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Trump's tariffs push US aluminium market premiums to record levels

Trump's tariffs push US aluminium market premiums to record levels

The price premiums for aluminum on the US physical market have reached a new record due to the threat of tariffs being imposed on imports. Aluminium is used in transport, construction and packaging.

Donald Trump, the President of the United States, plans to reinstate 25% tariffs on aluminum imports as of March 12. On Tuesday, tariffs on the majority of imports from Mexico or Canada came into effect.

On the physical market, buyers pay a premium that typically covers taxes and transport costs.

The U.S. Midwest duty paid aluminium premium is now above 40 U.S. Cents per lb, or almost $900 per metric ton. This has increased by nearly 60% since 2025.

Michael Widmer, a Bank of America analyst, said that the U.S. was a net consumer of aluminum. "Producers will not want the tariff and will try to pass as much on to the consumers as possible."

This leaves you with an untapped market, where aluminum units could be diverted from the United States.

Widmer stated that the premium could have to be raised to nearly 47 cents per lb in order to account for the 25% tax.

The U.S. import tax on aluminium will be applicable to Argentina, Australia Canada, Mexico and countries of the European Union, including the UK.

Trade Data Monitor reports that Canadian smelters accounted for 70% of the 3.92 million tonnes of aluminium exported to the United States last year.

In an interview following the company's results for the fourth quarter, Eivind KALLEVIK, CEO of Norwegian aluminium manufacturer Hydro, said: "The US can't produce all this aluminum. They don't have enough capacity."

If the U.S. wants to continue manufacturing cars and other goods, it will need to attract metal. This means higher prices and premiums."

Trade Data Monitor reports that Saudi Arabia is the second-largest exporter of goods to the United States, but it has not been included on the list. It has an 11% share.

Analysts say that aluminium produced by countries with import taxes will likely be diverted to Europe. The duty-paid physical premiums have dropped to an 11-month-low of $240 per metric ton. This is a 35% drop since the beginning of 2025. (Reporting and editing by Christina Fincher; reporting by Pratima Dasai)

(source: Reuters)