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Fed raises interest rates and a strong dollar will cause gold to have its worst quarter since 13 years.

The dollar was firmer amid expectations that U.S. rates will be raised, and gold edged up from a near seven-month low.

As of 1150 GMT spot gold was up 0.4% to $4,031.29 an ounce after hitting its lowest level in November 2025 earlier in session. U.S. gold futures for August delivery fell 0.2% to $4.045.30/oz.

"The failure to maintain gains (for gold), highlights the current fragile mood, where traders continue to?sell into strength instead of buying into weakness, which is a noticeable shift from behaviour seen in the past few years," said Saxo Bank Analyst Ole Hansen.

Bullion fell more than 11% in the last month and is on course for its fourth consecutive monthly decline. The precious metal was also on track for its first quarterly drop since 2024, and its largest quarterly percentage drop since the?June quarter?of 2013

Hansen said that prices must first break above $4100 to be considered a low.

The dollar's strength, which was set to gain for the second consecutive month as markets priced higher odds of Fed rate increases, also weighed on bullion.

CME FedWatch data shows that higher energy prices, fueled by the Middle East war, have erased expectations for a rate cut in the United States this year. Traders now see a 65% chance of an increase in September.

Gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, but higher interest rates can weigh down on this non-yielding material.

The focus is now on the upcoming 'U.S. Employment data, such as the?ADP and nonfarm payrolls will provide clues about the future path of the U.S.

The oil market is on course for its worst quarter since early 2020, as traders assess prospects for renewed U.S. diplomacy with Iran. Iran has said that reports of Doha talks this week are unfounded.

As political risks surrounding the U.S. currency grow, many central banks are planning to reduce their dollar holdings rather than increase them over the next decade. An OMFIF study showed that currency is growing.

Other than that, spot silver increased by 1.2%, to $59 an ounce. Platinum gained almost 1%, to $1.589.75, and palladium grew 2.4%, to $1.241.89. All three metals are headed towards quarterly and monthly losses.

(source: Reuters)