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Gold reaches a new high as Fed rate cuts loom

Gold reaches a new high as Fed rate cuts loom

Gold reached a new record on Tuesday. The market was buoyed by the weakening dollar and the growing anticipation of a rate cut by 25 basis points at Federal Reserve policy meeting.

As of 8:09 am, spot gold was up 0.5% at $3,696.34 an ounce. ET (1209 GMT), following a session high of $3699.37.

U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.4% to $3733.70.

The dollar dropped to its lowest level in over two months against other currencies. Gold becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies when the dollar weakens.

Gold is gaining in popularity due to the anticipation of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.

If the dot plot indicates a change to two rate reductions in 2025, it could drive the gold rally, pushing the price beyond $3,700/oz, with $3,800/oz being a realistic possibility.

According to CME FedWatch, traders are pricing in an almost certain 25-bps rate reduction at the end a two-day session on September 17. There is a slight chance of a 50%-bps cut.

In a Monday social media post, U.S. president Donald Trump called on Fed chair Jerome Powell for a "bigger rate cut". Stephen Miran was narrowly confirmed by the U.S. Senate to be a member of the board of governors at the Federal Reserve.

In a low interest rate environment, non-yielding gold bullion is likely to perform well.

Commerzbank has raised its gold price prediction to $3.600 per troy-ounce by the year's end and to $3.800 by 2026.

Bullion prices have risen by 41% in the past year, and multiple records were set. This is due to central banks' sustained purchases, diversification from the U.S. Dollar, and resilient demand for safe-haven assets amid geopolitical tensions and trade frictions.

Silver spot was also up 0.2%, at $42.81 an ounce. This is the highest price since September 2011. Palladium was up 1.6% at $1,203.19 and platinum gained 0.6%. (Reporting by Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar)

(source: Reuters)