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As markets evaluate Fed stance and Middle East tensions, gold gains as the dollar softens

Gold prices rose on Thursday, as the U.S. Dollar weakened. Investors also weighed up the Federal Reserve's decision not to change interest rates and watched the escalating tensions that may have triggered inflationary pressures in the Middle East.

By 1131 GMT, spot gold had risen 0.3% to $4.076.52 an ounce. U.S. Gold Futures for August Delivery rose 1% to $4074.30.

The move for gold is "primarily driven" by the weaker U.S. Dollar, and markets are adjusting their expectations modestly on what next moves will be made by the Fed. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo stated.

The U.S. Dollar Index has weakened by 0.2% making greenback priced bullion more affordable to buyers abroad.

Kevin Warsh, the chief of the U.S. central bank, pledged to continue his unwavering commitment in bringing inflation down. After the decision, spot gold prices increased by about 2%.

The U.S. Military said that it had struck dozens Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets in Iran in response to Tehran's firing of ballistic missiles on U.S. soldiers in Jordan, Wednesday.

Brent crude prices rose by more than $1 per barrel on Thursday.

Staunovo stated that "to see gold rise, we need to improve?in demand for investment and this requires market participants shifting expectations towards rate reductions."

Due to its lack of yield, higher rates for longer tend to reduce the appeal of bullion.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders are now 'pricing-in' a 63% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, down from 77% prior to Wednesday's Fed meeting.

Investors ?now await June U.S. Data on Personal Consumption Expenditures is due at 1230 GMT.

The World Gold Council reported that India also saw a rise in "unofficial" gold imports after the government raised import tariffs earlier this year.

(Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar) (Reporting by Sukanya Mitra in Bengaluru; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar)

(source: Reuters)