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Oil prices rise as economic data and expectations of demand lift sentiment

Oil prices rise as economic data and expectations of demand lift sentiment

Oil prices rose on Thursday, reversing declines in the previous three sessions, buoyed by stronger-than-expected economic data from the world's top oil consumers and signs of easing trade tensions.

Brent crude futures increased 24 cents or 0.35% to $68.76 per barrel at 0457 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude Futures rose 33 cents or 0.5% to $66.71. Both benchmarks dropped more than 0.2% the previous session.

U.S. president Donald Trump said that letters informing smaller countries about their U.S. Tariff rates would be sent out soon. He also said on Wednesday that there would likely be a 10% or 15% blanket tariff for smaller countries.

This week, new agreements with Indonesia and Vietnam have been announced.

Trump expressed renewed optimism in regards to the prospects of a drug deal with Beijing and hinted at a very near-term trade agreement with India. He also suggested that an agreement with Europe could be possible.

Tina Teng, an independent analyst, said that Trump's softer tone towards China and his proposal to lower tariff rates for smaller countries are positive developments in global trade prospects.

Oil prices have been boosted by China's better than expected economic data, and the U.S.'s higher-than-expected draw in oil inventories.

The Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. crude oil inventories dropped by 3.9 millions barrels, to 422.2 million last week. This was a greater decline than the forecast of a 552,000 barrel draw. This suggests increased refinery activity, tighter supplies, and higher demand.

The price increases were capped by higher-than-expected gasoline and diesel stock builds. This led ANZ analysts to worry about a weakening of demand due to summer travel.

The central bank's latest snapshot, released on Tuesday, shows that activity has picked up in the last few weeks. The outlook, however, was "neutral or slightly pessimistic", as businesses reported higher import tariffs pushing up prices.

China's data also showed that growth in the second quarter was slower than previously thought, partly due to the fact that the country had accelerated its exports in order to avoid U.S. duties. This eased concerns about the economy of the world's biggest crude importer.

The data also showed China's crude oil throughput in June was up 8.5% compared to a year earlier, which indicates a stronger fuel demand.

John Paisie, President of Stratas Advisors said: "Support comes from the positive news pertaining some easing of the trade tensions between China & the U.S. With President Trump lifting his ban on the sale AI chips to China as well as the announcement of a new trade agreement with Indonesia." (Reporting from Anjana Anil and Emily Chow, both in Singapore; editing by Sonali and Rachna uppal)

(source: Reuters)