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OPEC March crude oil production falls on Venezuela and Iran amid sanctions
A survey revealed that OPEC's oil production fell in March, ahead of a planned increase, as Nigeria cut deliveries to its domestic refineries, and Iranian and Venezuelan supplies dropped due to renewed U.S. efforts to reduce the flow. According to a survey released on Monday, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pumped 26,63 million barrels of oil per day in February, a decrease of 110,000 bpd compared to the total for the month of February. The largest declines were recorded by Nigeria, Iran, and Venezuela. OPEC+, a grouping of OPEC, its allies, and Russia, has begun to unwind the most recent cuts in output. The extent of the increase will partly depend on how President Donald Trump's attempts to restrict supply from Iran and Venezuela affect the price. The survey revealed that in March, Nigeria, Iran, and Venezuela each saw their supply fall by 50,000 bpd. The survey concluded that Nigerian exports were higher than expected, but the supply decreased due to lower deliveries to the Dangote Refinery. According to the survey Nigeria is slightly pumping above its OPEC+ targets, with Gabon being the least compliant. Surveys show that the Iranian oil production fell in February from its previous high of September, which was also the highest level since 2018. The slight drop in output comes at a time when the U.S., under Trump, is redoubling its efforts to pressure Iran's oil imports. The survey also found that Venezuela, which was similarly affected by U.S. actions, saw a decline in exports in December, due to Washington's secondary tariffs, and the cancellation of energy licenses. The survey showed that output in Saudi Arabia and Iraq, two of OPEC's biggest producers, increased slightly. Both nations are pumping lower than their OPEC+ target. The output in the United Arab Emirates met its target. The OPEC secondary sources' survey and data from February show that the UAE and Iraq pump close to their quotas. However, other estimates such as the International Energy Agency suggest they pump significantly more. The survey revealed that there was no increase in production last month. The survey aims at tracking supply on the market. It is based upon data provided by LSEG (a financial group), information from companies that track flow, such as Kpler and information provided from sources within oil companies, OPEC, and consultants. (Additional reporting and editing by Emelia Sithole Matarise)
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Stocks drop; White House denies report of tariff pause
The major stock indexes fell on Monday, but they were still off their lows. This was after the White House denied that President Donald Trump had considered a 90-day suspension of tariffs for every country except China. The U.S. Dollar was higher. Wall Street indexes began the day sharply down but reversed their course after a report stating that White House economist Kevin Hassett stated in an interview, that Trump is considering a 90-day tariff suspension. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 469.46, or 1.2%, to 37.845.40. The S&P 500 declined 28.89, or 0.5%, to 5,046.66. And the Nasdaq Composite was down 3.62, or 0.02, points to 15,584.16. The MSCI index of global stocks fell by 12.42 points or 1.63% to 751.87. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell by 2.58%. The S&P 500 was on track to confirm a decline earlier amid concerns that Trump would not back down from his tariff plans. The Federal Reserve could cut interest rates in May if the recession risk increases. The futures markets have priced in nearly five quarter-point reductions in U.S. interest rates this year. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket including the yen, the euro and other currencies) rose by 0.72%, to 103.34. However, the euro fell 0.36%, to $1.0919. The dollar gained 0.48% against the Japanese yen to reach 147.64.
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Sefcovic: EU will target imports worth less than EUR26 billion from the U.S.
After taking into account the remarks of member states, EU Trade Commissioner Maros SEFCIOVIC told reporters that the countermeasures taken by the European Union against a list U.S. steel and aluminum imports as a response to Trump's administration's tariffs on these products will amount to less than 28.46 billion euros ($28.46billion) after taking into consideration their remarks. We are talking 26 billion euro when it comes to steel and aluminum, as well as derivatives (...). The list will be finalized tonight (...), but I can assure you that the amount won't reach 26 billion euros because we have listened very carefully to all of our member states," said he to reporters. The EU 27 nations will be hit with 25% tariffs on imports of steel, aluminium, and cars as part of the U.S. Administration's tariff plan. Sefcovic said, "We wanted to ensure that the burden was evenly distributed among all members." Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, spoke earlier in the day Hold a call On Monday, he met with representatives of the metals industry and will speak to the automotive sector later about how to deal with U.S. Tariffs. ($1 = 0.9137 euro) (Reporting and writing by Philip Blenkinsop, GV De Clercq, Editing by Benoit van Overstraeten).
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Key EU legislator says 90% emission reduction is too ambitious for 2040 climate goals
Peter Liese is a senior member of European Parliament who believes that the European Union's climate goal to reduce net emissions by 90% by 2040 was overly ambitious. The bloc should lower the target for domestic industries. Liese is a senior EU legislator in the influential European People's Party, the largest lawmaker group of the European Parliament. He said that the group's position was still being developed, but he thought a 90% target would be too burdensome for industries. In an interview, he stated that "Many of the people, especially in Council and Parliament see 90% as ambitious. I would even say too ambitious." "We really think when the 90% is implemented without any flexibility, then it will lead to de-industrialisation." Reports earlier Monday said that the European Commission was drafting a proposal to set the EU's climate target for 2040. It is also considering a softer goal than its previous plan of cutting EU emissions by 90 percent to appease governments and legislators who are concerned about the costs for businesses. Liese is EPP's senior member of parliament for climate policy. The EPP controls 188 out of the 720 seats at the European Parliament. This is crucial for forming the majority required to pass the EU's climate target 2040. The independent climate scientists of the EU have recommended that a goal of reducing emissions by 90% to 95% is achievable. The EU has a new topic on its political agenda: helping European industries struggling with cheaper imports from the US and U.S. Tariffs. Liese suggested that a 90% overall target, which would set a lower target for domestic industry and allow countries to purchase international carbon credits to cover the remainder "could provide a solution". Liese said that the EU must ensure that these credits are of high environmental benefit. According to sources, the Commission is examining this option. Credit-generating projects that claimed to deliver climate benefits have been found to be unable. Liese said that a 85% target for 2040 would still be ambitious. The European Conservatives and Reformists, as well as Socialists and Greens, have been against it. (Reporting and Editing by Bernadettebaum)
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Gold reserves in London vaults rose in March, according to LBMA
London Bullion Market Association said that the gold in London vaults at the end March totalled 8,488 metric tonnes, an increase of 0.1% over the previous month. Outflows from London into New York slowed after the dislocation. Last week, the premium between London gold spot prices and most active Comex futures contracts on Comex decreased after Washington exempted precious metals from U.S. import duties. Market players increased their gold deliveries to the U.S. in order to protect themselves against Washington's possible imposition of tariffs on the import of the metal between December and March. Comex gold stock levels are at record heights, after increasing by $80 billion in the last few months since Donald Trump announced that he would impose tariffs against imports from Canada or Mexico. Additional stocks were sourced from Switzerland and London, which is the largest OTC gold trading hub in the world. This reduced liquidity on the London market. The London bullion markets were compelled to borrow gold from the central banks that store their bullion at the Bank of England vaults. This created a long queue of people waiting to receive the metal. "While gold stocks at London's commercial vaults increased this month, stocks in Bank of England decreased by a similar rate to February," LBMA reported. Sources familiar with the situation told us last week that the waiting period to remove gold from the BoE vaults was reduced to 2-3 weeks by late March, compared to 4-6 weeks during January. After a sharp rise in January and February, the gold lease rates in London have returned to normal in late March. LBMA reported that there were 22,127 tonnes of silver in storage for March, a drop of 1.5% compared to February. The decrease in silver held by the LBMA slowed down from 4.5% in February. (Reporting and editing by Tomasz Janovski and Susan Fenton.
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India's Titan reports a 25% increase in revenue for the fourth quarter due to surging gold prices
Titan Company, an Indian jeweller and timepiece maker, said Monday that it expects to see a 25% rise in its fourth quarter revenue. This represents a higher growth rate than the same period last year, thanks to the rising gold price. Gold's price has increased by about 15% in the past year. This is due to the escalating geopolitical risks and uncertainty over U.S. Tariff policy. It is seen as an insurance against these risks. Even though the gold price has risen, Indians of affluence have continued to spend lavishly on wedding ornaments and gold as an investment. This is despite middle-class Indians cutting back on their discretionary spending. In a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Titan said that its jewellery division, which represents about 90% of the total revenue, is dominated by plain gold coins and jewellery, reflecting the strong preference consumers have for this precious metal. Sales of gold coins and plain jewellery are expected to be up 65% and 27% respectively. Titan's revenues grew by 17% last year in the fourth quarter. The company also saw an increase of 19% in its domestic jewellery business. The company's watches division, which represents 7% of its total revenue, and includes brands such as Fastrack and Sonata products, has reportedly grown by 22%. (Reporting from Shivani Tanna, Bengaluru. Editing by Vijay Kishore.)
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Germany's biggest steelmakers demand swift implementation of EU Action Plan
Thyssenkrupp Steel Europe and Salzgitter called on Monday for the EU Commission to implement its action plan as quickly as possible in order to protect the steel sector from the tariffs imposed by U.S. president Donald Trump. In a recent statement, Gunnar Gröbler, CEO at Salzgitter, Germany’s second largest steelmaker, said that Europe must not remain defenseless against the growing pressure of imports. Groebler stated that the EU must act with decisiveness while keeping the dialogue open with the U.S. TKSE, Germany’s largest steelmaker said that the plan is an “important impetus” to strengthen and decarbonise the sector's competitiveness. Dennis Grimm said in a press release that the "current geopolitical environment" made it all the more important to implement this plan. He said that the introduction of minimum binding quotas on "European Content" in public and private procurement should also be highlighted to strengthen domestic markets. Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European Commission, spoke with representatives from the metals sector on Monday. She then addressed the automotive industry. The calls were made to collect information for future countermeasures, beyond Brussels' response to Washington's new steel tariffs. This will be voted later this week. Import tariffs of 25% on steel, aluminium and automobiles are imposed by the EU27.
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India will not raise retail petrol and diesel prices despite tax increases
Oil Minister Hardeep Singh Puri announced that India raised the excise tax on petrol and diesel on Monday without passing higher costs on to consumers. This would increase government tax collections amid falling oil prices worldwide. Puri, at a recent press conference, said that the increase in excise taxes would be absorbed and not passed on to consumers. He said that higher tax collections from state-owned fuel retailers and private fuel retailers could help New Delhi partially compensate state companies who suffered a revenue loss in 2024/25 of 413.80 trillion rupees (4.8 billion dollars) on sales of local cooking gas below market prices. From April 8, the government increased the excise tax on a litre each of petrol and diesel, bringing the effective tax up to 13 and 10 rupees. Oil secretary Pankaj Jain stated that Indian refiners sell 160 billion litres per year of petrol and diesel. This means the government will earn at least 320 million rupees. The global oil price fell by nearly 4% Monday, as escalating tensions in trade between the United States (US) and China stoked concerns about a possible recession which would lower demand for crude. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is preparing to increase supply. Brent and WTI benchmarks have both fallen to their lowest levels since April 2021. Puri said that, if the global oil price remains at the current level, "we'll have enough headroom to lower the prices of gasoline and diesel". India also increased the retail price of a 14,2 kilogram cooking gas container by 50 rupees. Jain said that the latest rise in the price of cooking gas will help companies recover current revenue losses. The oil ministry will also seek assistance from the finance department to offset the dues for last year. The state refiners, including Indian Oil Corp., Hindustan Petroleum Corp., and Bharat Petroleum (which own 66% and 90% respectively of India's 5,14 million barrels of refining capacity per day and 95,000 retail fuel outlets) have announced that they will not increase the prices of petrol or diesel. Reliance Industries Ltd. and Nayara Energy, private refiners, hold the rest. Prashant Vashisth is senior vice-president at rating agency ICRA. He said that despite the increase in excise duties, oil marketing companies' marketing margins are expected to be healthy due to the recent significant drop in crude oil prices.
Russia oil fleet shifts away from Liberia, Marshall Island flags amid US sanctions crackdown
Lots of oil tankers utilized by Russia have stopped cruising under the Liberian and Marshall Islands flags in recent weeks after the United States increase sanctions enforcement on ships connected to those windows registries, according to shipping information and interviews with industry and federal government officials.
The shift reflects the close relationship in between the U.S. and the flag administration business of Liberia and the Marshall Islands, which are headquartered not in their home countries, but in Virginia, just miles from Washington D.C. and within the jurisdiction of U.S. sanctions enforcement.
The heavy previous use of those flags also represents a. possibly enduring vulnerability for Russia's oil fleet, whose. tankers will stay responsible for sanctions infractions even after. they have changed to a brand-new flag outside of U.S. reach,. according to energy and sanctions professionals.
They have actually created an enduring liability and long-lasting threat,. said Craig Kennedy, a center partner at Harvard University's. Davis Center for Russian and Eurasian Research Studies.
Commercial ships need to be registered, or flagged, with a. particular country to guarantee they are adhering to. worldwide acknowledged security and environmental guidelines.
analyzed LSEG and Lloyd's List Intelligence shipping. information, and spoke with federal government authorities, flag registry. representatives and shipping experts to supply previously. unpublished information on the function of flag computer system registries in the recent. wave of U.S. sanctions statements targeting Russia's oil. fleet, and the vulnerabilities they position to Russian oil. shipping.
The G7, the EU and Australia imposed a $60 a barrel cost. cap on Russian oil exports in December 2022 as part of larger. financial sanctions focused on cutting Moscow's earnings without. disrupting worldwide energy products, following Russia's intrusion. of Ukraine.
When, the cap bans the use of Western maritime services. tankers bring Russian oil priced at or above the cap. A U.S. official, who requested anonymity when discussing the. sanctions, validated that the Liberian and Marshall Islands flag. pc registries qualify as Western services.
Given that October, the U.S. Treasury Department has enforced. sanctions on some 41 oil tankers for Russian price cap. infractions, 24 of which were flying the Liberian flag and among. which was using the Marshall Islands flag.
Nearly all of the other tankers were flagged in Gabon,. including 12 of the 14 targeted by the Treasury Department in. its newest bundle of sanctions on Feb. 23. Of those. Gabon-flagged tankers, in which Russia's top shipping business. Sovcomflot (SCF) has an interest, a minimum of three had recently. flown the Liberian flag, according to ' analysis of. shipping data.
Those tankers were among a slew of ships in the SCF fleet. moving to Gabon, according to the data: as of early February,. SCF had 42 tankers in its 147 tanker fleet that had just recently. shifted to the Gabon flag, mainly from Liberia and Panama.
SCF declined to comment and Russia's transportation ministry did. not react to an ask for remark.
The Liberian flag windows registry informed that all the. Liberian-flagged vessels which were sanctioned remained in the. process of having their Liberian flags eliminated. We are all. residing in a different world right now and the registries require to. adapt to what the international scenario is at this point, the. Liberian pc registry said.
The computer registry declined to talk about its previous. organization with SCF.
A U.S. authorities informed that Liberia had actually been actively. engaged with the Treasury Department, and that approved. tankers have about a three-month unwind duration to change to. another flag.
Marshall Islands registry officials are also in contact with. U.S. firms on the problem, a Marshall Islands windows registry. spokesperson said.
Gabon Transportation Minister Loic Moudouma confirmed to. that numerous tankers had left the Liberia windows registry for. Gabon recently, and said Gabon would de-list them if they are. found to be participated in prohibited activity.
We are not a flag pc registry for the world's rogue navigators. or transporters, he stated.
If any ally, any partner on the planet, understands that. there is a Gabonese ship flying the Gabonese flag and carrying. out prohibited activities, all they need to do is send us the file. in full and we will take actions to get rid of the flag from this ship. ourselves. Whether Russian or any other citizenship.
Panama authorities did not respond to a request for. comment.
INVITING TROUBLE
The sanctions enforced up until now have actually sent a chill through the. industry involved in Russian trade.
A number of the still to be de-listed Liberian-flagged vessels,. Are stuck, sitting at anchor outside of ports. throughout the world including in the Black Sea, according to. shipping information, marking a costly liability for their owners and. those economically linked to their cargoes.
U.S. Treasury Department sanctions can have a contagion. effect on tankers by detering market gamers from dealing with. them, according to Harvard's Kennedy.
In the dollar denominated world of oil trading, why put a. deal worth 10s of millions of dollars at danger by utilizing a. obstructed tanker? You're simply inviting difficulty for everybody. included, he said.
Switching to the Gabon flag might also welcome extra. threat at ports for tankers bring Russian oil.
A U.S. authorities stated tankers that brought Russian oil above. $ 60 that switch to the Gabon flag might likewise have a more. difficult time with port authorities concerned about the security. of aging tankers.
The United States, European Union and UK provided a letter. late last year pushing Liberia, the Marshall Islands and. Panama to increase oversight of ships carrying their flags to. ensure they do not carry Russian oil offered above the cost. cap, a source informed at the time.
While the U.S. has been the primary enforcer of the rate. cap, other countries in the system are working with. Washington to tighten the screws.
We're making it harder for Russia to utilize its shadow fleet,. which in turn would require more volume back into the G7 fleet,. where company are certified with the cap, Olga. Dimitrescu, an official at the UK Treasury's sanctions. enforcement arm OFSI told a Feb. 1 podcast with ship insurance provider. NorthStandard.
U.S. officials state delivering practices associated with the. export of Russian oil above the West's rate cap remain in their. crosshairs. We are really worried about evasion, I think that's. clear from the actions we've taken, Claire McCleskey, an. official with the U.S. Treasury's sanctions enforcement arm. OFAC, told a New york city shipping conference last month.
You can expect our continuing to take action..
(source: Reuters)