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Gold reaches record high due to broader uncertainty and rate-cut bets

The gold price reached another record on Tuesday, driven by a strong investment demand in the face of broader geopolitical uncertainty and economic instability. Expectations for further U.S. rate cuts also helped.

Gold spot held steady at $3.956.02 an ounce as of 0745 GMT after reaching a high of $3.977.19 earlier.

U.S. Gold futures for delivery in December were unchanged at $3,972.20. Ole Hansen is the head of commodity strategy for Saxo Bank. He said that strong ETF demand, driven by FOMO and eroding confidence in traditional safe-havens, remains key.

The White House backed off President Donald Trump on Monday from his claim that the shutdown was causing layoffs in the government, but warned that there could be job losses as the shutdown enters its seventh day.

The shutdown has delayed the release of important economic indicators. This forces investors to rely upon secondary data, which is not government-issued, to determine the timing and magnitude of Fed rate reductions.

The markets continue to price a 25 basis point cut for this month's meeting, and a reduction of a similar size in December.

Gold that does not yield is a good investment in low-interest rate environments and economic uncertainty.

The gold price has increased by 51% this year, thanks to strong central bank purchases, increased demand for exchange-traded products backed by gold, and a weaker US dollar. Retail investors are also becoming more interested in the metal, as they seek to protect themselves from rising geopolitical and trade tensions.

"I see gold rising to $4,300/oz in the next six months." Michael Langford is chief investment officer of Scorpion Minerals. He said that the USD will continue to depreciate, and this is good for the gold price.

Goldman Sachs raised its December 2026 gold price forecast to $4.900 per ounce, up from $4.300.

Data from the People's Bank of China revealed that China's central banks added gold to their reserves for the 11th consecutive month in September.

On Tuesday, currency and bond market volatility in Japan and France continued to grip the markets.

Other than that, silver spot was down by 0.9% to $48.11 an ounce. Platinum fell 1%, while palladium remained at $1,317.50. (Reporting from Anmol Choubey, Bengaluru. Editing by Kate Mayberry.)

(source: Reuters)