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IMF lowers 2025 Saudi Arabia development projection on prolonged oil production cuts

The International Monetary Fund has actually decreased its 2025 GDP development projection for Saudi Arabia to 3.3%, primarily due to prolonged oil production cuts, it said on Friday in the most recent upgrade to its global outlook.

It also trimmed its 2024 development quote for the Gulf state to 1.4%.

In its October Regional Economic Outlook report, the IMF had estimated development would accelerate to 4.6% this year, from a. forecasted 1.5% in 2024.

The cut to Saudi Arabia's GDP forecast resulted in an overall. lowering of the IMF's development projection for the Middle East and. Central Asia area to 3.6% this year. That was down from its. October projection of 3.9%.

In the Middle East and Central Asia, growth is projected to. get, however less than anticipated in October, the IMF stated in. Friday's upgrade.

This generally shows a 1.3 portion point downward. revision to 2025 growth in Saudi Arabia, mainly driven by the. extension of OPEC+ production cuts.

A lot of experts expected economic growth in Saudi Arabia, the. world's biggest oil exporter, to pick up sharply in 2025 on. higher oil output after 2 years of modest development. An October. Reuters poll anticipated the Saudi economy would broaden 4.4% in. 2025, while the Saudi federal government tasks 2025 growth at 4.6%.

But in December, the OPEC+ nations, that include Saudi. Arabia, pressed back the start of oil output rises by 3. months up until April, and even more extended the complete relaxing of. cuts due to weak demand and increasing production outside the group.

Declining oil prices and extended cuts to oil production. have actually weighed on Saudi Arabia's income in the last few years, but. Riyadh is pressing ahead with a spending plan to increase non-oil. development and provide on its financial change plan.

The IMF stated it anticipated energy product prices to decline. by 2.6% in 2025, more than presumed in October.

(source: Reuters)