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As US inflation rises, stocks tumble and the dollar surges

The dollar and U.S. stocks rose after the data showed that consumer inflation increased more than expected in January, supporting Jerome Powell's statement that interest rates are not being cut.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the Labor Department reported that its consumer price index increased at an annual rate of 3.3% in January. This was above expectations for a 2.9% increase.

Market watchers and households alike are preparing for an increase in inflation as a result the U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

After being mostly stable all day, futures on the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq fell sharply by almost 1%.

The dollar rose sharply against several currencies due to a rise in U.S. Treasury Yields.

Market participants believe that the Fed will only reduce rates one more time this year. Only 26 basis points are priced in for December, down 35 bps from before the data.

"Tariffs place the Fed in a difficult position because they can reduce economic growth, create unemployment but also inflationary. "The Fed may be more inclined to wait and see how things settle rather than make a move until it is certain what tariff policy it will have and for how long," Charles Schwab UK's Richard Flynn, managing director said.

"Hotter prices would probably keep the Fed from reducing rates sooner. This would result in a stronger Dollar."

The U.S. dollar rose by 1.2% against the Japanese yen on the same day, to 154.295. The euro fell by 0.4% to $1.0322, and the pound dropped 0.5% to $1.238.

The yield on the benchmark Treasury 10-year note increased by 10 basis points on the day, to 4.64%.

Gold continued its earlier decline, falling by 1.1% to $2 869 per ounce on the same day. It had hit a record-high just short of $2,900 an ounce earlier in the week.

Investors will be watching Powell's second semi-annual testimony closely after he told Congress on Tuesday that despite the "pretty good" state of the economy, the central bank is not in a hurry to cut interest rates further unless there was a need for inflation or if the job market was weak.

The second act is usually not as popular, but today's CPI could prompt a different tone or raise different questions. The release will be compared to the expectations, said Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank.

Trump's advisors are said to have finalised plans to impose tariffs in return for any country that levies a tax on U.S. imported goods.

On Monday, he announced a 25% increase in tariffs for steel and aluminum.

(source: Reuters)