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India's diamond hub is awash with empty offices and lost orders as US tariffs threaten

India's diamond hub is awash with empty offices and lost orders as US tariffs threaten

Surat Diamond Bourse is eerily silent, with just a few traders working. It's billed as being the largest office complex in the world, surpassing the Pentagon.

The business climate is slow and the outlook is dim.

India's diamond exports have already reached a two-decade-low due to weak Chinese demand. Now, higher tariffs under U.S. president Donald Trump threatens to cut off access to the largest market in India, which accounts nearly a quarter of its $28.5billion annual shipments.

The looming U.S. Tariffs have shaken the confidence of buyers in Surat, which is where over 80% of all rough diamonds in the world are cut and polissed.

While smaller exporters are less able to absorb the impact, some larger players plan to move part of their operations into countries such as Botswana which has a 15% lower U.S. duty. India's 25% tariff will double on August 27.

Hitesh Patel, the managing director of Dharmanandan Diamonds said that if tariffs continue, they may increase production. The company expects its annual revenue to be reduced by 20-25%.

Shaunak Parikh said that the industry is also responding to the slower demand by reducing working days and hours.

A bourse official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said that more than 4,700 offices had been sold at the Surat Diamond Bourse. However, less than 250 were actually in use, and several companies have re-evaluated their plans for moving in.

The owner of Mumbai's diamond firm who purchased space on the bourse in last year said that he had put off relocation plans.

"U.S. Tariffs have already shaken up our business and we do not want to add the hassle of moving to Surat from Mumbai," he said. He requested anonymity in order to protect his company's identity.

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, had inaugurated the Surat Diamond Bourse in December 2023. It was built on 6.7 million square foot, which is more than the Pentagon.

The sprawling bourse, which consists of nine interconnected towers with each having 15 floors, boasts gleaming facades and houses banks, vaults and customs offices. It is designed to be a hub for the diamond industry worldwide.

LITTLE SPARKLE AFTER THE HIGH SEASON

Surat workers typically increase production at this time of the year to meet an influx of orders coming from the United States in advance of Christmas and New Year. Many artisans, however, are unsure if they will have any work this year.

"Demand is so low that the diamond packs I sold last year for 25,000 rupees (285.84 dollars) now fetch barely 18,000," said Shailesh Manngukiya who runs a cutting-and-polishing unit in Surat in Gujarat, Modi's native state in India's West.

Mangukiya announced that he has reduced his staff to 125.

GJEPC's Parikh stated that if there is no trade agreement between India and the U.S. for lower tariffs, then 150,000 to 200 000 workers may lose their jobs.

Industry officials say that, as a result of tariffs, U.S. diamond buyers will likely source their diamonds from Israel, Belgium, and Botswana.

Exporters say it is difficult to find new diamond buyers in India to compensate for the loss of sales to the United States.

Exporters say that the industry has reduced its purchases of rough diamonds and is operating with minimal inventory to conserve cash flow. Cash-strapped small units are offering steep discounts to remain afloat.

India's domestic market is the only bright spot.

The demand for diamonds continues to grow in India. This country recently overtook China, the second largest market in the world, according to Hitesh Sha, a partner of Venus Jewel which supplies luxury brands like Tiffany & Co.

Shah explained that the Indian market is compensating for the American demand loss. Reporting by Bansari Mayur kamdar and Rajendra jadhav, Editing by Mayank bhardwaj, Himani sarkar.

(source: Reuters)