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US-China trade agreement boosts industrial metals

Prices of industrial metals rose on Monday, as fears about growth and demand eased. This was after China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce their reciprocal import duties and to end their trade war.

By 0922 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange (LME), rose by 0.8%, to $9,518 per metric ton, while aluminium gained a 2.1%, to $2,464.

After talks with Chinese officials U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent stated that the two sides agreed to a 90-day suspension of measures, and that tariffs will be reduced by over 100 percentage points down to a baseline rate of 10%.

One copper trader stated that "people are hopeful but still nervous" about the tariff situation.

U.S. president Donald Trump has increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%. This is in addition to the duties he levied on Chinese goods in his first term and those imposed by the previous administration.

In a note, Societe Generale analyst said that although the U.S. China relationship and global economy are less hostile now, there is still significant uncertainty for businesses and households.

In the next 90 days, there will likely be a significant up-fronting of the trade flows between China and the U.S.

Concerns about the supply of lead on the LME have led to a premium or backwardation around $5 per ton over the three-month contracts for other metals. .

The traders said that the premium was due to falling lead stocks In LME-registered storage, there are large amounts of warrants (0#LMEWHL>) and one long position that holds more than 40% lead contracts along with several short positions (0#LMEFBR>) due to mature in this month.

Lead warrants that were cancelled, or metal earmarked to be delivered, made up 52% of the total stock at 251,800 tonnes. This indicates that more lead is about to leave LME.

Lead for three months was up by 0.8%, at $1,998 per ton. Zinc rose 1.8%, to $2702, while tin climbed 1.3%, to $32,300, and nickel fell 0.2%, to $15,775.

(source: Reuters)