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China retaliates quickly against US tariffs and stocks, causing the dollar to plummet.

U.S. stocks futures and dollar dropped on Tuesday while Hong Kong shares fell from two-month-highs as U.S. & China went tit for tat on tariffs. This raised the threat of a larger, damaging trade war.

As prices slid around in the headlines, Shane Oliver, Chief Economist at AMP, Sydney, said: "(The trade war) story is alive and well. This has a long way to go."

S&P futures, which were buoyed by the news that Mexico and Canada had struck last-minute agreements to defer a U.S. tax, have now fallen 0.2%, while dollar index has lost 0.1% of its earlier gains, trading at 108.86.

European stocks fell 0.1% this morning after dropping 0.87% Monday. The DAX in Germany was flat, while the FTSE 100 in Britain fell 0.3%.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng reached 2025 highs in hopes that China will also negotiate a way out of tariffs, with U.S. president Donald Trump. However, it later pared some gains to trade at about 2.8% higher. This was buoyed by the hope that Beijing would ramp up stimulus expenditure to counter U.S. actions.

At 0501 GMT an additional 10% U.S. duty on Chinese exports went into effect. Minutes later, Beijing announced that it was investigating Google, and imposing tariffs from February 10 on the imports of U.S. cars, farm equipment, oil, coal and gas.

Ben Bennett, Asia-Pacific Investment Strategist at Legal & General Investment Management Hong Kong said: "I would say that there is disappointment in the fact that U.S. Tariffs will be implemented after the last-minute reprieves of Mexico and Canada."

Investors will remain hopeful of a quick agreement between the two sides to remove barriers.

On Monday, the dollar surged against offshore yuan but fell 0.16% at its last session on Tuesday. The Australian dollar, which is often used as a proxy to represent the yuan due to its liquidity, fell last by 0.3%, closing at $0.6209.

Investors are watching the Chinese currency band that China will fix on Wednesday to see if it is going to try to weaken its yuan in order to reduce the impact of the tariffs.

Trump's Press Secretary said he would speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping within the next few weeks, but it is not clear what they will have in common.

Naka Matsuzawa is the chief macro-strategist at Nomura Tokyo.

"Unless China makes huge economic concessions, I don't really think Trump will stop the tariff."

UNCERTAINTY UNLEASHED

Trump's changing trade policies have led to a wild week, which is also punctuated by major earnings from companies.

The Canadian dollar swung the most in a single day since the outbreak of the pandemic, and the S&P500 fell by 1.9% to end the session 0.76% down.

Gold, a safe haven for investors, was trading at just $2.817 per ounce, just below the record highs of Monday. Bonds fell after a slight increase on Monday. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yields rose 3 basis points to 4.579%.

The dollar increased 0.3%, to 155.28 Japanese yen.

Michael Feroli, J.P. Morgan’s chief U.S. economic, said that the Federal Reserve will be more inclined to stay on the sidelines, and remain as far below the radar screen as possible.

UBS Group blew away forecasts in the fourth quarter and announced a stock buyback. BNP Paribas beat forecasts as well, but reduced its profit target for this year.

Google will report after U.S. market closes on Tuesday, and the focus of scrutiny will be its massive AI expenditure after DeepSeek, a Chinese model that was cheaper than DeepSeek but still able to shock markets last week.

Brent crude oil, which initially rose Monday, was down about 1%, after reaching their lowest level in a year at $74.81 per barrel.

(source: Reuters)