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Prices of copper remain near their multi-month highs due to supply constraints and US tariff fears
The London Metal Exchange (LME) and Shanghai Futures Exchange (SFE) both held copper near its highest level since late March. This was due to concerns about a tight supply in the region and an increase in shipments to the U.S., as traders rush to avoid potential import tariffs. As of 0103 GMT the LME's three-month copper contract was unchanged at $10,05 per metric tonne, but it hovered close to its highest level since March 26. The SHFE's most traded copper contract gained 0.27%, to 80,840 Yuan ($11285.77). This is its highest level since March 27. The United States may decide to deal with the copper tariff later. This has given traders more time to transport copper to the United States, when prices are higher. U.S. Comex Copper Futures climbed 2% on Wednesday to $5.199 per pound, with a premium of 14% over the LME copper contracts. The total copper stock in LME registered warehouses is still near its lowest level since August 2023 despite a small rebound over the past two days. Stocks have fallen 76% since the middle of February, due to cargoes being rushed into the United States after its investigation on copper imports. SHFE lead rose 0.7%, to 17,290 Yuan per ton. Zinc was up 0.7%, at 22,370 Yuan. Nickel climbed 0.6%, to 121550 Yuan. Aluminium edged higher by 0.2%, to 20,710 Yan. LME lead rose 0.2% to $2.064.5 per ton. Nickel climbed 0.15% to $15.325, tin grew 0.15% to $33,765, aluminium slid 0.1% to $2.622.5 and zinc fell 0.11% at $2.754.5. Click or to see the latest news in metals, and other related stories. DATA/EVENTS - (GMT 0750 France HCOB Services Composite PMI 060755 Germany HCOB Services Composite Final pmi 060800 EU HCOB Services Composite Final pmi 0830 UK Reserve Assets June 0830 US Non Farm Payrolls Unemployment Rate Average Earnings YY Jun 1230 US International trade $ May 1400 US Factory orders MM May1400 US ISM N Manufacturing PMI june
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Investors wait for US payroll data to get Fed policy clues
Investors held off on making large bets as they awaited the U.S. Payroll data that would be released later in the day to get a better idea of the Federal Reserve’s policy direction. As of 0211 GMT spot gold fell 0.3% per ounce to $3346.47, while U.S. Gold Futures edged up 0.1% to $3357.20. OANDA Senior Market Analyst Kelvin Wong stated that gold appears to be consolidating in the $3,320-$3,360 range. The market is waiting to see what happens with U.S. Non Farm Payroll data and ISM Services' PMI before taking any significant positions. ADP released data showing that private payrolls in the United States fell by 33,000 positions in June. This was the first drop in over two years as economic uncertainty hindered hiring. Low layoffs continue to stabilize the labour market. Investors await the non-farm payrolls data on Thursday. According to a survey, it is expected that 110,000 new jobs were added in June, compared to 139,000 in May. On Wednesday, Donald Trump, president of the United States, announced that the U.S. would impose a 20% tariff, which is lower than what was promised, on a variety of goods coming from Vietnam. The Southeast Asian country is the U.S. tenth largest trading partner. Wong stated that "the Vietnam trade deal is likely to have already been priced in the market. I think now the primary concern is the status other deals with major countries which are still in limbo," The U.S.-India negotiators worked to reach a deal that would reduce tariffs before Trump's deadline of July 9. Trump did not indicate that he would extend the deadline for negotiations despite stalled talks with Japan, another important trade partner. However, he expressed optimism regarding an India agreement. Gold that does not yield tends to do well in an environment of economic uncertainty or low interest rates. Silver spot fell by 0.6%, to $36.37 an ounce. Platinum lost 1.5%, to $1397.91, and palladium dropped 1.4%, to $1138.73. (Reporting and editing by Sumana Aich and Rashmi Nandy, Bengaluru)
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China's North and West on Alert after Deadly Floods Caused by Sweeping Rains
China's west and north were braced on Thursday for flash floods, as the annual "Plum Rains" left a path of destruction. This prompted thousands of rescue workers from across China to help pull people out of floodwaters. The red alerts traced the rains from the southwest province of Sichuan, through the northwestern provinces of Gansu and Liaoning to the northeast province. The state media reported that over 1,000 rescue workers had been dispatched on Wednesday to the town Taiping, in central China's Henan Province, after torrential rainfall caused a river nearby to burst it banks. Five people were killed in a flash flooding and three others are still missing. On Thursday morning, trains to the capital Beijing were suspended. Flight delays and cancellations occurred at one of the airports in the city late Wednesday night and early Thursday morning. Meteorologists have linked climate change to extreme rainfall and severe floods. These events pose a major challenge to policymakers, as they threaten to overwhelm the ageing flood defences and displace millions. They also threaten to wreck havoc on China’s $2.8 trillion agriculture sector. Natural disasters caused economic losses of over $10 billion in July last year, during which the "Plum Rains" - so named because they coincide with plums maturing along China's Yangtze River at the time of the East Asia Monsoon – usually reach their peak. Local media reported that in China's southwest province of Guangxi several buildings have slid over the past two days as their foundations gave out due to waterlogged soil. The national meteorological center forecasts scorching heat along eastern coast of the country.
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Oil drops on signs of weak US Demand ahead of Key Jobs Report
On Thursday, oil prices fell, reversing the gains of the previous session. This was due to concerns about weak U.S. Demand after data from the government showed an unexpected build-up in inventories. Brent crude futures dropped 24 cents or 0.35% to $68.87 per barrel at 0044 GMT, after rising 3% on Tuesday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude fell 24 cents or 0.36% to $67.21 per barrel, after previously rising 3.1%. Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that domestic crude stocks rose by 3.8 millions barrels, to 419,000,000 barrels. In a poll, analysts had predicted a drop of 1.8 millions barrels. The gasoline demand fell to 8,6 million barrels a day, causing concern about the consumption during peak summer driving in the United States. The benchmarks rose on Wednesday, after Iran passed a law that suspended cooperation with the U.N. Nuclear Watchdog. This sparked fears the long-running dispute over Middle East producer Iran's nuclear program could once again escalate into an armed conflict. The U.S. reached a deal with Vietnam that imposes 20% tariffs on most of the Southeast Asian nation's exports. This gives investors a feeling of economic stability in international trade, which could lead to a higher demand for crude oil. Analysts said that the market will closely monitor the release of Thursday's key U.S. employment report to determine the timing and depth of Federal Reserve interest rate reductions in the second half this year. Lower interest rates may spur economic activity and, in turn, increase oil demand. Analysts cautioned that there was no correlation between the private payrolls report and government data. (Reporting and editing by Christian Schmollinger; Nicole Jao)
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Bunge and grain handler Viterra complete long-delayed mega merger
Bunge Global, a global agribusiness, announced that it had officially closed the long-delayed $34 billion mega deal with Glencore-backed Viterra. This announcement was made two years ago. The merger creates a global crop trading and processing giant that is poised to rival agribusiness giants Archer-Daniels-Midland and Cargill, at a time when slumping grain prices, weak crop-processing margins and geopolitical tensions have eroded profitability in the sector. Bunge closed Wednesday's trading 1.4% higher. Bunge, based in Missouri, has experienced a dramatic turn-around since the deal was announced. In April 2019, Greg Heckman took over as CEO of the company after Soren Schroder was forced to resign by investors. The Chinese market regulator approved the merger on conditional terms last month, clearing the final hurdle. Bunge announced on Wednesday that Heckman would remain as CEO of the combined business, while Bunge's Chief Financial Officer John Neppl would also retain his position. Viterra CEO David Mattiske, and Bunge co-president Julio Garros will serve as co-chief operational officers. Analysts say that the merger with Netherlands' Viterra will enhance Bunge’s grain exporting business and its oilseed processing business in the United States. Bunge has a smaller US presence than rivals ADM or Cargill. Bunge will also be able to expand its export capacity, as well as their grain storage and handling capabilities in Canada and Australia. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed in Chicago, with Karl Plume reporting from Chicago)
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Former Jan. 6 defendant sentenced to life for plotting to kill FBI agents
According to court records and the U.S. Justice Department, a man who participated in the attack on the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 was sentenced on Wednesday to life imprisonment for conspiring to murder the FBI agents who were investigating him. Court records indicate that Edward Kelley, a former federal employee, was convicted of conspiring to murder federal workers, solicitation of a crime violent and influencing an official of the federal government by threats in November. The prosecution claimed that Kelley and another man planned to attack an FBI field office located in Knoxville, Tennessee using car bombs, incendiary devices, and drones. According to a Justice Department release, he was recorded discussing his plans to "take their office out" if arrested. The prosecution alleged that Kelley had compiled a "kill-list" of federal law enforcers based in the region and discussed assassinating FBI agents in their homes or in public places. Austin Carter, his co-defendant in the plot, has pleaded guilty and will be sentenced by August. Kelley was found guilty of several charges in a separate trial, including assaulting police officers, for his involvement in the storming of the Capitol. This case was dismissed in January, before Kelley was sentenced. It was part of the sweeping clemency granted by President Donald Trump to all 1,600 criminally charged individuals in connection with the attack. The attack on Capitol Hill was a failed effort by Trump supporters in order to prevent congressional certification that Trump had lost the 2020 presidential elections to Democrat Joe Biden. Kelley said that Trump's pardon of the Tennessee case should be extended because it related to his behavior at the Capitol. The Justice Department during Trump's second term opposed this effort, and a later judge rejected it.
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Greek firefighters fight wildfires on the island of Crete
Greek firefighters fought a fire that raged in the popular vacation destination Crete on Wednesday, burning forestland, threatening homes, and forcing the evacuation of tourists and residents from at least four settlements. The Greek fire brigade said that at least 155 firefighters were battling the flames along the southeast coast of the largest island of Greece, in the municipality Ierapetra. They were assisted by 38 engines, water trucks and other vehicles. The fire, which started in the afternoon was exacerbated by strong winds, which hampered efforts to fight it and reignited its fronts. The fire brigade reported that more reinforcements would be arriving by Athens via boat and plane. The fire is still burning and is very difficult to control, a fire brigade officer said under condition of anonymity. He attributed the difficulties of the operation the strong winds as well as the terrain. Local TV stations reported some houses had been damaged. No injuries have been reported so far. The authorities had ordered the evacuation earlier of Achlia, and three other settlements within the area. Local officials reported that 3,000 people who evacuated villages earlier were moved to temporary shelters. Greece, located at the southernmost tip of Europe, is frequently hit by wildfires, especially during its hot, dry summers. However, authorities blame a rapidly changing climate for the more destructive fires that have occurred in recent years. On Wednesday night, Greek firefighters also tried to control a wildfire that was raging uncontrollably in the northern Chalkidiki region and on the island Kythira. (Reporting and editing by Jamie Freed; Renee Maltezou)
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Stocks reach record highs, gilt yields soar on Finance Minister uncertainty
The global stock market rose to record levels on Wednesday, after U.S. labor data revealed an unexpectedly low reading. Meanwhile, British government bond yields soared amid speculation over the future of Britain's finance minister. ADP's National Employment Report shows that private payrolls fell by 33,000 last month, after a downwardly-revised 29,000 job increase in May. This is well below the 95,000 jobs expected by economists surveyed by. The data is released ahead of the government's payroll report on Thursday, but there is very little correlation between them. On Thursday, we will also see the weekly initial claims for unemployment. According to CME's FedWatch Tool, market expectations of a rate cut in July by the U.S. Federal Reserve increased to 27% following the release of the data. This is up from 20,7% the previous session. Jim Awad is the senior managing director of Clearstead Advisors LLC, New York. "An employment softening that induces the Fed to lower interest rates would be positive. But if it softens excessively, then this would be negative for growth and profit," he said. The S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow closed at record levels on Wall Street. This was boosted in part by a rebound in Tesla stock after it dropped 5.3% Tuesday. Tesla shares closed at 4.97% higher after the electric carmaker announced its quarterly deliveries. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 10.52 points or 0.02% to 44,484.42, while the S&P 500 rose by 29.41 points or 0.47% to 6,227.42, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 190.24 or 0.94% to 20,393.13. The MSCI index of global stocks rose 3.84 points or 0.42% to 921.24, after reaching an intraday high of 922.27. Meanwhile, the pan-European STOXX 600 closed with a 0.18% gain, boosted by renewable energy stocks and luxury stocks. The yields on longer-dated U.S. Treasury notes rose. The benchmark U.S. 10 year note was up 3.4 basis point at 4.283%. British government bond rates surged at one point, jumping almost 23 basis points. This was the highest since October 2022. The jump came after Finance Minister Rachel Reeves, who appeared visibly upset in parliament a day after announcing a sharply reduced plan to cut benefits, spoke out. The yield of the 10-year government bonds, or gilts, last increased 16.8 basis points to 4.621%. The pound fell 0.83%, to $1.3631. It had dropped as high as 1.35%. This was the biggest percentage decline since June 17th. The dollar index (which measures the greenback versus a basket currency) rose 0.13% to 96.7 and was on course to end a nine-day decline streak. The euro fell 0.03% to $1.1801. Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that the U.S. will impose a tariff of 20% on Vietnam. This is lower than what was initially announced, as investors wait for progress in other deals. He said previously that he would not consider extending the deadline to negotiate with countries, despite negotiations with Japan failing to progress, but he still expected a deal to be reached with India. The Vietnam-U.S. deal announced today is a positive step in reducing uncertainty around trade. Not only does it have a direct impact on the market, but may also be viewed as indicating that more deals will follow over the next week. Investors also viewed Trump's massive spending and tax bill, which was expected to add $3.3 billion to the national debt and cut taxes. Republicans in the House of Representatives set up a vote that would reveal whether they have enough support to pass the bill out of Congress. U.S. crude rose 3.06%, to settle at $67.35 a barrel. Brent settled at $71.11 per barrel. This was up 2.98% for the day after Iran suspended its cooperation with the U.N. Nuclear Watchdog.
The Russian billionaires whose chemical factories fuel Russia's war machine
Chemicals factories founded or owned by a few of Russia's wealthiest men are supplying components to plants that manufacture explosives utilized by Moscow's military throughout the war in Ukraine, an analysis of train and financial data shows.
Reuters determined five chemical companies, in which 5 Western-sanctioned billionaires hold stakes, that offered more than 75% of the key chemicals delivered by rail to some of Russia's biggest explosives factories from the start of the war up until September this year, according to the railway information.
The news agency's analysis shows for the very first time how heavily factories forming part of Russia's war device rely on these men and their business. The billionaires consist of Roman Abramovich, former owner of Chelsea Football Club, and Vagit Alekperov, who was ranked by Forbes in April as Russia's richest male with a fortune estimated at $28.6 billion.
Abramovich and Alekperov did not react to requests for remark sent via their business or attorneys. London-listed Evraz, in which Ambramovich holds a 28% stake, stated it provided the chemicals for civilian use only. Lukoil, a refiner in which Alekperov retains a shareholding, stated it does not manufacture dynamites or any related elements.
Anna Nagurney, a University of Massachusetts professor who carefully studies supply chain networks related to the Ukraine-Russia war and examined Reuters' findings, stated the five companies were aiding Moscow not only by offering essential chemical ingredients for munitions however also by earning much-needed hard cash from exports of civilian products, including fertilizers.
These chemical business might be running as civilian ones, but they are sustaining the war effort, Nagurney said.
To determine from where Russia's main munitions factories got their supplies, Reuters analysed the motion of more than 600,000 rail deliveries that brought the chemicals needed to make explosives from the intrusion of Ukraine in February 2022 through September 2024.
The railway information from two industrial databases in Russia was supplied to Reuters by the Open Source Centre, a British-based NGO devoted to collecting publicly-available intelligence and keeping track of possible sanctions infractions. It detailed the type of freight in every train wagon, the weight, origin and location, and the names of the company that sent the goods and the business that got them.
Reuters cross-checked the data from the two databases to confirm its accuracy. Nevertheless, the news company was unable to validate whether the information included every rail shipment to the dynamites factories, or the extent to which the plants got deliveries by road.
The information showed that the billionaires' companies provided essential active ingredients to 5 explosive and gunpowder factories in Russia that are subject to Western sanctions. The plants are subsidiaries of the giant Russian state arms manufacturer and car manufacturer Rostec.
Utilizing leaked tax billings covering parts of 2023, Reuters was likewise able to confirm that four of the chemicals firms were suppliers to 4 of the explosives producers.
Neither the Kremlin, the defence ministry, nor Rostec responded to Reuters' questions about civilian companies' role in providing Russia's munitions industry.
Before the war, all the explosives plants, as part of efforts to diversify, likewise utilized to make dynamites or gunpowder for civilian use. Reuters could not determine whether such civilian sales continue and whether the chemicals supplied might be earmarked for civilian usage.
Thomas Klapotke, a teacher of energetics at the University of Munich, who helped Reuters analyse the data, said that, while all the raw materials had numerous possible usages, the combination of wagon-loads of particular chemicals needed for explosives making reaching particular plants provided red. flags.
The analysis provides fresh proof that the West's. strategy of imposing sanctions on Russia as punishment for its. invasion of Ukraine has failed to suppress its military production,. according to numerous professionals talked to .
While the billionaires themselves are all under Western. sanctions, the chemical companies included have mainly escaped. major financial penalties or restrictions on their import of critical. products from the USA or the European Union.
The majority of the output of these chemical plants are civilian. items like fertilizer that are crucial to farming. Long-standing Western policies exempt food from sanctions to. prevent starvation and diplomatic blowback from developing countries.
Peter Harrell, a previous senior White Home authorities who. worked on Russia sanctions during the war's very first year and is. now a scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace,. said possibly it's time to review those 2022 choices now that. nations that when relied on Ukraine and Russia for wheat and. fertilizer have had time to find alternative sources.
Potentially, the calculus would weigh towards imposing. sanctions on these companies today, Harrell said, discussing. Reuters' findings.
Nevertheless, Manish N. Raizada, an agriculture professor at the. University of Guelph in Canada, warned that imposing sanctions. on Russian chemical business might put numerous millions of. small-scale farmers at risk, in return for a minor economic. effect on Russia.
Spokespersons for the U.S. Treasury Department, which. coordinates Washington's sanctions, and the United Nations. Advancement Program declined to talk about Reuters findings.
A European Commission representative, in response to concerns. about the chemicals companies, said: We are actively exploring. the possibilities for extra procedures to step up pressure. and close loopholes in a way that would prevent unfavorable. implications for food security.
The spokesperson worried that any action would only come. after cautious analysis of the efficiency of any procedures and. their impact on European business. Nevertheless, he noted that EU. sanctions would currently use to the business, even if they. were not particularly designated, if they were controlled or. owned by a sanctioned person.
ARTILLERY WAR. The war in Ukraine has become an artillery duel where a scarcity. of high explosives offered to NATO and Ukraine has enabled. Russian forces to get swathes of territory this year, according. to numerous Ukraine commanders interviewed .
Moscow is investing heavily in military production and. looking for to replenish its munitions stockpiles. In 2024, Russia. produced about 2.4 million weapons rounds and imported 3. million from North Korea, according to a Ukraine security. official. The North Korean embassy in London didn't return calls. from Reuters looking for remark.
The 5 munitions plants supplied by the billionaires'. companies include the huge Sverdlov center in Dzerzhinsk. The plant is the only considerable maker in Russia of the plastic. explosives HMX and RDX used in weapons and rockets, according. to a Ukrainian intelligence authorities.
Two factories run by Eurochem - established by Russian. billionaire Andrey Melnichenko - supply chemicals to Sverdlov,. according to the train information.
Eurochem is one of the world's biggest producers of. mineral fertilizers. Its Nevinnomysskiy Nitrogen plant in. southwest Russia has actually sent out at least 38,000 metric lots of acetic. acid to Sverdlov during the Ukraine war, according to a Reuters. analysis of the train data.
A second Eurochem facility, Novomoskovskiy Nitrogen sent. almost 5,000 metric lots of nitric acid to Sverdlov in the same. duration, the train data revealed.
Both acetic acid and nitric acid are used to make HMX and. RDX.
According to Reuters estimations, based on clinical. literature and evaluated by an explosives professional, 5,000 tons of. nitric acid could be used to make 3,000 lots of RDX, enough to. fill 500,000 large-calibre artillery shells.
The tax invoices reviewed verified that Eurochem. was a provider to Sverdlov last year.
In action to comprehensive questions, Eurochem stated Reuters'. reporting consisted of numerous product accurate errors. Specifically, EuroChem is not part of the defence sector of the. Russian economy and none of our items are developed for. military purposes, checked out a declaration from the business, which is. headquartered in Switzerland. Eurochem stated that any suggestion. Melnichenko controlled the business was false.
Melnichenko did not react to concerns. The billionaire,. stated by Forbes to be worth $17.5 billion, positioned his controlling. stake in Eurochem into a trust that benefits his spouse, as. Reuters has reported, after the imposition of sanctions on him. by the EU and Nato following the intrusion of Ukraine.
The declaration said that while 97% of its output is. fertiliser, Eurochem supplies other industrial items,. including these chemicals, to a wide variety of clients in Russia. and abroad. The business didn't answer Reuters' questions about. the chemical deliveries to Sverdlov. Questions sent out to the e-mail. address on Sverdlov's website went unanswered.
TAX DATA
Another fertilizer giant, Uralchem, founded by approved. billionaire Dmitry Mazepin, supplied Sverdlov more than 27,000. metric tons of ammonium nitrate, the train information revealed. Ammonium nitrate is utilized to make HMX and RDX, and is likewise blended. with TNT to produce an explosive called Amatol. Uralchem likewise. supplied 6,000 metric lots of nitric acid from its nitrogen. fertiliser plant in Berezniki to Sverdlov, the information revealed.
Two other state-owned munitions plants, the Tambov Gunpowder. Plant and Kazan Gunpowder Plant, got shipments of acids. from Uralchem, the rail information revealed.
The dripped Russian tax billings, evaluated , likewise. revealed that Uralchem supplied the Sverdlov, Tambov and Kazan. factories along with the state-owned Perm Powder plant last. year.
Asked in information about the shipments, Uralchem said the. info was inaccurate. It did not provide more information. or description.
Mazepin, who reduced his ownership of the company from 100%. to 48% simply after the invasion of Ukraine, couldn't be reached. for comment. The Tambov, Perm and Kazan plants didn't reply to. concerns sent out to email addresses noted on their sites or on. corporate filings.
A steel plant in Siberia owned by London-listed Evraz. provided 5,000 metric tons of toluene-- an ingredient for TNT -. to the Biysk Oleum Plant, according to the rail information. Evraz was. sanctioned in 2022 by the British government which stated it. provided steel to the Russian armed force.
In a statement, Evraz said it just provided toluene for. civilian usage only. The Biysk Oleum plant, a system of Sverdlov,. didn't react to requests for remark.
In April 2024, the federal government of Altai region, which. includes the city of Biysk, noted the plant amongst manufacturers. that substantially increased their 2023 production in. fulfilment of state defence procurement agreements.
Reuters determined 2 other billionaire-linked companies. providing chemicals to munitions factories. The Sredneuralsk. Copper Smelting Plant (SUMZ) in the Ural mountains, founded by. metals mogul Iskander Makhmudov, provides oleum - likewise known. as fuming sulphuric acid - utilized in the Tambov, Kazan, and Perm. powder plants.
The Lukoil refinery in Perm provided 6,500 metric lots of. toluene to the Perm powder plant, Kazan, and Biysk. Lukoil is. part-owned by billionaire Alekperov, the business's previous. president. Like others, he divested many shares in 2022 however. kept an 8.55% stake.
The tax invoices examined revealed that the Lukoil. plant was a supplier to the Perm powder plant in 2015. They. also file shipments from SUMZ to the Kazan and Perm plants.
In a declaration, Lukoil stated its Perm refinery does not. manufacture explosives or any associated elements which. questions from Reuters about deliveries from there included. absurd speculations.
SUMZ did not react to in-depth questions. Its parent. company, UMMC, which is under sanctions by the United States and Britain,. did not react to an ask for comment. Makhmudov, who. divested his managing stake in 2022, according to Forbes,. likewise could not be grabbed comment.
(source: Reuters)