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Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February

Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February
Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February

The gold price rose to its highest level in nearly seven weeks on Wednesday and was on track to post the largest daily increase since February due?to lower Treasury rates and hopes of progress regarding opening the Strait of Hormuz.

By 11:04 am, spot gold had risen 4.4% per ounce to $4256.85. The spot gold price rose 4.4% to $4,256.85 per ounce at 11:04 a.m. ET (1504 GMT), after reaching $4,258.99 - its highest level since June 18 - and breaking above the 50 day moving average. It now stands at $4,160.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 4% to $4317.40.

The early adopters have returned to precious metals, as the probability of rate increases has decreased since last week. The dollar is down sharply, which helps. "The Iran pause also helps," said Tai Wong an independent metals dealer.

The dollar fell to six-week-lows against other major currencies and the yield on U.S. 10 year notes was at one-week-lows. President Donald Trump had said that his administration held "very good talks" with Iran in a full-day of negotiations. This fueled hopes that?the five month conflict might be approaching.

Gold is down by 24% from its record high of $5 595 in January, and 19% since the beginning of the Iran War, which fueled concerns about energy inflation, and reinforced bets for interest rate hikes.

According to the World Gold Council, the demand for gold by central banks in the first half of 2026 will be the lowest it has been since 2022. The World Gold Council reported that the outflows of gold-backed exchange traded funds totalled 45 tonnes in the second quarter. This was when bullion experienced its steepest quarterly decline since 2013.

J.P.Morgan stated in a recent note that with central bank purchases?muted?, retail interest elsewhere focused and subdued demand for physical gold in Asia, the rates-sensitive ETF is now the main driver of gold prices.

Wong stated that "for the metals industry to really gain steam, rate cuts must be priced in, but for now, this is a story of 2027 at the very earliest."

Silver spot rose 4.9%, to $62.44 an ounce after reaching its highest level since the 6th of July.

Palladium rose 1.6% to $1.374.75, while platinum remained at $1.735.28. The prices are the highest they have been since June 17th and June 2nd, respectively.

Standard Chartered's Suki Cooper said that "Platinum & palladium has priced in many headwinds" since the beginning of the conflict. These include concerns?over a slowing in auto production, a growing market share EVs & the potential for recycling growth.

She believes that platinum will be in short supply this year, and palladium will become a surplus by 2026. (Reporting from Sukanya Mittra and Noel John, in Bengaluru; and Polina Devitt, in London. Additional reporting by Anjana Anil. Editing by Shailesh Kumar and Joyjeet Das.

(source: Reuters)