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Sources: RPT-Commodity traders Mercuria is betting on a boom with its foray into Uranium.

Sources: RPT-Commodity traders Mercuria is betting on a boom with its foray into Uranium.

Three sources familiar with the matter said that Mercuria is the first major commodity company to start physical trading of uranium. It joins banks Natixis, Citibank and others as the expected nuclear energy boom fuels the interest in this niche market.

Sources said that Mercuria started trading uranium earlier this year. Two sources confirmed that Citibank and Natixis both launched uranium trades this year.

The information provided by the three sources is confidential, so they asked that their names not be disclosed.

Citi and Natixis (part of French financial group BPCE) declined to comment.

Three new banks will be competing with Goldman Sachs, Macquarie and other major players in the $15 billion market.

Analysts and consultants expect institutions to benefit from the wave of new nuclear plants planned that will require financing and fuel supply.

The World Nuclear Association predicts that the demand for nuclear fuel will double by 2040 as governments strive to achieve zero-carbon targets, and technology companies scramble for energy to support AI. Mercuria of Geneva, which is a major player in the energy market, has been expanding its metals business in recent years using cash from high oil prices.

Louis Csango, who has worked for Goldman Sachs since the 1970s and is well-versed in uranium, was hired by the group in December to lead its uranium operations and work on gas and power.

The traders said that it makes sense for Mercuria, which has a power desk already, to use the information about utilities in both areas.

Bram Vanderelst, a trading manager at Curzon Uranium - one of the largest firms in the industry - said that there was a lot interest not only from traditional European trade houses, but also from banks from the U.S. He refused to name names. Goldman Sachs, Macquarie and some hedge funds have increased their activity in the sector in recent years.

HISTORICALLY HIGH URANIUM PRICES SEEN RISING

Uranium has a small market in comparison to other commodities like oil, copper, and aluminium, which are traded by Mercuria or commodity banks.

According to UxC, the total global utility demand for Uranium Oxide Concentrate (U3O8) was around 175 million pounds in 2012. Of that, 47 million pounds or 27% were traded on the spot markets.

Yellowcake or U3O8 is a fine powder that is packaged in steel drums and is created when uranium is chemically processed.

Jonathan Hinze is the president of UxC. He said, "If there's a doubled market in nuclear power and uranium I am sure that traders will have more opportunities."

He added, "It is not a market that you can break into quickly. It may take a few more years before you get your footing on the market."

The price of uranium at the spot market has doubled in the last five years, to $77 per pound. However, it is still down on the peak of $106 reached in February 2024 - the highest since November 2007.

Citi analyst Arkady Gvorkyan expects spot prices to reach $100 per pound in the next year, as miners might not be able keep up with demand.

In the last 20 years supply has always lagged behind demand but secondary supplies have balanced the market. "This era is ending relatively quickly," he said.

(source: Reuters)