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Moody's lowers Iraq's credit outlook to "negative" on Middle East conflict risks

Moody's, a credit rating agency, re-evaluated Iraq's outlook on Friday from "stable" to "negative", citing the risks to the country's "credit profile" due to 'the ongoing Middle East conflict' impacting security and energy flow.

Moody's stated that "Iraq's heavy dependence on the oil industry implies that disruptions to exports through Strait of Hormuz, which account for around 90% of Iraq's oil exports, will materially reduce dollar inflows as well as fiscal revenues."

Iraqi energy officials stated last month that the main southern oilfields of the OPEC'members have seen their output fall by 80% as a result of the U.S. - Iran?war, and the closing down the strait. This has pushed storage levels to a 'high and critical level.

Abbas Araqchi, Iranian Foreign Minister, said that the Strait of Hormuz was now open after a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon. Donald Trump, U.S. president said he believes a deal will be reached to end the Iran War "soon", but the timing is still unclear.

Four energy sources reported that Iraq resumed its southern oil exports last Friday after a hiatus of over a month.

Moody's said in its report that "even if the ceasefire is maintained, it may take some time before flows in 'the Strait' return to normal."

The agency kept the country's rating at "Caa1". (Reporting and editing by Unnamalai L, Bengaluru)

(source: Reuters)