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Gold prices rise as dollar yields fall due to inflation data

Gold prices rose after the U.S. inflation rate came in 'largely' in line with expectations. This eased some concerns over imminent Federal Reserve rate increases and pushed dollar and Treasury yields down.

As of 1:30 pm EDT (1730 GMT), spot gold was up by 0.8% to $4,032.74 per ounce after falling as high as 1% in the previous session.

U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery settled around 1% higher, at $4.047.60/oz.

"PCE data appears to have been in line with expectations. David Meger is director of metals at High Ridge Futures.

The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index surged by 4.1% over the past 12 months, marking the first time since April 2023 that the index has risen above 4.0%. Economists polled had predicted a 4.1% increase in PCE inflation.

After the data, the U.S. dollar lost its gains and turned lower. This made greenback-priced gold cheaper for overseas merchants. Treasury yields were also pushed lower.

The?CME FedWatch showed that the markets project an 80% probability of a rate increase in December. This compares to an 85% before the release the PCE data, and a 61% before the Fed's statement of policy last week.

The main focus will continue to be inflationary pressures in the future. Meger said that this is one of the reasons why gold has declined over the past few sessions.

Gold prices dropped below $4,000 an ounce on Wednesday, for the first time since November 20,25. This was due to expectations that interest rates will rise this year following the U.S. Federal Reserve's hawkish tone during its policy meeting.

Higher interest rates, despite serving as an inflation hedge for bullion, dampen its appeal. Investors turn to yield-bearing investments.

Prices of oil have increased, but the expectation that more will be supplied from the Middle East after an agreement to end "the Iran War" has pushed them back to their pre-war level.

Spot silver increased 1.7%, to $58.38 an ounce. Platinum rose 1.8%, to $1606.61. Palladium increased 1.9% to $1188.19 per ounce. (Reporting and editing by Anjana Anil, Bengaluru, Matthew Lewis, Elaine Hardcastle).

(source: Reuters)