Latest News
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French and Benelux stocks: Factors to watch September 15
Here are some company news and stories that could impact the markets in France and Benelux or even individual stocks. EIFFAGE: Eiffage, a French construction group, was selected to carry out civil engineering work at the Neomat CAM plant in Dunkirk. The project represents an investment of nearly EUR 500 million. Construction and development work will continue through 2028, employing up to 400 workers. EXAIL TECHNOLOGIES Exail Technologies, a French high-tech firm, announced that its preliminary first-half operating profit rose by 61% on an annual basis to EUR46.07 million ($53.07m). The company has postponed the full announcement of first-half earnings until September 24. The first-half cash flow of Exail Technologies was characterized by a rise in working capital of approximately EUR70 million. However, very significant cash inflows are expected in the second part of the year. GENFIT: After a significant reduction in mortality among severe COVID-19 patients, Genfit, a French biopharmaceutical firm, is moving nangibotide to a Phase 2A ACLF trial in the fourth quarter 2026. Data are expected in 2027. Nangibotide showed a favorable safety profile in four clinical trials. TOTALENERGIES: TotalEnergies, a French energy major, and the Iraqi Government have agreed to begin discussions on large-scale energy projects that will boost Iraqi oil production and contribute to the energy transition of the country. Separately the company announced an EUR100 million partnership to use AI models from Mistral in order to support TotalEnergies geosciences exports. The French insurance company has released financial targets for the period of 2027-2029. AXA targets a payout ratio of 75% and expects to generate approximately EUR25 billion in cumulative organic cash. The?company stated that it now expects its underlying earnings growth to be in the range of 6%-8% and its return on equity at the upper end of its target range of 14%-16%. Pan-European ?market data: European Equities speed guide................... FTSE Eurotop 300 index.............................. DJ STOXX index...................................... Top 10 STOXX sectors........................... Top 10 EUROSTOXX sectors...................... Top 10 Eurotop ?300 sectors..................... Top 25 European pct gainers....................... Top ?25 European pct losers........................ Main stock markets: Dow ?Jones............... Wall Street report ..... Nikkei 225............. Tokyo report............ London report ........... Xetra DAX............. Frankfurt items......... CAC-40................. Paris items............ World Indices..................................... Survey of global bourse outlook ......... European Asset Allocation........................ News in a nutshell: Top News ............. Equities.............. Main Oil Report ........... Main currency report .....
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Former DeepMind researcher from Google adds to the warnings that AI will 'kill humans'
Former Google DeepMind employees warned on Monday that AI technology could "kill off all humans", and that time was running out for the avoidance of this outcome. The public is becoming more concerned about the potential danger of AI. Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon announced last week that he was resigning, partly because "people who are building AI believe it will kill us by the end the decade." Evan Hubinger, an anthropologist, responded to?Coxon’s comments by saying that he agreed with him and believed that there was a higher than?10% probability that AI would kill all humans in the next decade. Bilal Chughtai, a writer for X, wrote: "I recently resigned... from Google DeepMind where I worked on AGI alignment and safety research." "I honestly believe that AI could kill us all, and we may be running out of time." Chughtai was a research engineer at Google DeepMind and worked as such until July 2026. His LinkedIn profile states that he left the company. Google didn't respond to an outside of regular business hours request for "comment". Anthropic CEO Dario modei, in response to recent concerns, called for a halt in the pace of AI?development. He received rare support from SpaceXAI’s Elon Musk and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, sparking a discussion on AI "doomerism." Chughtai said that steering AI safely is?possible, but coordination would be required "to avoid the manic race between AI companies." He added, "We must pace AI development at a rate that the society can handle. Emerging risks should be addressed before extreme harm occurs." The President Donald Trump has, however, dismissed the warnings. He said on social media that the AI industry's calls for regulation are a "hoax."
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Arbitration sought by Combined BHP Ports Unions over wage dispute
The union announced on Tuesday that it would take BHP, the world's largest?miner, to arbitration if the two parties could not agree on the?terms of a new wage?deal in Western Australia for the Port Hedland Iron Ore Operations. Port Hedland, the largest iron ore export center in the world and BHP's main shipping gateway to the Pilbara region, is the hub for BHP Pilbara operations. The union, which represents 450 workers on the site (operators and maintenance), will apply for a "intractable bargaining statement" which allows the Fair Work Commission to determine the terms of the agreement. Over the past nine months, both sides have been in talks to determine a wage agreement that will last four years. They've met almost weekly in recent weeks, with Fair Work Commission as a facilitator. ".....BHP refuses to negotiate an accord that reflects their specialized skills, the extreme conditions they work in and the personal sacrifices made by the employees who have generated more than $13 Billion in profits for the company?this past year", the Combined BHP Ports Unions stated in a press release. In response to a?request for comment, a BHP spokesperson stated: "Our focus is on delivering an?fair?and reasonable?agreement." BHP offers a 17% increase in pay for most workers over the four-year agreement. This includes a 'transition payment' of A$25,000 (17,802.50 USD) spread over two years as well as a rise in roster allowances. The union claims that 40% of workers would be worse off if this proposal were to go through.
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India's Tata share price jumps as RBI decision revives holding company's listing prospects
The shares of several Tata Group firms soared?on Tuesday, after India's Central Bank?rejected Tata Sons?application?to deregister as a non-bank lender. This revived prospects for a stock exchange listing for the holding company. Tata Chemicals shares jumped by 20% while Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles shares rose by 4.4%. Tata Consultancy and Tata Investment, a major provider of IT services, both advanced by 10% and 4.4%. Tata Sons'?potential listing could increase valuation and unlock value for Tata-linked companies. Tata Chemicals, Tata Motors, and Tata Investment?are listed Tata firms that own stakes in Tata Sons. Tata Sons assets alone totaled 1.75 trillion rupees (18.25 billion dollars) as of March 2025. The company has been privately owned for more than 100 years. It controls companies such as Tata Consultancy and Tata Motors. Tata Sons has been classified as a "core investment company" and is subject to RBI rules for non-bank lenders, which require that companies with assets over 1 trillion rupees or those with direct or indirect access to public funds be listed. Tata Sons announced last month that Chairman N Chandrasekaran will not seek reappointment. This has added to the 'uncertainty' surrounding the future leadership of the group.
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Mayor of Kyiv: Russia has hit petrol stations and warehouses in Kyiv
Vitali Klitschko, the mayor of Kyiv, Ukraine, said that a drone struck a petrol station early Tuesday morning. He also added that a drone had also struck warehouses in another part of the city. Witnesses heard an explosion in Kyiv The attack follows a?U.S. Donald Trump stated on Monday that Ukraine had agreed with Russia not to?hit each other's targets. Recently, Russia began targeting petrol stations in Kyiv and expanded the scope of facilities that were targeted. In the last few months, Russia has targeted around 300 petrol stations, mostly in or near Ukraine's frontline areas. In a social media statement, Poland's Armed Forces stated that as a precautionary measure, it had begun military aviation operations to secure its airspace. A regional governor on Telegram said that a Ukraine missile strike?damaged a warehouse owned by the ecommerce company Ozon, in the southern port of Taganrog. Separately, a?industrial facility?in the Samara Region on the Volga River was hit by a drone, said Governor Vyacheslav Federishchev on Telegram without naming this particular industrial facility. A number of large oil refineries are located in the?region. It was not possible to independently verify all the reports. Volodymyr Zelenskiy, the president of Ukraine, said that Kyiv would only support a U.S.-proposed ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine on energy sites if Washington could guarantee that Moscow was truly ready to end its conflict with Ukraine.
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China's oil throughput in August is up for the second consecutive month amid Iran war
China's oil throughput in August?rose for a second consecutive month but was still?6.9% lower than a year ago, according to?data released on Tuesday by the National Bureau of Statistics. In August, the world's largest oil buyer processed 59.07 metric tons crude oil, or 13,91 million barrels per day. This is an increase of 11.2% compared to July. Oil throughput in the first eight months was 456.12 millions metric tons or 13.7 million bpd. This is down 6.6% compared to a year earlier. According to data, China's domestic crude oil production in August rose by 0.8% on the year to a total of?18.43 metric tonne, or 4.34 millions bpd. Beijing does not release information on its reserves. However, calculations that add official crude imports and domestic production, then subtract refinery output, estimated a drop of 639,000 barrels per day (bpd) in August. This was the second largest drop since the Iran War began, following a decline of 936,000 barrels per day?in June. The data also revealed that the crude oil production for the year to date was 146.39 millions metric tons. This is a 0.9% increase from last year. The natural gas production in August increased by 0.8% from the previous year to?21.4 billion cubic meters (bcm). The output for the year to date is 175.7 bcm. This represents a 1.1% increase from a previous year.
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New Hope coal miner in Australia pays out highest dividends since 2022
New Hope Corp, a thermal coal -miner in Australia, declared its 'largest ever final dividend' on Tuesday. This was despite the fact that their annual profit had more than halved and they missed expectations. The shares rose to their highest level in over 3-1/2 years. Rob Bishop, CEO of. "We had a good year and we were able to pay out a large dividend," said he. New Hope announced a final dividend per share of 30 Australian cents for fiscal 2026. This is the highest since 2021 when it was 31 cents and surpasses last year's 15 Australian cents. The company's shares rose by as much as 4.1% in the early trading, reaching their highest level since January 2023. As of 0056 GMT, the broader market was down 0.5%. Sales and production of saleable coal increased by 7.6% and 11.8% respectively. This was due to the ramp-up at its New Acland Mine in Queensland, and the strong performance in the second half of the year at the Bengalla Mine in New South Wales. The annual net profit after taxes fell by 63.4% compared to the previous year, falling to A$161 million ($114.94 millions), the lowest level since fiscal 2021 when A$79million was recorded. Visible Alpha's estimate of A$182.2 millions was also not met. New Hope said that its earnings were negatively affected by a decline of 8.8% in the average realized sales price to A$143.2 per tonne. This was due to unfavourable exchange rate fluctuations, as well as an increase in the percentage of sales with high-ash across the group. The company's Bengalla Growth Project and ramp-up at the New Acland Mine?also contributed to the decline in profits. The company stated that it expects thermal coal prices will be well supported in the medium to long term, due to a shortage of supply caused by ageing assets and a lack of investment in new projects.
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Asian shares fall as oil prices and yields increase ahead of Fed and BOJ meetings
Asian shares struggled on Tuesday, as investors considered Middle East tensions. Industry figures also called for a halt in AI development. Meanwhile, higher oil prices and bond yields heightened caution ahead of 'key' central bank meetings taking place in the U.S. Yemen's Houthis, who are aligned with Iran, launched a new offensive on Saudi Arabia Monday. Riyadh had blamed Iran-backed fighters based in Iraq for an assault on the east-west oil pipeline of the kingdom that could disrupt up to 4% global supply. Gulf Arab states have also delayed planned talks with Iran. Brent crude was up by 1.21% at $106.96 a barrel, while U.S. Crude rose 1.27% to $102,68 per barrel. In a recent note, Yokoo Akihiko, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Bank said that the markets are likely to continue to focus on the possibility that higher crude oil costs could contribute to 'inflationary forces, and in turn, drive interest rates higher. Leading AI figures have called for a'slow down in development of AI technology. This has continued to resonate through the markets, even as U.S. president Donald Trump has played down concerns about misuse. He said that existing U.S. protections are adequate and China would benefit from any doubts regarding AI development. MSCI's broadest Asia-Pacific share index outside Japan fell 0.12%. South Korea's 0.25% drop led the way. Japan's Nikkei index edged up 0.19% after reversing its early losses. Shares of chip-related companies were mixed. South Korea's Samsung Electronics lost 0.2%, while Japan's Kioxia rose 3.3%. Federal Open Market Committee will begin its two-day session later that day. The markets have priced in a 90% probability of a rate increase, which would be the first since mid-2023. Morgan Stanley analysts said in an?address that "while inflation continues to decelerate" recent upside surprises have made the pace of disinflation slower and less convincing. They expect a 25 basis point hike on Wednesday and December. "We can see both arguments for a hike or a hold. However, signs of second-round impacts from energy prices and strong demand linked to AI-related investments, as well as a neutral rate which is temporarily higher and concerns over credibility, mean that the balance of risk now argues in favor of a slightly more restrictive policy." Overnight, the benchmark yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds reached 5% for first time in 2023. Germany's 10-year yield rose above 3.51% to its highest level since 2009, and U.S. Treasury bond yields also touched 5% overnight. Tuesday, Japan’s benchmark 10-year government bond rate jumped back to 3%. Bank of Japan will likely raise its interest rate to 1.25% by 25 basis points at the conclusion of its two-day session on Friday, and signify that more tightening is to come. The Bank of Japan is looking to bolster the yen following intervention that helped move the currency away from a low for 40 years. The dollar index, which measures greenbacks against a basket including the yen, and euro, increased 0.05%, to 99.53. Meanwhile, the euro fell 0.03%, to $1.1543. The dollar rose 0.17% against the Japanese yen to 154.61. Spot gold fell 0.15%, to $4,291.59 per ounce. Spot silver dropped 0.31%, to $63.03 per ounce.
Zinc's high premium to sibling metal lead might not last: Andy Home
Lead and zinc might be geological sibling metals however their market fortunes have actually been very various in recent months.
London Metal Exchange (LME) three-month zinc rallied to a 20-month high of $3,284 per metric heap in October on the back of an acutely tight raw materials market.
LME lead, by contrast, headed in the opposite direction, weighed down by a mountain of exchange stocks.
Zinc's premium to lead extended to over $1,000 per heap during the 4th quarter of 2024, the widest gap considering that February 2023.
Although the 2 metals primarily come from the same mines, divergent narratives of under-supply in zinc and oversupply in lead have caused funds to position appropriately and seal the cost disparity.
Both metals are down on the start of January but zinc has fallen harder and the premium to lead contracted to $888.50 at the Friday close.
What takes place next to the sisterly trade may be an awful contest as zinc's mine supply recovers and the lead excess grows.
ZINC SUPPLY TENSION
Zinc's October rally included an aspect of positional poker on the London market. The straight-out rate high coincided with a sharp contraction in time-spreads, the cash-to-three months period << CMZN0-3 > flaring out to a backwardation of $63.50. per heap.
However that's not to state that rate relocation wasn't underpinned by. authentic tightness in the zinc focuses. Indeed, the rally. was partially activated by another supply hit after fires at South. African producer Sibanye Stillwater's Century mine in. Australia.
International zinc mine production succumbed to the 3rd straight year. in 2024, forcing smelters to accept ever lower costs for. processing concentrate into refined metal.
Chinese metal production was sliding even before a group of. the country's top 14 operators concurred in August to change. operating rates in a bid to protect margins.
The country's refined zinc output tumbled by practically 7%. year-on-year in 2024, according to local information provider Shanghai. Metal Market.
Lower Chinese run-rates dragged the global zinc market into. a supply-demand deficit of 33,000 heaps in the very first 11 months of. the year, according to the latest assessment from the. International Lead and Zinc Study Hall (ILZSG).
LME zinc stocks, both registered and off-warrant, peaked at. 367,000 lots in August and fell to 324,000 at the end of. November.
LEAD GLUT
LME lead stocks have actually grown greatly over the last two. years. Combined on- and off-warrant inventory rose from simply. 29,000 lots at the start of 2023 to 305,000 loads at the end of. November 2024.
The unrelenting stock construct was just briefly interrupted. in August 2024, when China imported considerable quantities of metal. for the very first time considering that 2019.
Indian brand name metal has actually represented much of the boost,. its share of registered LME stocks rising from absolutely no at the start. of 2023 to 52% at the end of 2024.
Who understood there was a lot lead around?
The scale of stocks increase is confusing, given the ILZSG. assesses worldwide supply and need to have been practically well balanced. in the very first 11 months of 2024.
Moreover, primary lead smelters are struggling with the exact same. margin squeeze as zinc producers because of the overlap in the. two metals' mine production profile.
The most likely cause of the stocks rise is the opaque. secondary production sector, which accounts for a much higher. ratio of supply in the lead market than any other industrial. metal.
Whatever the origin, the bearish optics of high and increasing. stock has actually motivated funds to take huge bets on still. lower prices. Investment gamers are holding a record web long. on the LME lead agreement.
MINDING THE GAP
By contrast, funds are sticking to zinc's bull narrative. and are still considerably net long on the LME zinc contract.
Nevertheless, the narrative is starting to shift.
Zinc mine supply is turning a corner and is anticipated by. ILZSG to recuperate highly this year thanks to a combination of. brand-new mines and restarts of idled centers.
Although global mine production was 370,000 tons lower in. the very first 11 months of 2024, monthly production began increasing. over the back end of the year.
If concentrates availability enhances, zinc smelter output. growth will restore momentum and zinc's relative shortage premium. over sister metal lead need to decline.
That is, if lead market optics don't deteriorate even. even more. More zinc mine supply will undoubtedly suggest more lead. mine supply with the capacity for more exchange stocks. build.
Neither metal is blessed with particularly strong need. dynamics at the moment. Lead usage is dominated by demand for. batteries in the vehicle sector, where lithium-powered. electrical cars are driving sales development. Around half of all. zinc is used in the building sector, which is weak just. about everywhere, especially in China.
ILZSG approximates that worldwide zinc usage rose by a modest 0.7%. year-on-year in January-November 2024, while lead use fell by. 1.3%.
With little enjoyment on the demand side, supply narratives. will continue to play the dominant function in the relative worth. trade between the two metals.
But the geological link in between lead and zinc indicates they. will both be impacted by a recovery in mine production this. year.
It's just a matter of which proves most resistant in cost.
The viewpoints expressed here are those of the author, a. writer .
(source: Reuters)