Latest News

Oil drops 4% after US imposes 104% tariffs against China

The oil price dropped to its lowest level in over four years on the back of a rising demand outlook, fueled by a escalating trade war between China and the U.S., the two largest economies on the planet, as well as a looming supply outlook.

Brent futures fell $2.38 or 3.79% to $60.44 per barrel at 0423 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures dropped $2.46 or 4.13% to $57.12. Both contracts reached their lowest levels since February 2021.

Brent spreads over six months The spread fell to 79 cents - its lowest level since the middle of November - as it was believed that the market would be moving towards a surplus. The spread fell 86% since a peak of $5.69 reached on January 15, which reflected tightening supplies and expectations of a recovery in Chinese demand.

Brent and WTI both fell over five consecutive sessions after U.S. president Donald Trump announced tariffs on almost all imports. This sparked fears of a global trade conflict that would hit economic growth and fuel demand.

The 104% tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump on China went into effect at 12:01 am EDT (0401 GMT), adding another 50% to the tariffs. This was after Beijing did not lift its retaliatory duties on U.S. products by a deadline of noon on Tuesday, set by Trump.

Beijing has vowed to not bow to the U.S.'s blackmail, after Trump threatened to impose an additional 50% tariff on Chinese products if China did not lift the 34% retaliatory levies.

Ye Lin, vice-president of Rystad's oil commodity markets, said that China's aggressive retaliation has heightened fears about a global economic recession.

She said that if the trade conflict continues, China's oil demand growth of 50,000 to 100,000 bpd is at risk. However, a stronger incentive to boost the domestic consumption could help mitigate those losses.

The decline in oil prices was exacerbated by the decision made last week by OPEC+ - which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia - to increase production by 411,000 barrels a day in May. Analysts say this will likely push the market to surplus.

Goldman Sachs forecasts that Brent oil and WTI crude oil could drop to $58 and $62 per barrel in December 2025, and to $55 per barrel and $51 per bar by December 2026.

On Monday, as oil prices fell, the price of Russia's ESPO blend oil fell below $60 per barrel Western cap price for the first ever time.

Data from the American Petroleum Institute showed that U.S. crude stocks fell by 1.1m barrels during the week ending April 4. This was in contrast to expectations of a build-up of 1.4m barrels, as per a poll.

The Energy Information Administration will release official inventory data on Wednesday, 10:30 am EDT (1430 GMT).

(source: Reuters)