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Climate Fund backs $6 Billion Jordan Water Project with its largest deal
According to its chief executive, the world's largest climate multilateral fund made its biggest financial commitment yet to build a $6 Billion water desalination plant in Jordan. The Green Climate Fund was backed ahead of COP30 in Brazil, in November. It also comes a decade after Paris Agreement which cited the fund as a major way to finance efforts against global warming. Mafalda duarte said that it would transform the country. She added that this was the "highest investment" the fund had made in a single project. In South Korea, a grant and loan of $295 million were approved by a board on Wednesday in order to attract financing from other sources such as the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and private lenders. A WORLD-WIDE DESALINATION CRAFT Jordan has the lowest water availability on earth and the desalination plant, one of the biggest in the world will serve almost half of its population. It was predicted that the situation would worsen, with temperatures rising by 4 degrees Celsius and rainfall falling by 21%, resulting in increased evaporation and droughts. Jordan's leader has described the Meridiam-SUEZ project as a priority. Jordanian officials said that the U.S. has committed $300 million as grants and $1 billion as loans to the project. Other countries from the region are also expected to contribute. Raed Abu Soud is Jordan's Minister for Water and Irrigation. He said that the project was a strategic one to desalinate and deliver 300 million cubic metres of water to all parts of Jordan every year. 24 PROJECTS are up for approval at the GCF Board meeting Senior officials involved in the project stated that the GCF funds would enable it to reduce the cost of drinking water by 10 cents per litre, and save the government $1 billion over the course of the project. He added that it would allow the IFC better terms on loans, which will result in cheaper financing for private sector. At the GCF Board meeting, 24 projects are up for discussion. The fund would be able to disburse $1.4 billion if all 24 projects were approved. GCF has accelerated its decision-making this year as part of a broader overhaul to the multilateral financial system in the world. The COP30 will explore ways to go even further. Duarte stated that while MDBs are still not doing enough in mobilising private sector capital, stakeholders need to be realistic with how much risk they will take. (Editing by Alexander Smith & Thomas Derpinghaus).
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Spain commemorates the anniversary of the deadly Valencia Floods with a state funeral and solemn marches
Spain's King Felipe is attending a state funeral on Wednesday in Valencia, as part of several events to mark a year since the deadly floods that killed 237 people. Even as late as last week, authorities were still finding victims in the mud. The country is dealing with the worst flooding it has seen in Europe for more than 50 years. On October 29, 2024, flash floods caused from torrential rainfall washed away bridges and cars as well as people. They also flooded homes and underground parking lots. In the Valencia region, 229 people were killed and eight more in other parts in Spain. Residents plan to place 229 foil emergency blankets, representing the victims, in a Valencian square. In Benetusser (one of the most affected suburbs of Valencia), two silent marches with torch-bearing participants will be held. Tens of thousands of demonstrators in Valencia called for the resignation of conservative regional leader Carlos Mazon at a protest on Saturday. Protesters claimed that the regional government failed to alert citizens in time during an emergency. They sent a text message warning when many buildings had already been submerged. After a local reporter claimed that she had spent nearly four hours with Mazon at a meeting of emergency services, a court is now investigating his handling of the situation and whereabouts. Mazon refused to reveal the details of his lunch, or the bill for the restaurant. However, he claims he was informed throughout the day over the telephone. On Tuesday, the government approved a loan guarantee of 5 billion euros ($5.8billion) to assist businesses and homes that were affected by floods. More than 8 billion euro has been spent by the government to clean up flood-damaged areas. Heavy rains and flash floods in the area were caused by an isolated high-altitude depression, locally known as a DANA. This is a weather system that can be highly destructive when warm and cold air combine to create powerful rain clouds. Scientists believe that climate change is causing this phenomenon to occur more often.
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OMV's profit forecast for the third quarter is topped by fuels and chemicals
OMV, Austria's oil, gas, and chemicals group, beat expectations for the third quarter profit on Wednesday. It benefited from higher contributions by its fuels, chemicals, and segment. According to the company, analysts had expected 1,17 billion euros. Clean operating results are based on current costs of supply and exclude one-off items, short-term gains or losses and energy inventory holdings. OMV's chemical division is considered its growth engine, as it transitions from polluting fuels to cleaner alternatives. It produces chemicals that are used in car parts, gas and water pipes and medical syringes. The division achieved a third-quarter operating profit of 222 millions euros, an increase of 64% over last year. The decline in sales revenue from continuing operations was primarily due to lower volumes of contracts with customers, particularly in the energy sector. The company reported that the energy production fell by 8% mainly due to the divestment from SapuraOMV. OMV reported earlier this month that it had recorded lower energy prices for the third quarter 2025. The average price of natural gas fell by 6% compared to the previous quarter. Reporting by Maria Rugamer, Editing by Harikrishnan Nair. $1 = 0.8575 Euros
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Gold Stages rebound on bargain-hunting ahead of Fed verdict
Gold prices rose Wednesday, as bargain-hunters stepped in to buy after the bullion fell to a 3-week low the previous session. Investors are now waiting for the Federal Reserve rate decision that will be announced later in the day. As of 0634 GMT spot gold rose 0.7% to $3,977.30 an ounce after falling as low as it has been since October 7. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery gained 0.2%, to $3.990.60 an ounce. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, said: "The fuel behind this short-term gold correction is the readjustment from safe-haven instruments to more responsive instruments like global equities because of trade optimism." Gold is under pressure to fall due to short-term leverage and technical levels being breached. The fundamentals of gold are still positive. Over the weekend, Chinese and U.S. official hammered out the framework for a trade agreement between President Donald Trump and Xi Jinping that would pause the steeper U.S. Tariffs and Chinese export controls on rare-earths. Trump and Xi will meet in South Korea Thursday. The progress in U.S. China trade talks has continued to erode demand for safe-haven assets like gold. This pullback extended as tensions eased. The recent falls may offer central banks an opportunity to increase purchases," ANZ stated in a report. Investors are waiting for Jerome Powell's forward-looking comments at the Fed's policy meeting, which is scheduled to end on Wednesday. At its Thursday policy meeting, the European Central Bank will likely leave interest rates unchanged. Gold that does not yield is a good investment in low interest rate environments and economic uncertainty. The gold price has risen by 52% in the past year, with a peak of $4381.21 reached on October 20. This was boosted by economic and geopolitical uncertainty, bets to lower rates, and central bank purchases. Spot silver rose 1.5% to $47.53 per ounce. Platinum edged up 0.1% to $1.587.70, and palladium increased 0.9% to $1.405.99.
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Sources: China's smelter group does not set Q4 copper TC/RC guidelines
Sources said that China's leading copper smelters have decided not to set fee guidance for copper concentrate processing in the fourth quarter of 2025. This is the third time in a row they have taken this decision, which highlights a long-term feedstock shortage. Two sources familiar with the matter confirmed that the decision on Wednesday was taken at a quarterly gathering of members of the China Smelters Purchase Team. The CSPT is a group of sixteen leading smelters who are expected to follow the guidelines in dealings for spot copper concentrate. Treatment charges and refining costs (TC/RC), a major source of revenue for miners, are usually paid to refine concentrate and tend to decrease when the concentrate supply is tightening. They rise with an increase in ore availability. The group has not provided such guidance for the second and third quarters, as spot prices have been negative since December. This means that smelters must pay miners. One of the sources said that there was some discussion about the direction, but they ultimately decided to not set any guidance. It's best to wait until November, when the annual negotiations begin. All sources asked for anonymity because they were not authorized to speak with media. Global mining output is growing faster than smelting capacities, resulting in a tightening of concentrate supplies that squeezes smelters’ margins. The suspension of Freeport’s flagship Grasberg copper mine in Indonesia, which is the second largest mine in the world, has further reduced the prospect of mined supplies. The Chinese smelters have not reduced their output in a significant way, as the revenue generated from other products such as sulfuric acid, gold and silver, has offset the losses caused by copper sales. This year's copper production is expected to reach a new record. Some overseas smelters have either reduced output or suspended operations because of a shortage of feedstock. Chinese smelters have agreed to process concentrates from Chilean miner Antofagasta at no cost, which is a record for the industry. Reporting by Amy Lv in Beijing and Lewis Jackson in London, with editing by Jacqueline Wong & Michael Perry.
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Australian shares fall to a two-week low after inflation spikes sink rate-cutting hopes
Australian shares closed on Wednesday at their lowest levels in two weeks as a spike of core inflation dashed any hopes for a rate cut in the near future, prompting a sale-off in real estate and banking stocks. The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell by 0.96%, to 8,926.20. It is the first time that the index has fallen below the important 9,000-point mark since October 15. Data released on Wednesday showed that the core inflation rate rose at the fastest pace in two years in the third quarter of the year. This dampened expectations of a cut in rates next week, and forced markets to reduce their bets about the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)'s broader easing cycles. The odds of a rate reduction in December have fallen below 22%, from 47% before the data. Citi, Goldman Sachs and Standard Chartered are all Australian 'Big Four banks' that expect the RBA's key interest rate to remain at 3.60% in this year. The top lender CBA's economists have abandoned their calls for another rate cut in February next year and expect that the cash rate will remain unchanged for an extended period. Financials, the largest sector, fell by 1.9%, after two consecutive days of gains. All four of the "Big Four" banks closed in the red. National Australia Bank, the top lender in Australia, lost 2.6%. The cash rate is the basis for the valuation of defensive assets, which are an alternative to bonds. As a result, we see those stocks being sold as the expectation of a rate reduction next week has now been removed, said Luke Winchester. Goodman Group, a sector leader, fell 1.4%. CSL, the healthcare sector's main stock, fell by 4% on Tuesday. The benchmark S&P/NZX 50 Index in New Zealand closed at 13,409.21, a slight increase. Atharva Singh, Bengaluru (reporting); Sonia Cheema, editing)
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Gold falls ahead of Fed decision; dollar strength and trade optimism weigh
Gold prices were unchanged on Wednesday ahead of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut that was widely expected. However, expectations of a possible U.S. China trade deal, and a stronger Dollar, kept bullion at a three-week-low. As of 0513 GMT spot gold was unchanged at $3,951.59 an ounce after Tuesday's drop to its lowest level since October 7. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery fell 0.4% to $ 3,965.20 an ounce. Gold is now more expensive to other currency holders due to the 0.2% rise in the dollar index. Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA, said: "The fuel behind this short-term gold correction is the readjustment from safe-haven instruments to more responsive instruments like global equities because of trade optimism." Gold is under pressure to fall due to short-term leverage and technical levels being breached. The fundamentals of gold are still positive. Over the weekend, top Chinese and U.S. economists hammered out the framework for a trade agreement between U.S. president Donald Trump and his Chinese equivalent Xi Jinping. The deal would halt steeper American tariffs as well as Chinese controls on rare-earth exports. Trump and Xi will meet in South Korea Thursday. The progress in U.S. China trade talks has continued to erode demand for safe-haven assets like gold. This pullback extended as tensions eased. The recent falls may offer central banks an opportunity to increase purchases, ANZ stated in a report. Investors are also watching for any language that Jerome Powell uses to express a forward-looking outlook. At its Thursday policy meeting, the European Central Bank will likely leave interest rates unchanged. Gold that does not yield is a good investment in low interest rate environments and economic uncertainty. The gold price has risen by 52% in the past year, with a peak of $4381.21 reached on October 20. This was boosted by economic and geopolitical uncertainty, bets to lower rates, and central bank purchases. Spot silver rose 0.8% per ounce to $47.38, platinum dropped 0.8% at $1,572.70, and palladium slipped 0.1% to $1.392.28.
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The morning bid is EUROPE: Fed, Big Tech, and Trump pageantry are the order of the day
Rae Wee gives us a look at what the future holds for European and global markets. The markets are busy today with the Federal Reserve's key policy announcement, and earnings from Wall Street tech giants and Europe. Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta will release their results after the bell. It is important that they deliver strong numbers to justify their high valuations. Asia stocks rose on Wednesday, thanks to a spillover effect from Wall Street. This optimism was fueled by Nvidia's announcement that it would build seven new supercomputers for U.S. Department of Energy. Microsoft has reached an agreement with OpenAI that allows it to restructure as a public benefit company while also giving Microsoft a 27% stake in ChatGPT. The AI boom is looking good for the moment, but there's still a big question: Is it headed towards a bubble? If there are any signs that demand has slowed or that massive spending has not paid off as expected, it could cause a rush to sell crowded stocks in Big Tech. Investors will be watching for further Fed easing in December. The ongoing U.S. shutdown has prevented the release of important economic data, at a time when there is uncertainty over the state of the U.S. employment market. However, signs of a cooling in labour conditions and softer-than-expected inflation could give policymakers the confidence to lower interest rates. The central bank will also be focusing on whether it finally ends its long-running program of balance sheet reduction, also known as quantitative tightening. The yen gained strength on other markets after U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent warned Tokyo to not keep the yen weak by allowing its central bank to raise rates. The Australian dollar climbed after data revealed that domestic consumer prices rose by the largest amount in two-and-a half years during the third quarter of 2009. A shockingly large increase in core inflation appeared to rule out any interest rate cuts in the near future. The U.S. president Donald Trump has a golf club to a golden crown. He landed in South Korea Wednesday, the last leg of his Asia tour. In bilateral talks, he will discuss trade and investment with South Korean president Lee Jae Myung. The presidential office announced that Lee would present Trump with a replica of a gold crown, and will also award him the "Grand Order of Mugunghwa", which is the highest decoration in the country. Trump arrived in South Korea after a visit to Tokyo where he praised Japan's first woman prime minister, Sanae Takayichi. He lauded her commitment to accelerating a military buildup, and welcomed the signing of deals on rare earths and trade. Takaichi gave Trump a putter that Shinzo Abe used, Trump's golfing partner and Japan's former leader. This was one of many references to Trump's relationship with Abe which anchored ties between both countries during Trump's first presidential term. The following are key developments that may influence the markets on Wednesday. Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada Rate Decisions Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta earnings - Mercedes-Benz, UBS, Adidas, GSK, Airbus earnings
OPEC+ most likely to extend production cuts in June: Kemp
Saudi Arabia and its allies in OPEC+ are most likely to keep oil production unchanged for a further three months when ministers examine output allotments on June 1.
The tightening up of petroleum materials and deficiency of stocks widely prepared for at the start of the year has failed to materialise up until now.
If OPEC+ (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies) authorities had hoped to increase production into a. tightening market characterised by rising oil prices they are. likely to be irritated.
Crude stocks, futures costs and calendar spreads are all at. comparable levels to a year ago, making a significant boost in. output unlikely.
The group might nevertheless choose it needs to rescind a few of. in 2015's output cuts to pre-empt an additional increase in production. from the United States, Canada, Brazil and Guyana and prevent. yielding more market share.
However current market conditions suggest any increase is likely to. be symbolic, in the lack of a wholesale shift in method to. boost volumes and accept lower prices.
PRICES AND SPREADS
Front-month Brent futures have averaged $84 per barrel so. far in May putting them precisely in line with the average since. the start of the century after changing for inflation.
Costs have increased by just $6 per barrel, or 7%, compared. with a year ago when the group was preparing production cuts to. increase them.
Brent's six-month calendar spread has actually sold an average. backwardation of $3.54 (86th percentile for all months since. 2000) so far in May compared with $1.81 (60th percentile) this. month in 2023.
The increased backwardation indicates traders see the marketplace. somewhat tighter than in 2023 with a greater likelihood. inventories will diminish over the rest of 2024.
But the backwardation has been breaking down in current weeks. and has actually already narrowed from approximately $4.86 (95th. percentile) in April.
Chartbook: Oil costs and stocks
Despite a boost in stress across the Middle East,. causing a temporary rise in the war risk price premium, there. has been no real effect on oil products, and the premium has. mostly faded.
Diplomatic efforts have consisted of dispute in between Iran and. Israel, with no impact on either oil production or tanker. exports from the Persian Gulf.
Tanker traffic has been re-routed from the Red Sea and the. Gulf of Aden around the Cape of Good Want to prevent drone and. rocket attacks from Houthi fighters based in Yemen.
US OIL INVENTORIES
In the United States, business crude stocks are at. nearly the very same level as this time last year and near to the. prior 10-year seasonal average.
Commercial crude stocks amounted to 461 million barrels in. April 26 compared with 460 million barrels a year earlier.
Unrefined stocks were simply 5 million barrels (-1% or -0.11. standard variances) listed below the prior 10-year seasonal average.
There have been no indications of a substantial and sustained draw. down of inventories that would suggest the marketplace has been. under-supplied.
The majority of U.S. crude stocks are held at coastal refineries. and tank farms along the Gulf of Mexico, which is also the. area most closely incorporated with the international sea-borne market.
Gulf of Mexico stocks totaled up to 262 million barrels on. April 26, just 6 million barrels above the same time last year. and 15 million barrels (+6% or +0.57 standard deviations) above. the 10-year seasonal average.
The United States is not the whole international market however given. the effectiveness with which traders move barrels to make use of regional. disparities in between production and usage, it is a great. marker for the global balance.
U.S. crude inventories, global futures costs and to some. level softening calendar spreads all indicate a market relatively. near balance.
Portfolio financiers definitely appear to think so, with approximately. equal advantage and disadvantage dangers to costs.
On April 23, hedge funds and other money supervisors held a net. long position in futures and alternatives connected to crude rates. equivalent to 453 million barrels (46th percentile for all weeks. since 2013).
The position was an increase from 388 million barrels (29th. percentile) at the exact same point in 2023 however was essentially neutral.
Neither fund supervisors nor physical traders are signalling. the need for a boost in production from Saudi Arabia and its. OPEC+ allies in the third quarter.
PRODUCTION POLICY
Senior OPEC ministers and authorities worry the group's. policy is to be proactive and positive.
That may be true when it comes to lowering production to. avert an increase in excess stocks and stabilise prices.
When it comes to increasing production, nevertheless, the group. has actually usually waited till stocks have actually fallen and rates have. already increased considerably.
In this circumstances, stocks and costs close to the. long-lasting average suggest ministers are most likely to decide to keep. output unchanged, based on their behaviour in the past.
In the last years, OPEC+ production cuts have actually propped up. costs and supported continued growth in output from outside the. group specifically in the western hemisphere.
Some members of the organisation have expressed issues. about the loss of market share and pushed to increase. production.
Up until now, Saudi Arabia has led OPEC+ in cutting production to. reduce stocks and boost prices at the cost of volumes.
There are concerns about the long-lasting sustainability of. this method, but so far there's no indication of a fundamental. reconsider.
If ministers ultimately choose the loss of market share has. gone too far, they might cite more powerful projection demand and a. forecasted future decrease in inventories to validate improving. production.
That would expose a major modification in strategy to prioritise. volume over rates and there is no sign of it yet. If OPEC+. nonetheless chooses to reveal an output boost, it is most likely. to be little and symbolic.
Related columns:
- U.S. oil and gas production rebounds after winter season storm. ( May 1, 2024)
- Record U.S. oil and gas production keeps prices under. pressure (March 1, 2024)
- Western Hemisphere oil output rises, with a helping hand. from OPEC (February 21, 2024)
John Kemp is a market analyst. The views expressed. are his own. Follow his commentary on X https://twitter.com/JKempEnergy.
(source: Reuters)