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Minutes show that Sweden's Riksbank is vigilant about inflation, but has not raised rates yet.

The central bank of Sweden can wait until it has a better picture to adjust policy.

Erik Thedeen, Governor of the Riksbank, said that "the focus is on inflation risks and we will be monitoring closely any signs that 'inflationary trends are spreading more widely in the economy."

It is too early to tell if a "change of direction" is required, but we are "ready to change our stance". Oil prices have risen dramatically due to the war in the Middle East. There is a growing consensus on the impact this will have on the global economy. Currently, conditions in Sweden are benign. As expected by the analysts in a poll, Riksbank held its policy rate at 1.75% on May 7. The growth in Sweden's first quarter was weak, and the annual underlying inflation rate, excluding energy prices, was at its lowest level in 30 years, 0.0% in April. This was partly due to the temporary reduction in VAT on food. Sweden is an exception in Europe because of its low inflation.

(source: Reuters)