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Venezuela and US inventories draw up oil prices, which boosts the price of crude.

Venezuela and US inventories draw up oil prices, which boosts the price of crude.
Venezuela and US inventories draw up oil prices, which boosts the price of crude.

Oil prices rose slightly on Thursday after two days of declines. A larger-than expected drawdown in U.S. crude stocks provided an impetus for investors to purchase futures as they monitored developments in Venezuela.

Brent crude futures rose 38 cents or 0.6% to $60.34 per barrel at 0104 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was up 37 cents or 0.7%, and $56.36 per barrel.

Morgan Stanley analysts, for example, estimate that there will be a global surplus of up to 3 million barrels a day in the first half 2026.

Mitsuru Muraishi is an analyst with Fujitomi Securities.

Pullback buying has pushed prices slightly higher but persistent concerns about oversupply are limiting the upward momentum. The downward trend will likely continue while markets watch developments in Venezuela," he said. He forecast that WTI would?likely drop below $54.

The Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude stock levels dropped by 3.8m barrels, to 419.1m barrels for the week ending January 2. This was in contrast with analyst expectations in a survey of a 447,000 barrel increase.

Top U.S. officials stated on Wednesday that the U.S. must control Venezuela's oil revenue and sales indefinitely in order to stabilize its economy, rebuild it's oil sector, and ensure that it acts in America’s interest.

Four sources familiar with the negotiations said that the U.S. Government and oil producer Chevron are in discussions to extend a "key license" to operate in Venezuela, so the company can increase its crude exports into its refineries as well as sell to other buyers.

As part of President Donald Trump’s aggressive push to dictate the oil flows in Americas and force Venezuela's socialist regime to become an ally, the U.S. seized on Wednesday two Venezuela-linked tankers, including one that was sailing under the Russian flag.

Washington announced on Tuesday a deal to get up to $2 billion in Venezuelan crude. Venezuela will "turn over" 30 to 50 million barrels worth of "sanctioned oil" to the U.S. according to a tweet by Trump on Tuesday.

Sources said that the deal could initially require cargoes bound for China to be rerouted.

The Chinese refineries that import most of Venezuela's oil could turn to Iranian crude to cover the shortfall. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Yuka Obayashi)

(source: Reuters)