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The yuan strengthens as tariff uncertainty is offset

The price of copper rose on Wednesday, as the weaker dollar and stronger yuan in China, a major metals consumer, offset concerns about trade tensions around the world.

By 1025 GMT, the price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange had risen by 0.2% to $9,951 per metric tonne.

On Tuesday, the metal used in construction and power, which is valued at $10,000, tested the psychological threshold for the first three months, as positive manufacturing data from China, the top consumer, improved sentiment.

Analyst Carsten Menke of Julius Baer said that this spike was due to a persistent premium in U.S. Copper Futures amid expectations that Section 232 tariffs would be imposed on imports to the United States in the future, assuming the investigation will conclude imports threaten U.S. National Security.

This has led to a spike in U.S. imports of copper this year. The metal is now scarcer outside the U.S. The LME copper contract with a shorter maturity is trading at a higher premium than those with a longer maturity.

Goldman Sachs stated in a report that they expect China's demand for refined Copper to increase by 6% between 2025 and 2050. They also see upside risks for their August LME copper prediction of $10,050 due to the competition for copper from China and America.

Julius Baer is worried about the future demand for copper due to the pre-buying by U.S. importers.

The U.S. Dollar was near its lowest level since February 2022 as traders weighed the impact of President Donald Trump’s spending bill and the looming deadlines for trade tariffs. The yuan is nearing an eight-month-high against the dollar, amid hopes of a easing in U.S. China trade tensions.

LME aluminium dropped 0.2% to $2.593.50 per ton. Zinc rose 0.4% at $2.725.50. Lead increased 0.4% at $2.046.50. Tin fell by 0.6%, to $33,430, and nickel rose by 0.1%, to $15,220. (Reporting and editing by David Evans; Polina Devitt)

(source: Reuters)