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Brazil's Lula promises "COP of Truth" as UN warns about dangerously high emissions

Brazil's President said that a U.N. Report warning that global carbon emissions are too high to stop global warming has prompted him to declare that the U.N. Climate Change Summit in the Amazon this month will be a COP of Truth and offer real solutions. Despite 30 years of global negotiations, the Paris Agreement of a decade back failed to prevent the world from warming beyond 1.5 degrees Celsius. The United Nations Environment Programme stated on Tuesday that the world is heading for a 2.3 to 2.5degC extreme warming.

The forecast is based on the assumption that countries will meet their commitments to reduce emissions. The world will become even hotter if they fail to meet their pledges.

UNEP stated that the 1.5C overshoot would be hard to reverse, and that countries will need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions even more to avoid a runaway climate. Brazil's Luiz inacio Lula da Silva, whose nation hosts COP30 from November 10-21 said that failure to deliver past climate agreements - such as the Kyoto Protocol and the promised climate financing - is demoralizing for the people of the world. Lula told reporters in Belem that countries should fulfill their past promises rather than make new ones.

Lula stated that he did not want the COP "to continue to be a fair or an exhibition for climate products with everyone seeing their own views and how they wish to see it and no one being forced to act and make things happen." Lula said that he wanted the COP to be serious and to implement the decisions made. He noted that some countries "were not complying" with their commitments under the Paris Treaty to limit global warming to "well beneath" 2degC over pre-industrial levels.

The U.N. emission report published on Tuesday showed that the current trajectory of warming was only 0.3degC less than it was before the COP29 meeting in Baku, Azerbaijan. This means the new plans announced for this year did little to change the situation.

Brazil will propose the creation of a new global environment council linked to the U.N., which is empowered to travel around and monitor progress in climate pledges all over world.

"Because otherwise, nothing will happen." Lula stated that if a country declares "I will not comply", nothing happens. "The COP will lose its momentum and people won't want to take part because it is pointless."

MONEY MEETS This conference will take place in the Amazon rainforest in the riverside town of Belem. Dozens of indigenous groups are expected to attend. Despite the high costs and limited capacity, logistical problems have been created.

"We wanted to challenge ourselves, not be comfortable." Lula stated that she wanted to show the Amazon to the world.

Many corporate executives, bankers, regulators and investors instead have travelled further south, to the Brazilian coastal city of Sao Paulo. They hope to accelerate climate action by highlighting the things that work. In a report released on Tuesday, clean industry groups stated that more than 1,000 clean projects are in the development phase around the world. According to Mission Possible Partnership and Industrial Transition Accelerator, more than 70 clean projects, worth a combined $140 billion are expected to be shovel ready in the coming months. Business experts gathered near Sao Paulo’s financial center to attend panel discussions, roundtables and meetings on topics ranging from carbon markets, to the best practices for pricing carbon stored in a forest.

Alicia Arguello is the head of sustainability at Hitachi Energy. She attended a Monday roundtable on green electricity grids. She said, "I received a lot feedback."

Another three-day conference was held at a huge convention center across town. More than 150 speakers were present. Some people were disappointed that they had to travel four hours from Sao Paulo to Belem for the COP30 discussion. This meant that they wouldn't be able network with officials from other countries.

Climate Fund Managers CEO Andrew Johnstone said, "These people and ourselves tend to be implementers." Being absent from Belem affects the discussions and collaborations which may result when ideas and people are brought together. It's a bad thing.

In 30 years of climate talks, the world has made progress. When the Paris Agreement signed a decade ago, the world was on track for a temperature increase of around 4degC.

UNEP reported that global carbon emissions will increase by 2.3% in 2024 to 57.7 gigatonnes CO2 equivalent. Reporting by Kate Abnett, Simon Jessop and David Gregorio in Sao Paulo.

(source: Reuters)