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Bolivia offers incentives for fuel imports to help the private sector cope with shortages
Bolivia's Energy Ministry announced a series of incentives on Tuesday to encourage the importation of gasoline and diesel in an effort to boost the private sector and alleviate a fuel shortage. According to a statement from the ministry, incentives include reducing waiting times for permits and lowering taxes on imported goods. The incentives, which are part of a government order, aim to boost Andean economy, especially in the agriculture, mining, and construction sectors. Bolivia is heavily dependent on imported fuels, as the local production of gasoline and diesel only makes up around 30%. Bolivia is pushing for increased imports as it has been suffering from a fuel shortage that has lasted over a year. This was made worse by the decline in local oil and natural gas production as well as a dearth of hard currency to pay for external supplies. In addition to time-saving measures, the ministry estimates that, under the decree, permit waiting times, which previously took as long as a year, will now only take between five and ten days. The statement said that the period for fuel imports, marketing and authorization will be increased from one to three years. Tariff duty on imported gasoline is also to be reduced to zero. In an interview given to the local broadcaster RTP by Hydrocarbons and energy Minister Alejandro Gallardo, he pointed out that private businesses had in the past largely shunned imported goods. He said that "the business owners prefer to purchase subsidized fuel rather than imports" despite the fact that they were themselves the ones who suggested we liberalize fuel marketing and imports. According to data from the ministry, more than 40 private companies have been authorized to import fuel to meet their own needs. (Reporting and editing by Monica Machicao)
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Study shows that firms issuing green bonds are better at tackling carbon emissions
New analysis by the Bank for International Settlements shows that companies who issue green bonds are better at reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This is especially true in sectors with high levels of pollution. The study, published on Tuesday, evaluated the impact of the green bond market which is a near $3 trillion market where companies raise money for projects to limit climate change and benefit the environment. The study found that the total emissions of green bonds issued in the four-year period following issuance fell by over 10%. Emissions per unit of revenue, a measure for emissions intensity, also dropped by 30%. The study stated that "the results show that the issuance of green bonds is associated with significant reductions in subsequent GHG emission levels by firms." The study acknowledges concerns about "greenwashing" by corporations, but it also says that the growth of the green bonds market in recent years and the increasing number of governments issuing them has increased transparency. Most companies tend to issue a small amount of green bonds compared to their size. This means that they are usually not the main driver of emission reductions. The report concluded that they can be a "good signal" for a company to know where it is going. One year after the first green bond, "Scope 1 emissions" such as fuel burned in a company’s furnaces or in its fleet of vehicles decreased in average by 21%. The same results were seen for Scope 1-3, which includes emissions that are less under the control of a company such as those in its supply chain. The intensity of direct emissions remained lower even after three year. The study used S&P Trucost Data, which it is estimated accounts for two thirds or more of global greenhouse gas emission. These emissions are not only geographically diverse, but also concentrated primarily in countries that have a large manufacturing sector and high energy intensity, like China, Japan, India, and the United States. The research shows that it is often "heavy emitters", who reduce their emissions, after issuing green bond. The study stated that "given the skewness in carbon emissions, it is critical to achieve 'net zero objectives' for society."
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Aluminum premiums for US customers hit record high after Trump doubles tariffs
The premiums that consumers pay for aluminium purchased on the physical market of the United States reached record levels on Tuesday, after President Donald Trump announced he would double the tariffs to 50% on Canadian metal. As a result of Ontario, Canada, imposing a 25% tariff, the doubling of the levies will take effect on Wednesday. On the physical market, consumers typically pay the London Metal Exchange benchmark price for aluminium plus a premium to cover taxes, transportation and handling costs. The traders predict that premiums will rise in the future as producers try to pass on as many of the additional costs associated with tariffs as possible. Most of the primary and alloyed aluminum shipped to America comes from Canadian smelters. Aluminium is essential for transport, packaging, and construction industries. Trade Data Monitor (TDM) reports that about 70% of the aluminium alloys and primary exported to the United States in the past year came from Canada. Analysts calculated that the 25% tariff would have required a premium of 47 cents per lb, or more than $1000 a ton, to cover extra costs to sellers. The U.S. Midwest duty paid aluminium premium increased to 45 U.S. Cents per lb or more than $900 a metric tonne on Tuesday. This is a nearly 20% increase from Monday. The price has increased by more than 70% from the beginning of 2025. Trump, during his former presidency in 2018, sought to use aluminium tariffs to encourage investment. Analysts were skeptical that investors would spend large sums of capital to build aluminium smelters, given the fact that they take longer to construct than political elections cycles. Macquarie analysts wrote in a report last month that "U.S. Primary Aluminium Production has seen a sequential drop over the past 20 years due to thin or negative margins. The implementation of tariffs has not helped the local supply recover sustainably." Sources in the industry say that while premiums have increased for U.S. consumers, they will likely continue to fall elsewhere due to aluminium being diverted from countries with import taxes. In Europe, duty-paid physical premiums have dropped to $240 per metric ton. This is the lowest level since January of last year. Since the beginning of 2025, it has dropped by more than 35 percent. Reporting by Pratima Dasai Editing and reporting by Eric Onstad David Goodall, Barbara Lewis
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Global stock markets continue to fall without any clarity on tariffs and the economy
After a sharp drop on Monday, stocks fell again on Tuesday. However, the pace was slower. This is because U.S. president Donald Trump announced that he would double tariffs for Canadian metal imports. This fueled fears of an economic recession caused by tariffs. The U.S. Treasury yields rose along with the oil price, even though Trump announced on Tuesday that he instructed his Commerce Secretary to impose an additional 25% on all steel and aluminium imported into the United States by Canada. This would bring the total tariff for these products to 50%. The S&P 500 saw its largest one-day percentage decline since September 2022, and the Nasdaq experienced its biggest drop in a single day. The reaction was a response to President Trump’s Fox News interview from the weekend, where he refused to rule out a possible recession due to his trade policies and spoke of a "period transition." In addition to the concerns over tariffs, the data released on Tuesday showed that U.S. small business confidence fell for the third consecutive month in February. This erased much of the gains made in the wake of Trump's election victory in November. Phil Blancato of Osaic Wealth, New York's chief market strategist, said that the guidance given by Delta Airlines and retailer Kohl's would indicate a future softening in consumer spending. Blancato said, "You're not seeing the dead cat bounce that you would want after a bad day like yesterday." You're not seeing many bottom feeders yet. The headlines are still unclear. "There's a lot more uncertainty in many areas, and this is leading to a shortage of buying power among institutions." Blancato said that while investors are hoping to get some clarity about tariffs in early April, they will also be anxiously awaiting the U.S. Consumer Price Index reading for February on Wednesday for information regarding inflation conditions. The data for last month was hotter than expected, with the largest monthly price increase since August 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 483.32 points or 1.15% at 41,428.39. The S&P 500 dropped 40.90 or 0.73% to 5,573.66. And the Nasdaq Composite lost 47.75 or 0.27% at 17,420.81. The MSCI index of global stocks fell 6.31 points or 0.76% to 826.42. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 1.8%. The yields on U.S. Treasury bonds have steadied after falling to a five-month low earlier in the session. The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes increased 3.6 basis points from late Monday to 4,249%. The 30-year bond rate rose by 4.1 basis point to 4.5804%. The 2-year note yield, typically moving in line with expectations of interest rates for the Federal Reserve rose by 0.8 basis point to 3.904% from 3.896%. The U.S. Dollar rose to an all-time high of one week against the Canadian Dollar, while the Euro reached a four-month-high against the Greenback amid hopes for a German defense spending agreement. The Canadian dollar fell 0.26%, to C$1.45 for every U.S. Dollar. The dollar gained 0.09% against the Japanese yen to 147.39. The pound rose 0.51% to $1.294. The dollar's weakness helped oil prices rise, but gains were limited as worries about a U.S. economic slowdown and tariffs had an impact on the global economy. U.S. crude climbed 1.17%, to $66.80 per barrel. Brent rose 1.21% to $70.12 a barrel. The gold price rose after a sell-off in the previous session. Spot gold was up 0.92% to $2,916.10 per ounce, and U.S. Gold futures were 0.81% higher, at $2914.50 per ounce. Bitcoin gained 2.36% in cryptocurrencies to $81,151.44. (Reporting from Sinead carew in New York; Alun in London; Ankur Banerjee, in Singapore; Alun in London; additional reporting by Dhara Raasinghe, Kirsten Donovan, Alexandra Hudson)
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Who are the separatist Baloch militants in Pakistan responsible for hijacking trains?
Separatist militants from the Baloch Liberation Army claimed to have taken hostages in an attack on a train that carried hundreds of people including paramilitary forces, on Tuesday, and threatened to kill those who were still alive. Beijing has invested in Gwadar's deep-water port, among other projects. The BLA is one of the most powerful insurgent groups in the region bordering Afghanistan and Iran. The militants, who were previously engaged in a low-level conflict, have intensified their attacks in recent months using new tactics in order to cause a high death toll and injure many others. They also target the Pakistani military. The group has also targeted Chinese interests. What are the BLA's goals? The BLA is seeking independence for Balochistan. This province, located in Pakistan’s southwest, borders Afghanistan to the north as well as Iran to the West. The group is the largest of several ethnic insurgents that have fought the federal government over decades, claiming it unfairly exploits Balochistan’s rich mineral and gas resources. Insurgents are fighting for local resources that they claim belong to their own people. Balochistan’s mountainous border area serves as a haven for insurgents from Balochistan and jihadist militants. How has it become more lethal? In 2022, the BLA stunned the security establishment of the country when it stormed military and naval bases. The country has used suicide bombers in attacks on Chinese nationals in a university in Karachi, and in a bombing attack in southwest Balochistan. Last week, an umbrella group for several Baloch ethnicities announced that they had gathered all factions to try and unite them into a single military structure. In recent weeks, a dormant BLA-splinter group known as BLA (AZAD), which was previously inactive, has become active. What are the BLA's targets? BLA has targeted infrastructure and security forces in Balochistan but also in other areas, most notably in the southern port city Karachi. Insurgents accuse Beijing of aiding Islamabad in exploiting the province, and specifically the strategic port Gwadar, located on the Arabian Sea. The militants have attacked the consulate of Beijing in Karachi and killed Chinese nationals working in that region. Separately, the BLA was at the center of the tit-fortat attacks last year between Iran, Pakistan, and other neighbours over what they called militant base on the territory of each other. This brought the neighbours to the brink war. BALOCHISTAN’S SIGNIFICANCE Balochistan forms an important part in China's $65 Billion investment in the China Pakistan Economic Corridor. This is a wing to President Xi Jinping’s Belt and Road Initiative. The area is home to several key mining projects. One of these, Reko Diq (run by mining giant Barrick Gold, ABX.TO), is believed to be the largest gold and cobalt mine in the world. China operates a copper and gold mine in this province. Pakistan's plan to tap untapped resources has been hampered by the insurgency that has lasted for decades and continues to cause instability. Pakistan's largest by area but its smallest by population. Balochistan has a coastline that stretches along the Arabian Sea, close to the Gulf's Strait of Hormuz shipping lanes. Many of the women activists protested at Islamabad and Balochistan against alleged security force abuses - allegations that the government denies. Islamabad claims that India and Afghanistan are supporting militants in order to harm Pakistan's relationship with China. Both countries deny this accusation. Reporting by Asif Shazad from Islamabad, and Saud Mehsud from Dera Ismail Khan. Editing by Aidan Lewis & Ed Osmond
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Goldman Sachs predicts surge in US net copper imports
Goldman Sachs stated in a Tuesday note that U.S. copper net imports may increase by 50 to 100 percent in the next few months, due to the higher U.S. price before the Trump Administration's planned tariffs. After the U.S. started an initiative, the May 2025 U.S. Copper price currently trades at $756 per ton above the global benchmark London Metal Exchange price (LME). investigation The bank said it would look into possible tariffs for copper imports in order to rebuild U.S. manufacturing. Goldman Sachs predicts that a 25% duty on copper imports will be implemented by the year's end, causing a surge in imports, and an increase of 200,000 to 300,000 tons in U.S. inventories at the end the third quarter. Bank said that the higher U.S. prices is expected to increase U.S. Copper stocks from 95,000 to 300,000 to 400,000 tons by the third quarter. The bank said that this would represent 45-60% global inventories and leave very low inventories in other countries. Goldman Sachs forecasts an 188,000-ton global deficit on the copper market in 2025, due to robust electrification demands, China's stimulus and a slower growth in mine supply, which is expected to be concentrated during the second half due to seasonal factors. Goldman Sachs stated that they "maintain our forecast" of the LME 3-month average price at $10,200/t by 2024 Q3. They see the impact primarily in the timespreads. We forecast a maximum backwardation of $350/t LME from Sep to Dec, based upon the LME backwardation reaching a level which will close the U.S. Import Arbitrage. As of 1505 GMT, the price for three-month copper was $9,623.5 per metric ton on the LME. (Reporting and editing by Margueritachoy in Bengaluru)
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Ontario Premier says he won't back down until Trump's tariffs have been removed
On Tuesday, the Premier of Ontario who imposed a 25 percent surcharge on exports of electricity to the United States said that he wouldn't back down until U.S. president Donald Trump removed his tariffs against Canadian imports. Doug Ford reiterated his threat from Monday and said that he wouldn't hesitate to reduce the supply if necessary. Ontario exports electricity to 1.5 million homes across New York, Minnesota, and Michigan. We will not retreat. We will not back down. Ford apologized to the American public for President Trump's unprovoked attacks on our country. This was shortly after Trump announced he would double the tariffs on steel and aluminum imported from Canada. Generators selling electricity in the U.S. are now required to charge a surcharge of 25%, equivalent to $10 per megawatt hour. Ontario estimates that the surcharge would generate revenues of C$300,000.00 to C$400,000.00 ($432,346 up to $576.462) per day. Ford responded in an interview with CNBC when asked about the possibility to cut off power completely: "Is that a tool we have in our toolkit? 100%. "I won't hesitate as long as he continues hurting Canadian families and Ontario families." Bill Berkrot and David Ljunggren edited the report.
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Petrobras, Brazil's drilling vessel operator, will remove corals from the drilling vessel that will be used in Foz do Amazonas
Documents seen by revealed that Brazil's Petrobras had received approval from the environmental agency of the country to remove corals from undersides of the drilling vessels it intends to use in Foz do Amazonas. Monday, the firm's request for a vessel to drill off of the coast of northern Amapa State was granted if the firm obtains the long-sought exploration license in the environmentally sensitive area. Corals are a potentially invasive specie if they were moved to another biome. This process must be supervised by Ibama - Brazil's environmental agency. Petrobras considers the Equatorial margin as the most promising frontier in oil exploration. Petrobras hopes to start drilling this year if the license is granted. Petrobras' plans to drill were again thwarted last month when Ibama’s technical staff recommended that the body deny a drilling license in the northern part of the Equatorial Margin. This area shares the same geology as nearby Guyana where Exxon Mobil has developed huge fields. Petrobras' exploration head Sylvia dos Anjos told the CERAWeek Conference in Houston on Tuesday that the company is "optimistic". Ibama, in May 2023 denied Petrobras’ request for an offshore oil drilling license off the coast Amapa State, citing concerns about the environment. Ibama has yet to make a final decision on the appeal filed by Petrobras. (Reporting from Fabio Teixeira, Rio de Janeiro. Additional reporting by Marianna Pararaga, Houston. Editing by Bill Berkrot.)
Oil prices fall on tariffs and slowdown fears
The oil prices dropped for a second consecutive day on Tuesday as fears grew over a possible U.S. economic recession, the impact that tariffs would have on global growth, and OPEC+'s focus on increasing supply.
Brent futures dropped 6 cents or 0.1% to $69.22 per barrel at 0402 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude futures declined 13 cents or 0.2% to $65.90 per barrel.
Donald Trump's protectionist policy has roiled global markets. Trump imposed and then delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, his country's two largest oil suppliers. He also raised duties on Chinese products. China and Canada responded with their own tariffs.
Trump has said that a "period" of transition is likely for the U.S. economy, but he declined to say whether it could be a recession due to stock market worries about his tariffs.
Daniel Hynes is ANZ's senior commodity strategist. He said that Trump's remarks triggered a selling wave as investors began pricing in the possibility of a weaker demand growth.
All three major U.S. indices suffered sharp drops on Monday. The S&P 500 experienced its largest one-day decline since December 18, and the Nasdaq dropped 4.0%, which was its largest single-day percentage decrease since September 2022.
Howard Lutnick, the U.S. Secretary of Commerce, said that Trump will not ease off on his tariff pressure against Mexico Canada and China.
Alexander Novak, the Russian Deputy Premier, said that the OPEC+ Group had agreed to increase oil production starting in April. However, the group could change its mind if market imbalances were found.
Despite market noise, Brent oil at $70 a bar is a very strong support. Oil prices could stage a technical rebound at the current levels. Suvro Sarkar said, Energy Sector Team Lead at DBS Bank. He added that the OPEC+ response to market conditions will remain flexible.
Our opinion is that if oil prices continue to fall below $70 per barrel for a prolonged period of time, production increases may be suspended. "OPEC+ is also keeping a close eye on Trump's Iran-Venezuela policies," he added.
The U.S. already revoked Chevron's license to operate in Venezuela, and it is yet to be determined if Iran sanctions will intensify. In the meantime, concerns about global growth will be dominant.
A preliminary poll on Monday showed that crude oil stocks in the U.S. were likely to have increased last week while gasoline and distillate inventories are expected to be down.
The poll was conducted in advance of two weekly reports, one from the American Petroleum Institute at 4:30 pm EDT (2030 GMT), and another by the Energy Information Administration (the statistical arm of U.S. Department of Energy) at 10:30 am EDT (1430 GMT) Wednesday. Reporting by Nicole Jao and Emily Chow, both in Singapore. Editing by Jacqueline Wong.
(source: Reuters)