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Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February

Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February
Iran talks and lower bond yields set gold on course for its largest daily increase since February

The gold price climbed to its highest level in nearly seven weeks on March 3. It is on track to be the largest daily increase?since the beginning of February, due to the lower Treasury yields and the?hopes of progress regarding the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.

By 2:15 pm, spot gold had risen 4.4% to $4253.36 an ounce. ET (1815 GMT), it had reached $4,264.93 - its highest level since June 18 - and was above the 50 day moving average which now supports gold at $4,160.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 3.7%, to $4,305.20 an ounce.

Early adopters are returning to precious metals, as the likelihood of rate increases has decreased since last week. The dollar is down sharply, which also helps. "The Iran pause" also helps," said Tai Wong, a metals trader.

The dollar was trading near its six-week-lows against other major currencies. Meanwhile, the yield on U.S. 10 year notes hovered around a one-week-low after President Donald Trump stated that his administration had held "very good conversations" with Iran in a day-long negotiation, giving rise to hopes of resolving the five-month conflict.

Falling yields make gold cheaper for overseas buyers, while the lower dollar makes it cheaper for domestic buyers.

Gold is still down 24% from its record high of $5594.82 reached in January. It has also fallen 19% since the Iran War sparked fears about energy inflation, and boosted bets for interest rate hikes.

According to the World Gold Council, the demand for gold by central banks in the first half of 2026 will be the lowest it has been since 2022. Gold-backed exchange traded funds saw a total outflow of 45 tons during the second quarter. Bullion had its steepest quarterly decline since 2013 - falling 14%.

J.P.Morgan stated in a report that with central bank purchases muted, retail attention elsewhere, and subdued demand in Asia rates-sensitive ETFs are back as the marginal demand for gold prices.

Wong stated that "for the metals industry to really gain steam,?rate reductions must be priced in but, for the moment, this is a story of 2027 at the very earliest."

Silver spot rose 4.4%, to $62.11 an ounce after reaching its highest level since July 6.

Palladium rose 1.5%, to $1373.24, and platinum gained 0.2%, to $1740.04 an ounce. The metals reached their highest levels since June 17 and 2, respectively, in relation to the Iran peace negotiations.

Standard Chartered's Suki Cooper said that palladium and platinum have been priced with many headwinds, including concerns about the slowing of auto production and the growing market share of electric vehicles.

She believes that platinum will be in short supply this year, and palladium will become a surplus by 2026. (Reporting from Sukanya Mittra and Noel John, in Bengaluru; and Polina Devitt, in London. Additional reporting by Anjana Anil. Editing by Shailesh Kumar and Joyjeet Das.

(source: Reuters)