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Oil jumps on Gulf hostilities, Asian shares rise as chips rally

Asian shares rose on Thursday, as semiconductors saw a reprieve from heavy selling. However, gains were capped off by an?increase in oil prices due to a resumption in hostilities in Gulf which reignited inflation fears and hammered bonds. Oil prices rose for the third consecutive session after President Donald Trump announced that the interim agreement between Iran and the United States to end the war is "over". U.S. forces also conducted fresh attacks on Iran to open up the Strait of Hormuz for a second consecutive day. Trump, however, later stated that he didn't expect a full-blown war to return, which helped calm fears. Brent crude futures increased 0.8%, to $78.65 per barrel. They were up 9.1% this week to reach $80 per barrel for the very first time since June 22, 2016. This shook global bond markets, and increased bets on the Federal Reserve raising interest rates to combat inflation this year. Fed funds futures are now implying a policy tightening of 38 basis points this year. Wall Street fell initially on Trump's remarks, but recovered from session lows. The Nasdaq managed a 0.2% gain. Nvidia, the chip?giant, rallied by 3.6% following media reports that China will allow its top AI companies to purchase a limited number of Nvidia's H200 processors.

The broadest MSCI index of Asia-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose by 0.8%. Japan's Nikkei gained 2.3%, ending a three-day loss streak.

South Korea's KOSPI jumped by 3.8%. This was driven by a rise of 3.6% in Samsung, and a surge of 7.5% in SK Hynix. Investors bought into the recent sale-off in chips.

Wall Street futures in Asia were flat, but pan-regional stock futures in Europe rose 0.9%. Chris Weston is the head of research for Pepperstone. "At this point, the market appears to be skewed in favor of the view that (Iran's) conflict will de-escalate and negotiations around the Memorandum?of Understanding resume," he said.

"Traders understand that they must remain open-minded." The situation is fluid and it's difficult to predict the timing. The minutes released by the Fed show that policymakers are concerned about rising inflation. Some participants even said it was time to increase borrowing costs.

Asia has been hit by the global bond crisis. The yield on Japanese 10-year government bonds increased 1.5 basis points to 2.880%. This is the highest yield since September 1996. Meanwhile, Australia's 10-year bond yields rose 4 basis points to 4.924%.

After a 4 basis point increase overnight, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yields rose another 2 basis points on Thursday to 4.5852%. The yields have risen 10 basis points so far this year.

The currency markets were a bit'muted.' The dollar failed to hold onto its 'yield support, and ended the day down by 0.2% at 162.38 yen. The dollar was only 0.2% away from its 40-year high of 162.84 yen, as speculators remained wary of Japanese interventions.

The euro rose by 0.1%, to $1.1428. Sterling also gained 0.1%, to $1.3401, which is just below the three-week high of $1.341.

Gold's price remained flat at $4.079 per ounce. Reporting by Stella Qiu, Sydney; Editing and proofreading by Lincoln Feast.

(source: Reuters)