an ease in trade tensions, while the U.S. Dollar extended its losses after benign U.S. Inflation data kept Federal Reserve rates on hold.

The U.S. China trade truce has dimmed the appeal of gold as a safe-haven.

After four sessions of gains, European shares slowed down. Asian shares gained.

The MSCI index of global stocks rose by 2.24 points or 0.26 percent to 873.44.

Investors have driven global equity markets higher as a truce between China and the United States in their tariff spat appears to be putting a pause on the global trade conflict, even though European shares took a break on Wednesday.

Lars Skovgaard is a senior investment strategist with Danske Bank.

He added, "I find it hard to believe that we will return to the extreme political noise."

Wall Street saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise 64.35 points or 0.15% to 42,204.78. The S&P 500 rose 0.04 points or 0.04% to 5,888.81, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 72.27 points or 0.38% to 19,082.35.

The STOXX Europe 600 Index has retreated, after it had risen over 17% from its low on April 9, when U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he would suspend most reciprocal tariffs against U.S. trading partner.

The MSCI broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed up 1.56% to 614.33, while Japan's Nikkei dropped 55.13 points or 0.14% to 38,128.13.

The Topix broader index snapped its longest winning streak in 16 years, a run of 13 days.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose, lifted by technology stocks after Chinese online retailer JD.com announced strong results. Tencent, China’s largest tech company, reported a 13% increase in revenue for the first quarter on Wednesday.

This week, the focus will be on Alibaba's earnings on Thursday.

Investors who were worried about inflationary effects of U.S. Tariff Policies, which severely undermined expectations of Fed rate reductions in the near term, also found some relief from data on Tuesday that showed softer than expected U.S. Consumer inflation.

Although traders expect the inflation rate to rise as tariffs increase import costs, there is still uncertainty about the future as Washington continues to negotiate with its trading partners.

Wei He is a China economist with Gavekal. He said that the U.S. tariffs against Chinese products are still higher than a few months ago.

There's still a lot of uncertainty in the future.

In an interview with CNN on Tuesday, Trump said he would be willing to deal directly with Chinese President Xi Jinping over the details of a new trade agreement. The "potential" deals that Trump has been touting with India, Japan, and South Korea have not yet materialized.

Assessing Tariff Impact

The Fed warned of increasing economic uncertainty and indicated that it was prepared to wait until the U.S. Tariffs are fully assessed before reducing interest rates. Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, is set to make remarks on Thursday.

The U.S. Dollar, which has been beaten recently by the uncertainty in the economy and policies, dropped 0.24% versus a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies.

Bank of America’s Global Fund Manager Survey (FMS) revealed on Tuesday that global asset managers had their largest underweight position against the dollar in nearly 19 years as Trump’s trade policy reduced investor appetite for U.S.-based assets.

The euro rose 0.25% to $1.1212.

Investors weighed the April inflation data, which was lower than expected, against expectations of higher tariffs in the future months.

Euro zone yields

Then retreated.

Retail sales data for the month of April, due Thursday, will be a major indicator for U.S. economy health. On the same day, Russia and Ukraine will hold talks in Istanbul in hopes of reaching a ceasefire after three years in Europe's deadliest conflict since World War Two.

The rising U.S. stockpiles of crude oil have pushed down prices in commodities. Brent crude futures dropped to $66.07 a barrel, a drop of 0.84% for the day. U.S. crude oil fell by 0.91%, to $63.09 per barrel

Spot gold dropped 1.96%, to $3.183.69 per ounce.

(source: Reuters)