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Iran's President says Tehran won't surrender to the US in a war, but believes that diplomacy is better than war
Masoud Pezeshkian, the Iranian president, told the annual gathering at the United Nations of world leaders on Wednesday that Iran would not surrender to the United States in the war, but that he believes in diplomacy as a way to resolve the conflict. The United States delegation left the room at the beginning of Pezeshkian’s speech. The US'mission at the United Nations didn't immediately respond to an?invitation for comment. The Strait of Hormuz has become the focal point of tensions between Iran, and the US. It was a conduit for a quarter of 'global oil, and liquefied gas, before 'the war. "It is not possible that the Strait of Hormuz benefits everyone while we are denied shipping access through this waterway. Pezeshkian stated that the permanent deployment of hostile forces and the expansion in the war would not lead to peace. Pezeshkian spoke to the 193 members of the?General Assembly?a day after US president Donald Trump spoke. Trump made the case 'for his war against Iran in his speech on Tuesday, saying that he had prevented Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons and warned that he could 'annihilate the Islamic Republic' if a deal was not reached to end this conflict.
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BHP Escondida Mine Supervisors' Union urges refusal of contract offer; strike looms
The unionized supervisors will urge members at BHP's Escondida Copper?mine to reject the latest 'contract offer' from the company, pave the way for a strike. BHP made the offer to union members at the end Tuesday of the formal negotiations process. The vote will take place between September 28-30. Alexis Barrera, union leader, said that the union board unanimously rejected this latest offer because it "lacked essential elements." * He called on union members to vote for a strike. * If members reject the offer by voting, then a five-day mandatory government mediation period follows, before a legal walkout can be initiated. This period may be extended by mutual agreement by an additional five days. Workers objected against provisions such as task-based requirements for work and a potential?14-14 days work/rest rotation during contingencies. * Escondida said?the offer "contains new benefits and improvements over the current collective contract, which is already a leading tool in the?industry for the supervisors segment." The company says that the new contract is a result of lower production levels, increased cost pressures, and an investment plan designed to maintain future capacity.
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FOREX Dollar nears two-month high due to Fed rate hike expectations
The US dollar rose to its highest level in nearly two months on Wednesday, on the prospect of an interest rate increase in the near term. However, easing oil price could change?the global inflation outlook and monetary policy outlook. The euro dropped to its lowest level since late July, and last fell by 0.37% to $1.1405. The pound fell by as much as 0.5%, to $1.3273. This is its lowest level since early July. The dollar index, which measures US currency against six other currencies, increased by 0.36% to reach 100.92. Recent interest rate hikes by major central banks and their hawkish language have taken center stage on currency markets, as the US/Israeli conflict against Iran is driving oil prices up and fueling inflation fears. Investors expect more rate hikes, and this week a number Federal Reserve officials signaled that more policy tightening could be coming if inflation doesn't subside fast enough. Francesco Pesole, ING's strategist, said: "It is another sign that Fedspeak and hawkish Fedspeak are enough to keep USD on demand." The oil markets are still in the spotlight. Brent crude futures rose by 1%, returning to $100 per barrel after a five-day decline. This was based on the hope that the UN General Assembly would be able to resolve the seven-month Middle East conflict. Brent futures are up 37% since the conflict began at the end February. Physical prices in Europe are up at least 75% and in the US, at least 40%. It remains to be determined whether this decline will continue. Pesole stated that from a rates perspective oil ranging between $90-100/bbl is unlikely to cause a dovish change in expectations. Although crude oil prices have fallen, the price of refined products is still very high. Diesel, the fuel that powers most vehicles, is at record-high prices in Europe and in the US. US President Donald Trump stated on Tuesday that he supports the idea of a ban on diesel exports as a means to lower domestic prices. Analysts believe this could have a negative impact on global supply. Trump said he would annihilate Iran without a deal to end the conflict, but he also hinted that an agreement might be reached soon as diplomatic efforts continue in New York. Michael Wan is a currency analyst with MUFG. He said, "The good news about oil prices is that they have moderated from their highs. However, the path forward remains unclear due to the lack of clarity surrounding a potential resolution of the war." Investors also await a high-stakes summit between Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping, as both leaders are seeking stability in their relationship that is under pressure due to a wide range of issues. The Japanese yen dropped to 158?per dollar, as traders remained wary of the possibility of intervention following the Bank of Japan rate hike last week to a record high of 31 years. However, the Bank of Japan did not reassure investors that further increases could be on the way. Analysts believe that this period of reduced liquidity would be the best time for authorities, in case they are needed to intervene. Kieran William, the head of Asia FX for Intouch Capital Markets said that "160 (per US Dollar) remains a risk. However, officials are reportedly moving away from telegraphing interventions and from any set level. Therefore, the cap may come sooner and in different forms."
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Republicans could have gerrymandered themselves into a Latino problem the size of Texas
South Texas is a long stretch of highways with flat terrain, dotted with pump jacks and mesquite trees. Gas stations in South Texas have prices that voters say shouldn't be so high. This territory went heavily for Donald Trump in the 2024 election, but could change again in 2026. The trip took us from the outskirts San Antonio to McAllen via historic ranchlands and more than 30 Latinos who all had the same refrain: "as president, Trump missed a great opportunity to lower prices in this vast expanse where trucks and beef barbacoa reign supreme." Many people are not convinced that the Republican Party cares about them. Frustration over Trump's immigration policy and economic pressures is on the rise, which exposes cracks in what Republican officials had hoped would be a durable political realignment of Latino Americans. According to the latest tracking poll by /Ipsos, Trump's nationwide approval rating has dropped to 33%. This is the lowest level since he returned to office. This uncertainty is a problem to Texas Republicans who redrew the congressional maps last summer, betting that the Latinos who helped Trump win in 2024 would stay in their column. David Wasserman is an elections analyst for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. Texas Republicans wanted to change several districts to be more favorable for their candidates in the 2026 elections. They based their changes on Trump’s performance from 2024, which was the best showing by a Republican candidate among Latino voters this century. Rather than dilute Latino voters' power, many newly-configured districts remained heavily Latino. This included Texas's 15th and 35th Congressional district. Latinos make up 74.5% in District 15. According to the redistricting study by the state, Latinos make up 51.6% of District 35. Both districts are more competitive. The political forecasting site Sabato’s Crystal Ball rates the 15th district as a Tossup, while the 35th district is rated as Lean Republican. Cook Political rates 15th District as Lean Republican. A Texas Southern University survey conducted in August 2026 found that Democratic candidates were leading in three South Texas congressional districts, including the fifteenth. Nearly 50 interviews with analysts, activists and pollsters, as well as voters, support the notion that some Latinos who voted Trump in South Texas are open to Democrats. Saul Guajardo of McAllen is one of them. He voted three times for Trump. He said, "I was a conservative and far-right." "I am more willing than ever to vote Democrat." Guajardo said he and his wife Terrie live paycheck-to-paycheck, despite steady incomes. According to AAA, the average cost of gasoline in McAllen was $4.09 per gallon on September 22. Terrie said Trump’s "crackdown" on immigration enforcement was too harsh, because it has permanently divided some families who are trying to build a new life in the U.S. Many Latinos have a negative view of Republicans, according to a recent poll. A survey of 1,000 Latinos conducted by?Cook Political for TelevisaUnivision and?Cook Political in September found that 18% who voted for Trump do not support him anymore, and nearly two-thirds would vote less for candidates who support Trump’s immigration policies. Both parties see these shifts as the reason for both the promise and danger of Latino voters. They have shown less loyalty to parties than they do to elected officials who promise them economic improvement. "You're not talking to a brick wall, because they will all vote Democrat or Republican," said Daniel Alegre CEO of Spanish language media company TelevisaUnivision. "They will all vote for the candidate who makes their lives better." Republicans reject the idea that Latinos are turning away from them. Christian Martinez, National Republican Congressional Committee Hispanic Press Secretary, said Democrats responded to the decline in support from Hispanics with "denials, excuses and condescension" instead of addressing the concerns that drove working-class voters towards Republicans. CANDIDATE QUALITY Redistricting could backfire in the 15th District. In its re-configured form, it would have given Trump a 18-point victory in 2024 compared to a 2-point margin in 2020, and a 14-point defeat in his first presidential election in 2016. Bobby Pulido is a singer who has been a celebrity long before he entered politics. His hit song, "Desvelado", has been streamed on Spotify for nearly 610,000,000 times, and he's won two Latin Grammy Awards. His economic message and cross-over appeal has made the district one of the most closely watched races in the state. In a late August Texas Southern University survey, Pulido led De La Cruz by five percentage points. Pulido, dressed in a blue jeans, cowboy boots and a cowboy cap, travels around South Texas at weekends to attend quinceaneras, the traditional Latino 15th birthday party for girls. He often ends his surprise -- and free -- visits with a gift: a white cap with pink lettering that reads "Make Quinceaneras great again." Pulido claimed that Democrats lost support with Latinos in South Texas due to their failure to address economic concerns, which are most important to working families. He also said that both major parties misunderstand the electorate. Pulido said, "As a Democrat I believe that we misunderstand Hispanic voters and, frankly, I don't think Republicans get it either." "We're not looking for handouts. We're proud." "We just want to work, make something for our families and work towards making our children prosper better than we did." Pulido surprised Melody Silva, her family and 200 friends who had gathered to celebrate Melody's quinceanera on August 1. They cheered louder after he announced his candidacy for Congress and screamed at him when he appeared on a stairway. Michael Silva, Melody Silva's father, a McAllen police officer said: "He has such deep roots in the Valley." "I feel that he is not only representing the Valley but also the raza - the people - for us, locals." His name recognition appears to be his strongest suit. Pulido was a familiar name to the dozen voters interviewed at a Beeville outdoor market held monthly, about 180 miles north. The campaign of De?La?Cruz did not respond when asked for comment. Ramon Barrera (36), known on social media as "The Texas Tea Guy", sees a shift in the sentiment. He shares short TikTok posts "spilling tea" on politics and community issues. He also drives his Dodge Ram 3500 around South Texas to meet locals while looking for old furniture. He described himself as conservative, but was not firmly aligned to either party. He described Trump's presidency as a disappointment. This opened the door for him vote for Gina Hinojosa and Pulido, both Democrats running against Greg Abbott who is seeking a 4th consecutive term. He said, "The S&P looks great but our wallets do not."
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FOREX Dollar at 2-month highs, as Fed outlook is 'dominant.'
On Wednesday, the dollar rose to its highest level in over two months as a result of expectations that interest rates will be raised in the near future. However, easing oil prices may alter global inflation and monetary policies outlook. The euro dropped to its lowest level since late July, and last fell by 0.25% to $1.142. The pound fell 0.3% to $1.3305. The dollar index (which measures the US currency in relation to six other currencies) was 0.244% higher at 100.79. Recent rate hikes by major central banks and their hawkish rhetoric have taken center stage on the currency markets, as the US/Israeli conflict against Iran is driving oil prices up and fueling inflation fears. Investors now expect further rate increases and Federal Reserve officials have indicated this week that more policy tightening could be forthcoming if the inflation does not subside rapidly enough. Francesco Pesole, a ING strategist, said: "It is another sign that Fedspeak and the hawkish Fedspeak are enough to keep USD on demand." The oil markets are still in the spotlight. Brent crude futures climbed back to $99 per barrel after a five-day decline, fueled by hopes that the UN General Assembly would pave the path for a solution to the seven-month Middle East conflict. Brent futures are up 37% since the conflict began at the end February. Physical prices in Europe are at least 75% more expensive and in the US, they're at least 40% higher. It remains to be determined whether this will evolve into a more sustained drop. Pesole stated that from a rates perspective oil floats around $90-100/bbl is unlikely to cause a dovish change in expectations. The price of crude oil may have dropped from its recent highs, but the prices for refined products are still very high. Diesel, the fuel that powers most vehicles, is at record-high prices in Europe and in the US. US President Donald Trump stated on Tuesday that he supports the idea of a ban on diesel exports as a means to lower domestic costs - something analysts claim could cause more harm than good for global supply. Trump said in his UN speech on Tuesday that he would annihilate Iran without a deal to end the conflict, but also hinted at a possible agreement soon, as diplomatic efforts continue in New York. Michael Wan is a currency analyst with MUFG. He said, "The good news about oil prices is that they have moderated a bit from their highs. However, the 'path forward' remains unclear due to the lack of clarity surrounding a possible solution of the conflict." Investors also await a high-stakes summit between Trump?and Chinese president Xi Jinping, as both leaders are seeking stability in a relationship that is under pressure due to a wide range of issues. The?Japanese currency was trading at 157.8 yen per dollar. Traders remain cautious of the possibility of an intervention, after last week's Bank of Japan rate hike that reached a 31-year record high failed to convince?investors of further increases. Analysts believe that the Japanese markets will be closed on Monday for a holiday. This 'period of reduced liquidity' is an ideal time for the authorities to act if necessary. Williams of Intouch said that "160 per US dollar remains the risk. But officials have moved away from telegraphing an intervention and any fixed level. So the cap could be earlier and take other forms."
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European stocks rise as oil prices fall, AI hype lifts tech
European stocks rose on Wednesday, as oil prices dropped for the sixth consecutive session. Meanwhile, a new wave of AI optimism boosted tech stocks worldwide. Saudi Arabia has reportedly resumed operations on its East-West Pipeline. It may have also re-started exports through the Red Sea port of Yanbu. US President Donald Trump said that talks with Iran had progressed in New York, but threatened to "annihilate the country" if an agreement was not reached. Brock Weimer is an analyst at Edward Jones. He specializes in investment strategy. The markets are watching reports that he may hold discussions with Trump. The global interest rate outlook will be impacted by a sustained return of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. But caution is still necessary as past optimism has deteriorated quickly. Cole Smead is the CEO and portfolio manager of Smead Capital Management. Brent crude futures dropped 0.40% to $98,83 per barrel, while the pan-European STOXX 600 rose?0.17%. Futures for the S&P 500 benchmark and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 were both up 0.10% apiece on Wall Street. After four days of gains, the MSCI index of global stocks was stable. ASIA RIDE AI WAVE As consumer demand for AI-based apps continues to drive tech stocks, Asian stocks are on the rise. The renewed buzz around AI has helped South Korean shares?gain 0.9%. Samsung is up almost 1%. Taiwan's benchmark rose 0.8%, to reach near all-time highs. Data hardware has seen a boost from the strong consumer uptake of Meta's Muse Agent, which has topped US App Download Charts in the last two weeks. Analysts now want to know how CC, a product similar from Alphabet Labs and Google, will perform with consumers. Xi Jinping, the Chinese president, arrives in Washington in the afternoon amid speculations that a trading truce will be extended between the two nations and that there may be collaboration on AI. The Japanese markets were closed due to a holiday, but Nikkei Futures traded at 66 775, about 1,760 above the Nikkei cash close on Friday. "We expect strong reopenings in Japan tomorrow with another move down in crude and calm conditions in Treasuries and rates, as well as the Nasdaq Cash and Futures markets printing new highs," said Chris Weston. Semis have also had a strong session, recording a sixth day of gains. SoftBank's debt deal of $10 billion and above has also attracted interest of more than $20 billion, according to reports. This would be one of the biggest junk bond deals in history. The drop in oil has helped Treasury futures to move higher, keeping 10-year bond yields below the pain threshold of 5.0%. Both Tom Barkin, President of the Richmond Fed and Susan Collins, president of the Boston Fed, expressed support on Tuesday for the recent increase in interest rates due to inflation concerns. The dollar's technical background improved as the prospect of higher interest rates helped it to eke out multiple-week highs against the Euro, Sterling and Canadian Dollar. The euro was pinned at $1.1414 - a two-month low. Analysts pointed out that a Trump call to ban US exports of diesel could be bad news for European inflation, since the region relies heavily on US fuel shipments. The dollar held firm against the yen, at 157.76. Speculators were wary of provoking more Japanese intervention if it rose above 160.00.
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Copper and industrial metals are falling as the dollar strengthens
Copper fell on Wednesday as a result of?gains made by the US dollar. This also impacted?other industrial materials. By 7:00 AM GMT, the benchmark three-month copper price on the London Metal Exchange was down 0.66% to $14,651 per metric tonne. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.21% to 110,990 Yuan ($16.549.37) per ton. Investors now expect further tightening by central banks. The US dollar has hit a high of two months on the prospect of interest rate increases in the near future. The?expensiveness of the dollar can make dollar-denominated products such as copper more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. The red metal in China has not been as popular. The Yangshan Premium The price of a ton of copper in China fell to $117 on Tuesday but was still higher by 62.5% than it was at the beginning of the month. The Chinese demand was boosted because of the purchases made before the smelters shut down for their public holidays. The next holidays in China are from September 25-27 and October 1-07. The US has been importing a lot of copper in recent months, which helped to support the price. However, the demand for the metal weakened when it was reported that US officials are worried that tariffs could increase the costs for manufacturers. Analysts from the Chinese broker Jinrui Futures said in a report that "US weekly imports are down." SHFE nickel, meanwhile, was up by 0.97%. Prices on the LME rose late Tuesday, after PT Indonesia Morowali Industrial Park said that a water shortage had forced some smelters in Indonesia to reduce their nickel pig iron output. Aluminium lost 0.78% on the LME, while?zinc, lead, and nickel all lost 0.59%. Tin was only up 0.04%. Aluminium fell 0.14% on the SHFE. Zinc dropped 0.64%. Lead lost 0.61%. Tin dropped 0.09%.
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Portugal claims that China's State Grid will not be affected by the entry of REN into grid operator REN
Portugal's government has said that its purchase of a'stake' in the power and gas grid operator 'REN' will not have any impact on China's State Grid's 25% stake, which it wants to'remain' a 'key shareholder'. The Chinese state-owned utility acquired a 25% stake in REN during this period, and became its largest shareholder. The Portuguese government intends to increase its stake to up to 20%. In a late-night statement, the?Finance Ministry stated that Lisbon informed Beijing?that State Grid's 25 percent stake in REN would not be affected by the entry of the state into REN capital. It said: "On?the?other hand, it's in the interest of the Portuguese government for State?Grid?to remain a reference shareholder? in REN." The Ministry of Energy said that the growing geopolitical insecurity and the strategic importance of energy infrastructure justifies its investment in REN. It argues that electricity and natural gas networks are crucial to energy security, energy transition, industrial growth and attracting investments. The report said that the move was "part of a global movement towards greater government participation in strategic sectors". It noted that Portugal was the only European Union member without a stake in its national electricity grid operator. According to the ministry, most EU countries still retain significant state shares or state ownership in their national electricity grid operators. The investment will give REN's strategy a long-term alignment with national priorities and allow the state to have greater control over a strategic asset. The decision was also justified by the 'geopolitical changes and the increasing importance of electricity, in particular, in the drive to electrify and modernize the economy, as well as attract investment into artificial intelligence and data centers.
London copper hits two-week short on dollar strength, demand concerns in China
London copper extended decline to a. twoweek short on Tuesday, as a more powerful dollar and worries about. demand in leading customer China weighed on sentiment.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME). was down 0.4% at $9,060 a metric heap, as of 0215 GMT, after. touching its most affordable level because Jan. 10 earlier in the session.
The dollar index was up 0.6%, making greenback costs. metals costlier for other currency holders.
Information on Monday showed that China's manufacturing activity. unexpectedly contracted in January, keeping alive calls for. stimulus worldwide's second-largest economy.
Trading was also impacted by Chinese purchasers who are missing. due to Lunar New Year holiday. The Shanghai Futures Exchange. will be closed from Jan. 28 to Feb. 4.
Further weighing on belief was tariff worries, which are. back in the image after the U.S. and Colombia drew back from. the edge of a trade war.
On the other hand, a Reuters survey revealed that experts have marked. down their forecasts for copper prices in 2025. The cash copper. contract on LME should average $9,425 per lot this year, a. typical projection of 33 experts showed, down 4.8% from $9,898 in. the last poll in October.
Three-month aluminium was down 0.1% at $2,600.5. Zinc. fell 0.2% to $2,834.5 a ton, lead was steady at. $ 1,949, tin got 0.3% to $29,720 and nickel. was up 0.6% to $15,650.
Meanwhile, Russia's Nornickel, the world's significant manufacturer of. improved nickel, said on Monday it sees its nickel output at. 204,000-211,000 tons in 2025, an approximately 3% increase from last. year.
(source: Reuters)