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Australia shares reach a new high on the back of mining boom; RBA Minutes in Focus
Australian shares rose Tuesday, with mining stocks leading the way, as commodity prices firmed. Investors awaited minutes of the December meeting, due later that day, for clues about the monetary policy position next year. By 2325 GMT, the?S&P/ASX 200?index had gained 0.4% and reached 8,735.9. The benchmark index reached its highest level in more than five weeks during this session. The miners' index rose by 0.4% after briefly reaching another record high. Iron ore prices increased?on the tight supply of BHP Jimblebar and Jingbao Fines, while copper traded at a?record level. BHP shares rose 1.3% while Rio Tinto, a rival Anglo-Australian company, gained up to 1.4% and reached a new high. The mining subindex, which lagged the benchmark index in 2024, will?now add almost 40% to its value this year. The sub-index?received?support from its gold producing?constituents during a bullion rallie that helped to more than double the value of local gold stocks this year. Investors will closely examine the minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s December policy meeting to determine the direction of the bank's policy in the coming year. The minutes will be released around 0030 GMT. The markets are pricing in a nearly 30% chance that the Fed will raise rates by a quarter point at its meeting in February. Shares of the data center landlord,?Goodman Group, rose 6.9%, reaching their highest level since November. The data centre owner signed a partnership worth A$14 billion (9.32 billion dollars) with the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for the development of data centres in Europe. Goodman's actions pushed the sub-index for real estate up by?2.4%. Financials heavyweights rose 0.2% and are on course for their fourth session of gains. Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australia's largest lender, rose by 0.6%. The benchmark S&P/NZX 50 Index in New Zealand gained 0.2%, reaching 13,530.44.
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Trump: It would be a'smart move' for Venezuelan Maduro's Maduro leave power
Donald Trump, the U.S. president, said that it would be wise for Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro if he left power. The United States can keep or sell the oil it has seized in recent weeks off the coasts of Venezuela. Trump's campaign of pressure on Maduro includes a stepped-up military presence and over two dozen strikes against vessels suspected of trafficking drugs near Venezuela in the Pacific Ocean and Caribbean Sea. The attacks have killed at least 100 people. When asked if the aim was to remove?Maduro, Trump replied: "Well I think it would probably... It's up to him to do what he wants to do. I think he'd be wise to do that. But, again, "we're going to find out." He said, "If he does something, and he is tough, that will be the last time ever for him to be tough." "He is not a friend of the United States." He is very bad. He's a bad guy. He has to watch his ass, because he is making cocaine and sending it into the U.S." Trump also announced that he would "blockade", all oil tankers entering or leaving Venezuela under sanctions. The U.S. Coast Guard began pursuing an offshore oil tanker near Venezuela, on Sunday. This would be the second operation of the weekend and the third within two weeks. When asked what would become of the oil, Trump replied, "Maybe we'll sell it, or maybe?we'll keep it." He added that it could also be used to replenish United States strategic reserves.
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Gold, silver, and oil surge amid US-Venezuela conflict
The majority of major stock indices rose on Monday at the beginning of a holiday-shortened week. Shares of Nvidia were up, and the yen was stronger versus the U.S. Dollar after Japanese officials warned of "one-sided, sharp" currency movements. Gold and silver prices soared to new records, and oil prices rose as well after the U.S. Coast Guard started pursuing an oil-tanker near Venezuela in international waters a day before. Nvidia gained 1.3%. The company told Chinese clients that it plans to begin shipping its second most powerful artificial intelligence chip to China before mid-February's Lunar New Year holiday. The financials also increased. TRADING VOLUMES ARE EXPECTED BE LIGHT Trading volumes may be low through the end week, as the U.S. stock and bond markets are closed for Christmas on Thursday. The late November downdraft is the intermediate bottom which has brought many technology, AI and Data-center names down. Bruce Zaro of Granite Wealth Management in Plymouth Massachusetts said, "I do believe that's the bottom." He said that the market was "entering Santa Claus period", which is a time when stocks are typically strong. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 233.48, or 0.48 %, to 48 367.72. The S&P 500 rose 41.16, or 0.60 %, to 6,875.66. And the Nasdaq Composite gained 128.10 points, 0.55% to 23,435.00. European stocks closed down 0.1%. Japan's Nikkei finished up 1.8%, extending Friday's bounce. Atsushi?Mimura, Japan’s top currency diplomat, said to reporters that recent FX movements were unbalanced and abrupt, adding that government will take appropriate actions against excessive moves. Minoru Kihara, the Chief Cabinet Secretary, also warned about yen's continuing weakness. Investors interpreted the comments as an indication of Tokyo's intervention. The dollar fell as low as 156.88 yen last week, or about 0.5%. The minutes of the Bank of Japan's meeting will be released on Wednesday. On Christmas Day, the head of central bank will speak to a Japanese business lobby. Benchmark U.S. Treasury yields increased with the yield of 10-year Treasury Notes last up 1.2 basis point at 4.162%. Gold spot was up 2.3% to $4,436.29 an ounce, after reaching a new high of $4440.21. Spot silver rose 2.1% to $68.55 per ounce after reaching a new record of $69.44. Brent crude settled at $62.07 per barrel, up $1.60. (Reporting from Caroline Valetkevitch, New York, and Nell Mackenzie, London; additional reporting provided by Wayne Cole; editing by Stephen Coates; Toby Chopra; Rod Nickel).
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US Interior Dept. weakens protection for sage-grouse to allow more oil and minerals development
The Trump administration rolled back protections on Monday for the greater Sage-grouse in 8 western states of?U.S. The Trump administration has opened up more federal land for energy and mineral development. The Bureau of Land Management (BLM) said that proposed changes would allow more development space than was allowed in 2015 plans while still protecting some important habitats for endangered birds across 65 million acres of sagebrush land. The agency said that the changes made to sage grouse protections are in accordance with two executive orders signed by Donald Trump earlier this year, which were intended to unleash U.S. production of energy and energy independence. Bill Groffy, Acting Director of the Bureau of Land Management, said: "We're strengthening American energy security while ensuring that the sage grouse continues its flourishing." In early 2010, the Endangered Species Act was amended to include greater sage grouse as a protected species. This was due to the rapid decline of the population. The Trump proposal would eliminate an annual warning system which aimed to flag declining populations of the ground-dwelling birds, as well as removing protections from more than 4 million acres sage grouse habitat in Utah. Idaho, Montana and North and South Dakota are also affected, as well as Nevada, Wyoming and California. Environmentalists have warned that opening up more federal land for energy extraction will push bird species into extinction, and harm other species. Randi Spivak is the public lands director for the Center for Biological Diversity. She said that Trump's reckless actions would speed up the extinction rate of the greater sage grouse if he allowed unrestricted fossil fuel extraction on tens and millions of acres of federal lands.
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Mercedes settles with US States for $150 Million over Diesel Scandal
Mercedes-Benz reached a settlement of $149.6 Million with U.S. States to end a??long-running probe into allegations that the German automaker had cheated on diesel emissions, New York Attorney-General Letitia Jim said Monday. The automaker said that the deal effectively ended its legal issues in America over Dieselgate - first discovered at Volkswagen in September 2015 - and the emissions scandal. Mercedes has agreed to pay $149.6 millions and provide $2,000 in payments for eligible owners and lessors of vehicles that have received the required emission repairs. Mercedes agreed to take a number of 'actions' to avoid future misconduct, and to comply with the oversight requirements. According to the states, Mercedes had installed illegal software that was not disclosed in its diesel vehicles, which hid true pollution levels and incorrectly reduced emissions during government tests. However, in normal driving conditions the vehicles emit up to 30 or 40% more than the legal limit. MERCEDES SAYS THE BOTTOM LINE OF THE GROUP WILL NOT BE AFFECTED Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares stated that?the settlement includes the estimated?39.565 U.S. cars that have not been repaired or removed permanently from the road by the end of August 2023. Mercedes must cover the cost of installing the approved software for emission modification on all affected vehicles, provide consumers with an expanded warranty and pay them $2,000 each. Mercedes' spokesperson stated that the bottom line earnings of the group would not be affected, and "sufficient provisions have been made for the cost of the overall settlement". In a press release, the company stated that final court approval is required for these settlements. Mercedes-Benz has agreed to pay $2.2billion in 2020 to settle a U.S. Government investigation into diesel emissions cheating and to settle claims from 250,000 U.S. car owners. The automaker is required to pay $120 million immediately as part of the settlement announced Monday. The suspension of $29.6 millions will result in a reduction by $750 per affected Mercedes vehicle that is repaired, taken off the market or bought back. In 2020, the states will launch an investigation into Mercedes-Benz following Volkswagen's diesel emission scandal. VW paid more than $20 billion to settle fines and penalties after admitting in 2015 that it had installed "defeat devices", sophisticated software and other methods of cheating emissions tests in almost 11 million cars worldwide. Some of the biggest automakers in the world continue to be sued over the scandal. Mercedes could face further payouts in England where it's one of many companies, including Ford, Nissan, and Renault, facing a mass suit launched in October. Reporting by David Shepardson in Washington and Valerie Volcovici and Rachel More from Berlin, with editing by Barbara Lewis.
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Italian prosecutors request that the case against suspected Russian drones be dropped
Two sources with knowledge of the case said that Italian prosecutors who were investigating suspected Russian drone flight over an EU space-research centre had concluded that their suspicions weren't based and asked for the case to be dropped. The Milan prosecutor's office found that the interference caused by a private GSM signal booster in Ispra near Italy's Lake Maggiore, which is near the European Joint Research Centre (JRC), was actually responsible for 21 alleged overflights. Flights are banned over the JRC. The JRC was established in 1960 to conduct nuclear research. In March, after receiving alerts from the facility's security team, the prosecutors opened an investigation into "possible political or military espionage" for terrorist purposes. They suspected the presence of a "Russian-made drone." Sources said that the investigation revealed the false positives were caused by interference from both the centre's security system and the GSM amplifier at a nearby house. The?judge of the Milan court now has to decide whether or not to accept the request from the prosecutors and drop the case. This is a normal formality. NATO allies accuse Russia frequently of mounting hybrid attacks against the West via hacking, sabotage, and?espionage. Moscow denies these allegations and says the West is causing anti-Russian sentiment. According to the JRC's website, the Ispra campus is the third largest research campus in Europe after Brussels and Luxembourg. It works on topics ranging from nuclear security and space, to sustainable resources, immigration and transport. (Reporting and editing by Gavin Jones, Frances Kerry, and Emilio Parodi)
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Mercedes Benz settles with US States for $149,6 Million over diesel emissions
Mercedes Benz reached a settlement of $149.6 Million with U.S. States to resolve a long-running probe into allegations?of cheating on diesel emissions?by the 'German automaker New Letitia James, York Attorney General, said on Monday. The settlement reached with Puerto Rico, the District of Columbia and 48 U.S. States includes the following: Mercedes will pay $149.6 millions and make $2,000 payments to owners and lessees of vehicles that require emissions repairs. Mercedes also 'agreed' to take a number of steps to prevent further misconduct and comply with the oversight requirements. The States?said Mercedes Benz has agreed to pay $2.2billion in 2020 to settle a U.S. government investigation into diesel emissions cheating and the claims of 250,000 U.S. car owners. In a new settlement, Mercedes Benz must pay an immediate $120 million to the states. The remaining $29.6 millions is suspended, and the amount will be reduced by $750 per affected vehicle Mercedes repairs or removes from the market. It paid out more than $20 billion in fines and penalties after admitting?in 2015 that it had cheated on emissions tests by installing sophisticated software and "defeat devices". Reporting by David Shepardson in Washington and Valerie Volcovici
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Trump names envoy to Greenland and stirs up backlash
U.S. president Donald?Trump appointed Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry as his special ambassador to Greenland on Sunday, drawing renewed criticism from Denmark and Greenland about Washington's interests in the mineral rich Arctic island. Trump has argued that Greenland should become a part of the United States. He cites its strategic importance as well as its mineral resources. Landry, the governor who assumed office in January 2024 publicly supports this idea. You cannot annex a country. In a joint press release, Danish Prime Minister Mette Fredericksen and Greenland Prime Minister Jens Frederik Nielsen stated that they would not annex another country. "Greenland is owned by the Greenlanders, and the U.S. will not take it over." Trump said in a post at Truth?Social: "Jeff knows how important Greenland to our National Security is, and will work hard to advance our Country's interests for the safety, security, and survival?of allies and the world." The White House didn't immediately respond to comments. Landry thanked Trump in a post he made on X: "It is an honor... to serve... as a volunteer in this position in order to make Greenland a member of the U.S." This does not affect my position as the Governor of Louisiana! The Trump administration increased pressure on Copenhagen on Monday when it suspended the leases of five large offshore projects that were being built off the East Coast in the United States, including two developed by Denmark's state-controlled Orsted. GREENLANDS STRATEGIC VALUE Greenland is a former Danish Colony with 57,000 people. A 2009 agreement gives it the right to declare its independence, but the country remains heavily dependent on Danish subsidies and fishing. The strategic location of the country between Europe and North America is a major site for U.S. missile defence systems, while its rich mineral resources have increased U.S. interests in reducing their reliance on Chinese imports. Greenland's Nielsen posted on Facebook that "we have woken again with a new statement from the U.S. President." This may sound important, but for us it doesn't change anything. "We decide our future." DIPLOMATIC TENSIONS ESCALATE Lars Lokke Rasmussen, the Danish Foreign Minister, said on Monday that he will summon U.S. The U.S. Ambassador Kenneth Howery had pledged "mutual" respect during his recent visit to Greenland. "At the drop of a hat, there's now a U.S. special presidential representative who is, according to him,?tasked with assuming control over Greenland. Rasmussen said on TV2 that this was, "of course, totally unacceptable". Denmark has been trying to mend strained relations with Greenland in the last year. It also tries to ease tensions with the Trump Administration by investing in Arctic defense to respond to U.S. critics of inadequate security. In an Instagram post, Prime Minister Frederiksen stated: "It's a difficult situation our lifetime allies put us in." Mikkel Vedby, a professor of political science at the University of Copenhagen, said: "This appointment proves that all the money Denmark invested in Greenland and in the defense of the Arctic as well as all the nice things we've said to Americans have had no impact at all." Reporting by Siddharth Cavale in New York, Arathy Sommesekhar, in Houston, and Jacob GronholtPedersen, in Copenhagen. Additional reporting by Anusha Shah in Bengaluru; SOren Sirich Jenppesen, Stine Jacobsen, in Copenhagen. Editing by Saad, Gareth, and Ros Russell.
Smelter charges collapse as zinc mine supply falters: Andy Home
Standard zinc smelter treatment charges have fallen sharply this year, vouching for a. tightening up of the mine supply chain.
Canadian miner Teck Resources has consented to pay. Korea Zinc $165 per metric heap to transform its zinc. concentrate into refined metal, down from the $274 covering last. year's shipments.
The yearly terms worked out by the 2 business have in. recent years been the benchmark for the remainder of the market.
Treatment charges increase during times of basic material surplus. and slide during periods of shortfall.
Last year's numbers were high since of a smelter. bottleneck and resulting glut of mined concentrate in 2022. This. year's low result states much about how zinc's supply dynamics. have actually altered in the intervening 12 months.
A string of mine closures, a lot of them due to the weak. rate environment, has actually tightened concentrate accessibility with. considerable implications for the fine-tuned metal market.
FALLING MINE PRODUCTION
London Metal Exchange (LME) zinc went from boom to bust over. the course of 2022 and early 2023, the three-month cost. collapsing from an all-time high of $4,896 per ton in March 2022. to a three-year low of $2,215 in May 2023.
The cost implosion caused a number of higher-cost mines to. close, most notably Boliden's Tara mine in Ireland,. Nyrstar's Middle Tennessee operations and Toho Zinc's. Rasp mine in Australia.
The lengthening tally of casualties caused worldwide mined. output of zinc to contract by 1.4% year-on-year in 2023,. according to the International Lead and Zinc Study Group. ( ILZSG). It was the second consecutive year of decrease after a. 2.6% drop in 2022.
This year might not end up much better.
A November fire at the Ozernoy mine in Russia has actually postponed. commissioning of what was expected to among the greatest. additions to global production this year.
Ozernoy, efficient in producing 350,000 lots of consisted of zinc. every year, now seems not likely to reboot processing ore into. focuses up until the fourth quarter of this year.
When ILZSG last met in October for its biannual conference, the. Group anticipated a robust 3.9% year-on-year increase in mined. output this year. That's starting to look positive and may be. based on modification when the Group holds its spring 2024. meeting.
SMELTER RECOVERY
While mine supply has actually continued sliding, worldwide smelter. production has bounced back highly because 2022.
The main chauffeur of higher smelter output has actually been China,. where manufacturers cranked up refined metal production to 6.6. million tons in 2023, a year-on-year boost of 10.9%,. according to regional information service provider Shanghai Metal Market.
That collective efficiency helped global output recover by. 3.8% last year after a similar-sized dip in 2022.
True, there are still Western smelters having problem with high. energy rates, such as Nyrstar's Budel plant in the Netherlands. which closed in January.
However on the other hand, the Nordenham smelter in Germany has actually been. ramping up after a year of being on care and upkeep.
It's the space in between weak global mine performance and. resurgent smelter need for concentrates that explains the. sharp drop in the annual criteria treatment charge.
Area terms have fallen even more as smelters rush for. product. Price reporting company Fastmarkets evaluates those for. concentrate delivered to Chinese ports at $50-80 per heap.
METAL GLUT
The establishing tightness in the zinc basic materials part of. the production chain isn't yet having any noticeable effect on. the refined metal balance.
Zinc remains the laggard of the LME pack even as enhancing. macroeconomic belief raises the base metals complex. Presently. trading around $2,700 per heap, LME three-month metal is up by. simply 3.0% on the start of the year, compared with copper's 10%. gains.
The metal's usage in the kind of galvanised steel indicates it. is heavily exposed to the building sector, a particularly. weak part of the economy in both China and the rest of the. world.
With smelting activity increasing over the last 12 months, there. is no scarcity of refined zinc.
LME stocks recuperated from a depleted 27,750 loads to 223,225. heaps over the course of 2023. They have risen by another 37,000. heaps up until now this year thanks to sporadic bursts of warranting. activity.
LME time-spreads suggest there might be more surplus metal. hovering over the market.
The benchmark cash-to-three-months period << CMZN0-3 > has. moved into super-contango area, broadening to over $50 per. ton last month. The contango contracted to $38 at the Monday. close however is still broader than anything seen since 2012-2013.
TWIST IN THE ZINC PLOT
The analyst consensus entering this year was that zinc. was on course to sign up a second year of substantial supply. surplus.
ILZSG forecast a huge 367,000-ton international glut when it fulfilled. in October. The typical expectation in the January poll. of base metal experts was for a 300,000-ton surplus. Not one of. the 11 experts using a supply-demand balance projection. anticipated anything other than excessive metal.
Such is the tightening up in the zinc concentrates section of. the market, however, that expectations are being changed.
Analysts at Macquarie Bank, for instance, are now forecasting. a small 61,000-ton supply deficit throughout the years.
Provided the very tight focuses market, we have minimized. our global refined production projection to -0.4% this year, the. bank stated in its March quarterly Commodities Compendium.
Western production is expected to remain challenged and. Chinese production growth is most likely to brake sharply to just. 0.5% due to a lack of feed.
A number of Chinese smelters have already advanced. maintenance or cut run-rates in reaction to the margin. compression triggered by low treatment charges, which account for. around 40% of a common smelter's earnings, according to. Macquarie.
The bank anticipates a go back to surplus next year but it could. be a rough rate trip given that this year's zinc narrative has. already taken an extremely unanticipated turn.
The opinions expressed here are those of the author, a. writer .
(source: Reuters)