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India's LNG rise supports Asia's imports in June: Russell

(The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a writer for .)

Asia's imports of melted gas (LNG) are anticipated to dip somewhat in June from May, with strength in India holding up the top-buying region's hunger for the super-chilled fuel.

Asia is on track to import 23.18 million metric tons of LNG in June, down a touch from May's 23.55 million, but up 8.9% from the 21.28 million from June in 2015, according to information compiled by commodity experts Kpler.

The largely steady outcome in June from the previous month shows the little change in arrivals to China and Japan, the world's two most significant LNG importers respectively.

China is on track to import 6.17 million lots in June, little bit changed from May's 6.19 million and the 6.20 million from June 2023.

Japan's arrivals are approximated at 4.69 million heaps in June, down partially from May's 4.80 million and 4.92 million in June 2023.

The genuine action in Asia's LNG market is in India, the continent's fourth-largest importer, which is slated to see arrivals of 2.72 million heaps in June, the second-highest on record and up from May's 2.46 million

The June imports are also 54% higher than the 1.77 million. loads from the exact same month in 2023, and first half imports of 13.71 million are almost one-third above the 10.44 million from the exact same duration in 2015.

The breakdown of India's imports also reveals a strong boost in arrivals from the United States, with a record 960,000 heaps anticipated to be landed in June.

This is up from 470,000 loads in May, and almost double the previous record month of 580,000 loads from June 2021.

There are likely two characteristics at work with the rising shipments from the United States, then first being that U.S. manufacturers are searching for alternative markets to Europe, where LNG imports have decreased in recent months.

The 2nd factor is likely that U.S. cargoes are being offered at a lower cost to those from other leading shippers Qatar and Australia, particularly given that U.S. gas prices remain at levels that would permit their plants to offer competitively priced cargoes and still make profits.

AUSTRALIA LNG

Another element that shows India is keen to buy LNG currently is that it imported a freight from Australia in June, with 70,000 loads getting here on June 11 from Chevron's Hag plant in Western Australia.

India hardly ever purchases from Australia, with June's shipment being only the second cargo this year after one in April. Prior to the April delivery, the last freight that India imported from Australia was in June 2023.

India's need for LNG is being enhanced by the strong rise in power need amidst an ongoing heatwave and robust financial growth.

Gas-fired electrical energy generation normally just represents around 2% of the India overall, with coal supplying 75%.

However, in May gas-fired generation rose to 3.1% of the overall, up from 1.6% in the exact same month in 2023, according to information from Grid India.

LNG in India is also utilized in commercial processes such as making fertiliser, and the strong economy is assisting to improve need. Gdp is growing 7.8% in the 2023-24 fiscal year.

The question for the LNG market is whether India's strong need is most likely to continue, or will it reduce amid the current greater prices for spot cargoes.

The area cost of LNG for delivery to North Asia << LNG-AS >,. the local criteria, was $12.60 per million British thermal. systems (mmBtu) in the week to June 21.

This was unchanged from the prior week, which in turn was. the highest rate in 6 months, and likewise up 52% from the low so. far this year of $8.30 per mmBtu, reached in the week to March. 1.

India has traditionally been considered as a price-sensitive. buyer, however the strength of demand from the robust economy and. the persistent high temperatures has actually sufficed to overcome. higher LNG costs.

There may be some remedy for temperatures in coming months. as the monsoon season brings rain and cooler weather condition, and while. the financial development rate is tipped to relieve, it is still expected. to remain around 6-7% in the existing .

The opinions revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .

(source: Reuters)