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European chemical companies will report a decline in Q1 earnings due to the Iran War.

European chemical companies are expected to report lower first-quarter earnings, which will shed light on the extent of the war in the Middle East's impact on an industry that is viewed as being one of the most vulnerable to it. The U.S. and Israeli war?with Iran disrupted the fuel and feedstock market, driving up?prices in the energy-intensive chemicals industry.

VCI, a German chemicals association, said that the chemical industry is more affected than other industries by the dramatic rise in energy and raw materials costs because it relies primarily on oil and natural gas as feedstocks.

The war-induced surge in energy prices has worsened the already weak conditions that were seen at the beginning of 2026. This sector has been struggling for years due to low demand, high energy costs and supply-chain disruptions, as well as a sluggish economy.

Companies are raising prices to protect margins. To compensate for higher costs, companies such as Brenntag, Wacker Chemie Lanxess BASF Evonik EMS Chemie Sika and Wacker Chemie have increased their prices, sometimes multiple times, across products.

According to a note by the brokerage, the finance chief for Germany's BASF stated at a JPMorgan Chemicals conference in March that the company expected to see pricing?more than offset the cost inflation in second quarter of this year. Brenntag's Chief Financial Officer said, meanwhile, that customers had accepted price increases so far. Higher energy costs and a delayed economic recovery are global issues, but the German Institute for Economic Research's Martin Gornig said that they have hit Germany and other European countries harder.

Mwb Research stated in a recent report that Asian competitors retain an edge due to their lower structural cost bases, which help them buffer the effects of weaker demand.

Anna Wolf, an industry expert at Germany's Ifo Institute for Economic Research and a specialist in the German automotive industry, said that higher prices would further erode the competitiveness of European producers against Chinese suppliers.

VCI reported that feedback received from companies has been mixed. Some segments have seen a rise in purchasing due to price increases, while others have seen a decrease.

Analysts warn that gains could be fragile, and do not expect to see a meaningful recovery in earnings in the short term based solely on pricing.

Wolf warned that volatile prices and rising uncertainty could further weaken demand. The recent price increases were unexpectedly steep, considering the weak demand and low business confidence.

FAILED US - IRAN TALKS MAY RISK 'CEASEFIRE AND PROLONGER ENERGY SHOCK Wolf said that the absence of a deal would likely lead to Iran's continued blockade of Strait of Hormuz, which will drive up oil and gas prices, and hit the chemical industry two times over.

She said that the structural crisis is much deeper than just the geopolitical shock.

Wolf stated that even if the Strait of Hormuz were to be opened, the situation wouldn't improve from "very bad" into "bad", as long as the issues of high energy costs, insufficient energy transition infrastructure, and heavy bureaucratic obligations remain unresolved. JPMorgan analysts stated in a Monday note that the level of damage to crude, petroleum products, and petrochemical facilities in the Gulf may cause fluctuations in terms and volumes. (Reporting from Anastasiia Kozolova and Amir Orusov, Gdansk; editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak).

(source: Reuters)