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Germany's election: polls, parties, and policy debates

Germany will hold an immediate national election on February 23 after the collapse of the three-way coalition led by Chancellor Olaf Scholz.

The main political parties, their polling positions, and key policy issues are listed below:

Parties

Germany has two "big-tent" centrist parties: Scholz’s centre-left Social Democrats and the opposition Conservatives, an alliance between the Christian Democrats (CDU), and their Bavarian counterpart party, the Christian Social Union CSU.

In recent years, smaller parties like the Greens or Alternative for Germany (AfD), a far-right party, have gained ground.

All four parties, the SPD, Greens, Conservatives and AfD, have candidates running for chancellor.

According to polls, the Free Democrats (FDP) who support the market are also running. They are in danger of failing to reach the 5% threshold for entering parliament.

According to the Forsa Institute's latest survey, published on February 16, the conservatives are leading the national polls by more than two year and have reached 30%. The AfD is at 20%.

Scholz' SPD has fallen to third place from first in the election of 2021. The Greens are on 13%, and Linke is on 7%. According to the most recent poll, the FDP polls at 5% and the BSW at 4%.

Analysts claim that polls can change quickly, as voters have become less loyal. The conservatives were unable to maintain their lead in the 2021 campaign. They fell from the frontrunners to the runner-ups within a matter of months.

What are the key issues?

The AfD, BSW and other mainstream parties in Germany are all for helping Ukraine to repel Russia's invasion. However, the AfD wants to stop weapons deliveries to Kyiv. They also want to resume good relations with Moscow.

Scholz and the SPD, however, have struck a more conservative tone recently, highlighting the importance of diplomacy, than the FDP, Greens, and Conservatives who all support the delivery of long-range Taurus rockets from Germany to Kyiv.

Reviving the Economy Europe's biggest economy contracted in 2024 for the second year running, its worst performance in twenty years. The high energy prices are a major factor in this and continue to be a challenge for both households and businesses.

CDU, SPD and Greens all agree that renewable energy should be expanded to reduce costs. However, they differ in their financing strategies. The CDU, AfD and SPD also suggest assessing the return to nuclear energy. This idea was rejected by SPD and Greens. The AfD is against renewable energy subsidies in any form. Scholz proposed a 100 billion euro fund to encourage private investment and modernise infrastructure. Scholz' SPD plans to give businesses a 10% direct tax rebate on their equipment purchases.

Robert Habeck, a Greens member, has called, along with Scholz, for reforms to Germany's constitutionally-enshrined "debt brake" in order to increase public spending. Friedrich Merz of the conservative party had shown some flexibility in regards to a moderate debt brake reform, but his manifesto pledged that it would be retained. Both the AfD (AfD) and FDP (FDP) are staunch defenders for the cap on public borrowing.

In the CDU/CSU's manifesto, they have proposed a wide range of financial reliefs for citizens and companies, including tax reductions on income and corporations, as well as lower electricity rates. The CDU/CSU have not stated how they would finance these.

The AfD is calling for Germany to abandon the euro and reintroduce its own currency, the Deutsche Mark. It also wants the country to leave the EU.

Migration - A series of violent attacks in Germany linked to foreign suspects have heightened public concern about security and immigration, leading political parties to call for stricter migration measures. Merz broke a taboo by sponsoring a bill with AfD's support. This was a first for Merz, who had never worked with the far right party before. However, Merz failed to get a majority to implement it.

The conservative CDU, in general, has taken a more strict stance against immigration over the past few years. They have called for the deportation of asylum seekers, as well as limits on family reunions and naturalisations for refugees. AfD, an anti-Islam and anti-migration party, has called for the closing of borders and a ban on family reunifications. AfD senior members went further with their comments, and attended discussions between far-right activists on the deportation of millions of people from foreign countries including German citizens.

The SPD has a tougher stance on immigration, enforcing more strict border controls and increasing deportations.

The Greens, on the other hand, maintain a more liberal asylum policy. They support state-backed initiatives for sea rescue, simplify family reunification procedures, and enhance integration. (Reporting and editing by Angus MacSwan, Helen Popper, Maria Martinez and Riham Alkousaa)

(source: Reuters)