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Oil prices pause gains as Venezuela shipments resume but Iran concerns loom

Oil prices pause gains as Venezuela shipments resume but Iran concerns loom
Oil prices pause gains as Venezuela shipments resume but Iran concerns loom

The market is apprehensive about the possibility of Iranian supply disruptions after deadly unrest in this major Middle Eastern producer.

Brent futures traded 9 cents lower or 0.14% at $65.38 per barrel at 0207 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was down 12 Cents, or 0.2%, at $61.03 per barrel.

Brent futures ended 2.5% higher Tuesday, while WTI rose 2.8%. Prices for both contracts have risen 9.2% in the last four trading sessions due to the?increasing protests against the fourth largest OPEC producer. U.S. president Donald Trump on Monday urged Iranians to continue protesting, and that help would soon be on its way. He did not specify what kind of aid he meant.

Analysts at Citi raised their forecast for Brent oil over the next 3 months to $70 per barrel.

Citi analysts note that the protests are not yet spread to the main Iranian oil producing regions, which limits the actual effect on supply.

They said that the current risks were skewed towards political and logistical tensions, rather than outages. This would keep the impact on Iranian crude exports and supply contained. Venezuela, an OPEX founding member, is reversing the oil production cuts that were made as a result of the U.S. embargo. Crude exports are also?resuming', according to three sources.

Two supertankers left Venezuelan waters Monday, each carrying 1.8 million barrels of crude oil. This could be the first shipment of a 50 million-barrel supply deal between Caracas & Washington in order to restart exports in the wake the capture by the U.S. of Venezuelan president Nicola Maduro.

Even with geopolitical concerns, the fundamentals of the oil market suggest that supply and demand are much more flexible.

The U.S. Inventory data released late Tuesday confirmed this.

According to sources, according the American Petroleum Institute, crude stocks in the U.S. - the world's largest oil consumer - rose by?5.23million barrels during the week ending January 9.

Sources also stated that API data revealed?gasoline inventory rose by 8.23 millions barrels while distillate inventory rose by 4.34million barrels compared to a week ago.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its stockpile data later on Wednesday. On Tuesday, a poll indicated that U.S. crude stockpiles would have decreased last week while gasoline and distillate stocks were likely to rise. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger in Tokyo, with Katya Golubkova)

(source: Reuters)