Latest News
-
India's NTPC reports a quarterly profit increase on lower expenses
NTPC, India's largest power producer, reported a higher adjusted profit for its second quarter on Thursday. This was due to lower expenses as a result of a decrease in fuel prices. The company's profit for the three-month period ended September 30 increased 19.4% compared to a year ago, reaching 56.24 billion rupies ($639.9m). Fuel cost is the total amount of expenses incurred by NTPC in acquiring and consuming the fuels needed for electricity production. This accounts for nearly 60%. Fuel costs fell nearly 5%, resulting in a 1.6% drop in the total expenditures of the state-owned company. India's power generation recovered in the second half of the year after a subdued first quarter ending in June. According to Elara Capital analysts, a low base and an increase in economic activity helped spur demand. Due to grid restrictions however, NTPC’s thermal power segment’s plant load factor (which is a percentage energy used by the power plants corresponding to their installed capacity) fell to 66.01%, from 72.28% during the period of July-September. Since Sept. 2024 the company has added 7450 Megawatts (MW), bringing its total installed power to 83893MW. India is planning to increase its coal-power capacity by 46 percent by 2035. It also plans to expand its renewable power capacity. NTPC's revenue from operations rose marginally by 0.2%, to 447.86 trillion rupees. ($1 = 87.8950 Indian rupees) (Reporting by Anuran Sadhu in Bengaluru; Editing by Harikrishnan Nair and Krishna Chandra Eluri)
-
Saudi Arabia's budget deficit reaches $23 billion by Q3
Saudi Arabia's third-quarter budget deficit increased by 160%, as revenues dropped and spending rose. The finance ministry announced this on Thursday. Oil revenues dropped 0.1%, to 150.8 billion riyals. The unwinding of OPEC production cuts weighed on prices. Meanwhile, the Kingdom's Vision 2030 plan for diversification was implemented. In the first quarter of this year, revenues for the world's largest oil exporter fell by 13% compared to last year. 119.1 billion dollars came from industries other than oil. The public spending increased by 6% on an annual basis to 358.4 billion Riyals. The IMF's latest World Economic Outlook raised its forecast of Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth to 4% in 2025 from the 3% projected in April. The IMF revised the growth in 2026 to 4% due to an earlier than expected unwinding in Saudi Arabia's oil production cuts. The OPEC+ group increased crude oil production in October after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Russia, and other allies decided to accelerate the unwinding of some cuts earlier than originally planned. Saudi Arabia's deficit budget shrank by 41.1% to 34.534 billion Riyals in the second quarter. According to the Ministry, the public debt of the kingdom stood at 1,47 trillion riyals by the end the third quarter.
-
Ghana orders the first major audits of mining companies in 10 years
Ghana, Africa’s top gold producer has launched the most aggressive audit of its mining industry in 10 years, targeting top miner to recover revenue lost and tighten up oversight, as a letter from government shows. West African governments are increasing their scrutiny on mining companies to ensure compliance with regulations, and protect revenue from the soaring prices of commodities. On October 20, the spot gold price reached a new record of $4,380 per troy ounce. The audit will include major gold producers including Newmont, AngloGold Ashanti Gold Fields, Perseus Asante Gold, China's Zijin, and China's AngloGold Ashanti. According to a government letter sent by the Minerals Commission to the Ghana Chamber of Mines on October 13, the audit will be conducted by independent consultants and forensic accountants. The Minerals Commission is the industry regulator and will be deploying teams to conduct a nationwide physical and financial audit between November 1, 2018 and June 20, 2026. These teams will examine production volumes, mineral flow, tax and royalties payments, and environmental compliance. By October 31, miners must submit all permits, stockpiles, shipping manifests, 10 years worth of production records, 3 years financial records and 10 years worth of production logs. The letter stated that company-specific reports must be submitted within 30 days after each site visit. The Minerals Commission refused to comment. The Mines Ministry did not respond immediately to a comment request. TRUE REVENUE RESOURSE POTENTIAL The world's second largest cocoa producer will generate 17.7 billion Ghanaian Cedis ($1.68billion) by 2024. This is due to a 25.1% increase in gold production, which helped stabilize the economy following its worst crisis for a generation. Ghana, which exports bauxite and diamonds, as well as manganese and diamonds, expects its gold production to increase to 5.1 millions ounces from 4.8. The letter from the commission details a phased auditory starting with Gold Fields Damang mine in November and Perseus, Canada-based Xtra-Gold Kibi unit by late June 2026. An executive from one of the companies, who asked not to be identified, said that individual companies received letters detailing the schedule. AngloGold Ashanti did not respond immediately to comments from Asante Gold. Gold Fields, Newmont. Perseus. Xtra-Gold. Zijin. Chamber of Mines did not respond immediately either. Ghana audited the mining sector last in 2015, with external investigators' help, but some companies disputed the findings. A source familiar with this process said. Said Boakye is an economist at the Accra based Institute for Fiscal Studies and a research fellow. He said that special audits should not be performed periodically but every year. It's the only method to develop a sound tax policy, and unlock the true revenue potential of the sector. The government has implemented sweeping reforms in order to increase returns. The country's mines ministry said that the country would shorten the licence terms and implement direct revenue sharing with host communities. This is the most ambitious overhaul of mining laws in almost 20 years.
-
Letter shows truckmakers asking EU to relax emissions targets
A letter obtained by revealed that European truck manufacturers, including Traton Scania, Volvo, and Daimler Truck, have asked the European Union to relax its CO2 emission rules for this sector. Industry is being pressed to reduce its emissions that are warming the planet. Electric trucks are still a small part of the market because they cost more than diesel versions and buyers worry about charging infrastructure. In a letter dated October 13, the companies demanded changes to the EU credit system, which rewards manufacturers who achieve emissions below the EU targets as well as a linear trajectory from target year to target year. They want to be credited for just beating headline targets. Christian Levin of Scania and Traton said that the letter was a "cry for help". "We don't argue that the targets are incorrect... but it will be very, difficult," said Levin. He is also chair of the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association's (ACEA's) board for commercial vehicles. Daimler Truck's spokesperson said that the industry has invested heavily in electrification, but faces "draconian penalties" for not meeting targets. This is despite factors beyond their control such as battery manufacturing and charging infrastructure. Levin said that the best solution would be to eliminate the stupid fines imposed on the industry and instead force everyone to work together through incentives or penalties. According to EU law, truckmakers are required to reduce emissions of new trucks by 15 percent by 2025. This will rise to 90 percent by 2040 compared to the levels in 2019. The majority of truckmakers are on course to reach the 2025 target - mostly by improving their diesel lineup, rather than selling electric trucks. Environmentalists warn that lowering the targets will slow Europe's move to electrification, and could open the door for Chinese producers. Transport & Environment, a campaign group, said that the proposed changes would reduce EU sales of zero emission trucks by 27% by 2030. The European Commission didn't immediately respond to our request for comment. In a letter addressed to EU leaders, Ursula von der Leyen, the President of the European Commission, promised to "concrete" measures that would help heavy-duty vehicle producers reach their goals. Brussels has already considered lowering its CO2 emission target for cars by 2035, in response to pressure from the industry and EU member states.
-
Investors assess U.S. China trade deal as Fed lowers rates and gold gains
Gold prices increased by nearly 2% Thursday. This was due to a Federal Reserve rate cut and lingering uncertainties over the outcome a trade agreement between China and the U.S. As of 9:43 a.m., spot gold was up by 1% to $3,970.36 an ounce. ET (1343 GMT) after a nearly 2% rise earlier in the day. U.S. Gold Futures GCcv1 were unchanged at $3.992.40 an ounce for December delivery. U.S. president Donald Trump announced on Thursday that he would lower tariffs against China from 57% to 47% if Beijing resumed U.S. purchases of soybeans and rare earths and cracked down on the illicit fentanyl traffic. The markets have backed off any optimism about the end of the trade wars as details of the U.S. China deal were revealed. Fears that the truce could be temporary led to a fall in equity markets. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates in line with expectations on Wednesday. However, it indicated that this may be the last reduction of the year, as the government shutdown is threatening the availability key economic data. In a low interest rate environment, safe-haven assets like gold become more appealing as they are non-yielding. Gold tends to do well during times of geopolitical or economic uncertainty. Wells Fargo Investment Institute has raised its gold target for 2026 to $4,500-$4,700/oz from $3,900-4,100/oz previously, citing uncertainty in geopolitical policy and trade. Analysts said that they expect the question marks to continue to drive private and public demand, and higher prices. Other than that, silver spot rose by 1.7%, to $48.34 an ounce. Platinum gained 0.9%, to $1.598.55; and palladium increased 1%, to $1.415.52. (Reporting from Noel John in Bengaluru and Pablo Sinha; editing by Shailesh Kuber)
-
Nigeria imposes a 15% import duty to support local refiners
According to a memo from the president seen on Thursday, Nigeria has approved an import duty of 15% on petrol and diesel. The government is trying to protect its multi-billion dollar investments in domestic refinery by limiting an influx cheaper fuel. The government stated that the measure was part of broader reforms to boost non-oil revenue in advance of tax changes planned for 2026. The measure follows the removal of fuel subsides and foreign exchange controls last year. The memo said that "this reform will accelerate Nigeria’s path to fuel self-sufficiency. It will protect consumers and investors, and stabilize downstream petroleum markets." Bola Tinubu, President of the Republic of Nigeria, signed off on new import duties on October 21, 2018. Nigeria, Africa's largest oil producer, has been trying to reduce its dependence on imported fuel for a long time. The Dangote refinery, which produces 650,000 barrels of oil per day, was inaugurated last year. This gave the ambition a big boost. The memo said that the refinery, Africa's biggest, was built for $20 billion and faced competition from imported goods priced below the cost recovery. The current pump price is around 928 Naira ($0.6322) a litre. The officials estimate that the duty may increase prices by 99 naira. Fuel shortages have been experienced in Nigeria due to supply issues. $1 = 1,467,8100 Naira (Reporting and editing by Chijioke Ohuocha, Joe Bavier; Additional reporting by Camillus in Abuja)
-
Copper backs off Fed caution amid concerns about Chinese demand
The Federal Reserve's cautious comments on U.S. rate cuts and concerns about Chinese demand led to a decline in copper prices on Thursday, compared with the record highs of the previous day. The price of three-month copper at the London Metal Exchange fell 1.8% in open-outcry official trading to $10,978 a metric ton, after reaching a record high on Wednesday, $11,200, due to supply concerns. Robert Montefusco, a broker at Sucden Financial, said: "Copper prices are down today due to the lackluster physical demand and the Fed's dovish sentiment on a rate cut in December. Fed Chair Jerome Powell shocked the markets on Wednesday, casting doubt on the prospects for an interest rate reduction at the next central bank meeting in December. He said that such a move "was not a foregone decision". This helped push the dollar index up to its highest level in three weeks, making commodities priced using the U.S. dollars more expensive for buyers who use other currencies. The Shanghai Futures Exchange's most traded copper contract fell 0.1% to 87.960 yuan (12,348.73 dollars) per ton. The physical demand for metals in China, the top consumer of metals, has been weakening as prices rise. Spot copper prices are higher than SHFE prices. Flipping to a 55-yuan discount per ton of coal on Thursday, from a premium 90-yuan on 15 October. A poll found that major miners have reported lower output of copper in the first nine month of the year. This has led analysts to raise their price predictions for next year. Dan Smith, managing Director at Commodity Market Analytics said that the market is bullish but some miners may be holding it back because they want to sell ahead to lock in high prices. I'd imagine that copper producers are doing a lot of hedging, which prevents prices from rising. These are good numbers for many copper producers." Other metals include LME aluminium, which fell 1.4% to $2.845.50 per ton in official activity, nickel, which dropped 1% to $16,215; zinc, which slipped 1.9% to $3,000; lead, a 0.1% drop to $2.024; and tin, a 0.6% decline to $35,960. Click here for top metals stories ($1 = 7.1230 Chinese yuan). (Reporting and additional reporting by Lucas Liew, Editing by Shareysh Kuber, Shreysh Biswas, and Shareysh Kuber)
-
Google Gemini Pro is available for free to Reliance Jio customers in India for 18 months as part of a broader AI push
Reliance Industries in India and Google announced tie-ups in artificial intelligence for consumers and businesses, including a free 18-month subscription to Google's Gemini AI Pro Platform, as part of a push to increase AI adoption in India. The companies have announced that the offer, currently priced at 35.100 rupees (about $399) for 18 months will allow Jio users to access the latest Gemini 2. Pro model, 2TB of cloud storage and its image and videos generation models. OpenAI announced a few days earlier that it would provide users with ChatGPT Go access for a full year in India. India's AI market, which is growing rapidly, has witnessed a rise in competition as firms compete to attract the nearly 1 billion Internet users of India with low-cost or free premium offerings. Google offers Gemini AI Pro for free to Indian students for an entire year, while Perplexity gives Indian users free access to their premium plan through a partnership with Bharti Airtel. Reliance Intelligence, the AI arm of the company, will be working with Google Cloud in order to give organisations access to Google AI hardware accelerators that will help them train and deploy large AI model. Gemini Enterprise will be adopted by Indian companies in partnership with the two companies. Gemini Enterprise enables firms to create and run custom AI agents.
Analysts' reactions to the US-China Trade Agreement
U.S. officials and Chinese officials announced that they had reached an agreement on a framework for re-establishing their trade truce and removing China's restrictions on exports of rare earths. However, there was little indication that the long-standing trade disputes would be resolved.
Li Chenggang, Vice Minister of Commerce in China, said that the two teams agreed to implement their Geneva consensus. They would then take the framework agreed upon back to their respective leaders.
An official at the White House said that the agreement allows the U.S. a tariff of 55% on imported Chinese products. The tariff includes a baseline "reciprocal tariff" of 10%, a fentanyl-trafficking tariff of 20% and a 25 percent tariff that reflects existing tariffs. China would impose a tariff of 10% on U.S. imported goods.
MARKET REACTION:
S&P 500 was up 0.1% as investors waited for more details and to see if the decision would be implemented.
QUOTES:
GENE GOLDMAN IS THE CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER FOR CETERA INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT IN EL SEGUNDO CA.
The equity markets breathed out a sigh after hearing about a possible US-China deal. This news should be taken with caution. While President Trump announced that the imports of Chinese goods would increase from 30% to 50% and Chinese rare-earths exports could resume, little is known about what China will get in return. "I doubt that this is a one way deal, and therefore the market caution observed overnight."
SAM STOVALL IS THE CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST AT CFRA RESEARCH IN ALLENTOWN PENNSYLVANIA.
"We have seen a relatively tepid reaction to news of the 'deal' made with China. To me, that indicates indifference. The market is saying, ok, you've agreed to keep talking and have set up a structure for future discussions, but there hasn't been anything really significant resolved. Tell me something I should know. We all know it won't be good if there isn't a comprehensive solution. We would have to buy our dolls elsewhere, and that will cost more.
The market has struggled to hold on to its gains despite better than expected inflation figures today. I can only assume that the people wanted to hear more about the China negotiations. Investors may have sold because they thought we were overbought.
OLIVER PURSCHE SENIOR VICE-PRESIDENT, ADVISOR WEALTHSPIRE ADVISE, WESTPORT CONNECTICUT
The market hasn't reacted to the deal yet because we haven’t seen details. The devil lies in the details, as with most things. Another big news item is that the U.S. has a framework in place for future discussions with China, which contradicts a previous statement that it was a done deal.
The report on inflation this morning, although softer than expected was due to lower energy prices, and also an indication of further slowdowns in the U.S. economy.
ADAM BUTTON, CHIROP CURRENCY ANATOMIST, FOREXLIVE TORONTO
Trump certainly has tried to spin the news positively. "Obviously, this is good news. China and the U.S. reached an agreement. It's unclear what the U.S. is doing and what China wants to achieve. Trump made a hint at this when he said he wanted to expand China's trade. The U.S.-China negotiations have in some ways raised more questions than they have answered. Will this tariff rate stick? What are the U.S. & China working on?
The ultimate conclusion about China is that it's not getting worse. So, that's good. "We probably built in some expectation of maybe material progress."
JOHN PRAVEEN MANAGING DIRECTOR PALEO LEON PRINCETON NJ
"The worst case scenario is likely behind us. Both sides are trying to save face. The U.S. thought the issue of rare earths was important. They reached an agreement. It is a question of whether or not it will be implemented. "The fact that they have an agreement at all is likely to be a relief for market.
Both sides got something. It's important that the situation is de-escalating. It's likely a relief to the markets."
We'll need to wait to see if the tariffs are further reduced. After the dust settles, it'll probably be a bit lower because this tariff level will likely cause inflationary pain to the consumer."
When Trump and Xi get together, they will probably reduce it further. "You need to keep something aside for the meeting."
PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK:
"That is good news, of course. It's still a while away, and both Trump and Xi have to ratify it, but it's a given that this will happen. This is good news, and it eases concerns... But the real deal is that there's an agreement which would allow China to resume exports of rare-earth products, something I believe was crucial to this."
ROBERT PAVLIK SENIOR PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT, DAKOTAWEALTH, FAIRFIELD CONNECTICUT
It's a positive headline at least. It's positive that both countries are working together to exchange technology for rare-earth materials. We'll wait to see if Xi approves it, and what Trump says."
WASIF LATIF, PRESIDENT, AND CHIEF INVESTOR, SARMAYA PARTNERS PRINCETON NEW JERSEY
"It is becoming clearer that the initial high tariffs and large scales of tariffs were a negotiation tactic. When you saw the cards that each side brought to the table, China with rare earths and the US with other trade-related chips including the impact on students here at universities, you could see how they both wanted to reach an agreement. This is good news for investors.
"However the market already anticipated this because the rally we saw at the low tariffs was already baking in a better result than what was initially being put out. The futures started to fall when the agreement was announced in the early hours of this morning. It felt more like a situation of selling the news than a market impact, because many of the expected benefits were already backed in.
The CPI is currently the news that moves markets. It will be interesting to observe the long-term trade impact of tariffs. Tariffs have been a hot topic for many years. Some people say they are inflationary, while others claim it is deflationary. "But I think that the truth is somewhere between.
CHRIS WESTON HEAD OF RESEARCH PEPPERSTONE MELBOURNE
The devil is in the detail, but the lack reaction indicates that this outcome was fully expected.
The Geneva agreement is a good thing, but the fact that there was no reaction on S&P500 Futures and only small movements in CNH and AUD suggests the outcome was expected. Details matter, particularly the amount of rare earths going to the US and the freedom of US chips to go East. But for now, as long as headlines about the talks between both parties are positive, risk assets will be supported.
LIN GENGWEI is the co-founder and CEO of RAIN TREE PARTNERS in Singapore.
Both sides are willing and under pressure to reach an accord. The Sino-U.S. Rivalry will continue to persist despite the temporary success of these talks.
The U.S. may ease restrictions on chip exports from China in response to both pressures from Beijing and the domestic semiconductor industry.
MARK DONG, CO-FOUNDER OF MINORITY ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG:
This is good news for the market. There's now a bottom-line that neither side will cross.
Both sides will work to reduce the trade deficit.
ZENG WENKAI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, SHENGQI ASSET MANAGEMENT, HONG KONG:
The market probably anticipated this -- Trump always chickens out (TACO).
"Look at the way countries negotiate with the U.S. today; it is no longer how Vietnam did things in the early days. Japan and South Korea have taken a more aggressive stance. "Kneeling is not the answer. It only leads to more bullying."
CHARU CHANANA CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST SAXO SINGAPORE
The markets will welcome the change in tone, from confrontation to cooperation. We're still not out of danger, even though there are no more meetings planned. Next, Trump and Xi must endorse and enforce the framework.
It's important to not confuse this tactical deescalation with a complete reversal in strategic decoupling. The competition in technology, supply chain, and national security is still very strong. There will always be new issues, and it is the implementation of this "old deal" that will determine how far we go.
TAN XIAOYUN IS THE FOUNDING PARTNER FOR ZONSO, GUANGDONG.
"Talks will proceed under the framework agreed upon, and I think the U.S. is more willing to compromise than China in order to reach an agreement."
"Under current circumstances, U.S. faces more pressing issues, while the Chinese have more breathing room. China used to be defensive but now is offensive by leveraging rare earths and market access. This marks a shift in power and strength."
MICHAEL McCARTHY, CHIEF OFFICER MOOMOO AUSTRALIA SYDNEY
"I will be watching how bonds trade on this day in light of it." Currency markets seem to be taking this in stride and equity markets have returned to their all-time highs.
Since weeks, the market has been anticipating this deal. It will be positive for the market, as the dollar will weaken and equities will rise, but this is not a major change.
CAROL KONG CURRENCY STRATEGIST, COMMONWEALTH BBANK OF AUSTRALIAN, SYDNEY
"I believe in this environment...any hints of progress on a possible trade agreement will be beneficial for markets.
"It's going to be hard for both sides and take a very long time before they can reach a comprehensive agreement." This type of comprehensive agreement usually takes years to reach, so I am skeptical that the framework agreed upon at the London meeting will be comprehensive. "Tensions may have de-escalated temporarily, but will escalate in the coming months."
RAY ATTRILL HEAD OF FOREX STRATEGY, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK SYDNEY
It's too early to declare that a new US-China trading agreement is imminent. We've heard a lot of positive things about agreements, but we've not seen any real progress.
"Our view remains that, whatever is agreed upon in the next few weeks and months - the baseline view - is that the global tariff situation will be far worse than it was before Trump became president. We'll still have a tariff climate we believe is detrimental to global growth."
TONY SYCAMORE MARKET ANALYST IG SYDNEY
If we maintain the terms of the Geneva Agreement we will see US tariffs for Chinese goods remaining at 30% for some time, and Chinese tariffs for US goods remaining at 10%. This is a reduction from 145% and 125%, respectively. This would be amazing.
"I think that was the consensus of the market... now people are trying to decide whether they want to buy or sell the US Dollar and I believe that reflects a little bit of this indecision.
The U.S. equity market is holding up at the moment because of this. I still think they are overcooked and need to pullback. "It's been an incredible run, and we're pushing up against the records from February. For me, it makes sense that they take a break."
DAVID CHAO, GLOBAL MARKET STRATEGIST, ASIA PACIFIC, INVESCO, HONG KONG:
"Recent headlines have shown that both the US and China are ready to reach a deal. This is good news for both markets and policymakers. We believe that cooler heads will prevail and the path has been set for a closer dialogue between top leaders in both countries.
The news that the US and China may have reached a deal over rare earths, semiconductors, or jet engine parts is a good indicator that we are past peak tariff uncertainty. (Compiled by Global Finance & Markets Breaking News)
(source: Reuters)