Latest News

The bond market continues to sell off after the German spending pledge

The bond market continues to sell off after the German spending pledge

The world financial markets continued to readjust their course after U.S. president Donald Trump's shaking up of the transatlantic relations prompted a seismic shift in German infrastructure and defence spending.

As expected, the European Central Bank has cut interest rates once again. They also said that monetary policy is becoming less restrictive. This led traders to believe that another cut could not be guaranteed in April, giving a boost to the euro.

This would normally be enough to distract traders. It was only one factor among many. A global bond market sale is still underway a day after Germany's 10-year Bund yield, a major driver for borrowing costs worldwide, saw its largest rise since the 1990s.

These Bund yields are now up by 6 basis points to 2.847% after reaching as high as 2,929% on Tuesday. After the decision, the euro rose up to 0.5% and reached a four-month high at $1.0845. European stocks took a break after a 10% gain this year.

Jim Reid of Deutsche Bank said that the Bund yield spike on Wednesday was the largest since German unification in 1990.

This is a seismic change of epic proportions, and only nimble and fast-money investors have responded thus far.

Overnight, the global implications became apparent.

The yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond, another important driver of borrowing costs worldwide, has reached a 16-year high. Meanwhile, in the early U.S. trade, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes was rising again despite increasing bets that more Federal Reserve rate reductions would follow recent patchy US data.

The focus remained on global trade after the United States imposed 25% tariffs on imports of goods from Mexico and Canada on Tuesday, along with new duties on Chinese products.

White House said Wednesday that Mexican and Canadian automakers will be exempt from their respective countries' tariffs during the month of March, as long as they comply with existing free-trade rules.

Wall Street futures predicted that the S&P 500 index would fall again when trading resumes in Wall Street. The S&P 500 index has been in the red this year after a difficult run that saw it fall eight times in the last ten sessions.

MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan closed at 1.25% higher, while Tokyo's Nikkei ended 0.8% higher.

China's blue chip index rose by another 1.4%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index soared over 3%. It reached its highest level in three years. This is a significant world market-topping surge of 20% for 2025.

RESPONSE OF THE ECB

After U.S. President Donald Trump suspended military aid to Kyiv last week, fears were stoked that the region could no longer depend on U.S. security in place since World War Two.

The euro was unchanged at $1.08 and just shy of the four-month high it reached during early Asian trading. The euro is expected to rise by more than 4% in the coming week, which would be its best performance since March 2009.

Julien Lafargue is the chief market strategist of Barclays Private Bank. He said that this (ECB meeting) could be very exciting given the current circumstances.

Lafargue stated that the ECB president Christine Lagarde would be asked how she plans to respond to Europe's increased defence spending.

Gold prices fell by 0.4%, to $2,906 per ounce, ahead of the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday, which could provide clues about Federal Reserve policy.

After a week of stumbling, oil prices are now trying to recover. This is due to a bigger than expected increase in U.S. crude stock, OPEC+'s plans to boost output and U.S. Tariffs on important oil supplies.

Brent futures are at $69.52 per barrel, up by 0.35% for the day but still near three-year lows.

(source: Reuters)