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Copper trades at a low volume as the dollar edge up

Copper trades at a low volume as the dollar edge up

The copper price fell in London Thursday, under the pressure of a stronger dollar. However, it remained within a narrow range, despite lower trading volumes before a four-day break for Easter. There was also no sign that the trade war between China and the U.S. had de-escalated.

By 1019 GMT, the benchmark three-month price of copper on London Metal Exchange was down by 0.9% to $9,120.50 per metric tonne.

Metals that are important for growth have lost 6% this month due to an escalating global trade war. The two biggest economies in the world have imposed triple-digit import duties on each other. This is threatening global demand and growth.

In a recent research note, Citi analysts said that "Tariffs may have peaked but de-escalation has not yet been seen."

China's Commerce Ministry on Thursday called on the U.S. not to put "extreme pressure" against Beijing, and demanded that any trade negotiations be conducted with respect. However, both sides are still unable to agree on who will initiate these talks. China is the top metals consumer in the world.

Citi forecasts that global growth will slow to just 2.1% in 2018, down from a little under 3% the previous year. In 2026, growth is projected to only rebound slightly, to 2.3%. This is because of the continuing effects of U.S. wide tariffs.

Since the U.S. announced their tariffs early in April, copper prices have fallen below its major moving averages. These are now at resistance level. The 100-day moving is $9,284.

The dollar's rise on Thursday pushed up the price of metals for buyers who use other currencies.

LME aluminum fell by 0.3%, to $2.375 per ton. It is already subject to a 25 percent U.S. tariff on imports, and it has fallen 7% this year.

Alcoa, a major U.S. producer, said that the U.S. still faces a shortage of 3.6 millions tons of aluminum even if the entire idle smelting capability in the country was restarted. The company expects U.S. Tariffs on Aluminium Imports from Canada will cost it $90 million in the third quarter.

Nickel fell 0.6% at $15,595. LME zinc dropped 0.8%, to $2,561 per ton. Lead lost 0.2% to $1,904. Tin rose, however, by 0.6%, to $30,880.

The LME will be closed for Easter on Friday and Monday. Reporting by Polina Devlin in London, Editing by Rachna uppal

(source: Reuters)