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UK summons Iranian Ambassador over allegations against men accused as spies
The British government announced on Monday that the Iranian ambassador in the UK was summoned. Last week, an Iranian national and a British-Iranian dual citizen were arrested on suspicion of aiding Iran's spy services. Two men were accused in a London Court last week of 'being involved in gathering information from Iranian spy services and conducting reconnaissance of Jewish targets within?Britain over a five-week period in the summer of last year. The British Foreign Office said that "national security is our number one priority and we take the threats posed by Iran and those who follow its orders 'extremely serious." "This government will do everything possible to protect the British public, including exposing Iran’s reckless and destabilising activities at home and abroad." Prosecutors said that Nematollah?Shahsavani, a 40-year-old dual British/Iranian national, was asked to conduct hostile surveillance on the Israeli Embassy in London, Britain's oldest Synagogue, and other Jewish targets. The defendants did not enter any plea and were remanded into custody until their next hearing on April 17 at London's?Old?Bailey court. British lawmakers and MI5 have warned for years about the threat posed by Iran. They've alleged that Tehran is behind over 20 kidnap- and assassination attempts. (Reporting and writing by Elizabeth Piper, editing by Michael Holden; Muvija M.
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Petrobras Brazil is not considering a short-term increase in diesel prices, sources claim
Petrobras, the state-owned oil company in Brazil, will not raise diesel prices for the foreseeable future, according to a trio of sources. The firm is sticking with its policy of not passing on price swings abroad to the local consumer. Petrobras raised prices for distributors on March 14 but did not expect the impact to be large on consumers, since the government announced that it would scrap federal taxes on fuel. One of the sources said, "There is nothing on the radar in the next few days." The high diesel prices are a major concern to Brazil's president Luiz inacio Lula da Silva who is seeking re-election this year. Lula also imposed a tax of 12% on oil exports in addition to eliminating federal taxes. Petrobras, since Lula's return to power in 2023 has changed its approach towards fuel pricing. It now absorbs shocks from abroad to keep prices stable for Brazilian consumers. The state-run oil company has operated many of its refineries above their installed capacity in order to boost diesel production. They have also delayed scheduled maintenance. Reporting by Rodrigo Viga Gaier, Writing by Fabio Téixeira, Editing by Mark Porter & Paul Simao
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Raptors shooting 61% on field is destroying Jazz
RJ Barrett scored 27 and Sandro mamukelashvili 23 points as the Toronto Raptors, visiting from Toronto, snapped a losing streak of two games with a 143 - 127 victory over the Utah Jazz on Monday in Salt Lake City. Ja'Kobe Walter made six 3-pointers for Toronto (40-31) and scored a season high 21 points. The team led by up to 35 points and shot 61.4% on the field. The Raptors were leading 117-88 by the end of third quarter, after the Jazz had been outscored 49-30. Toronto's 49 points tied its franchise record for the most?points scored in a quarter. Scottie Barnes scored 20 points for the Raptors. He also had seven rebounds, 10 assists, and Gradey Dick added 13. Jamal Shead set a new career high with 15?assists. Ace Bailey, who led Utah (21-51) in scoring with 37 points and seven 3-pointers, matched his previous career high. Brice Sensabaugh had a career-high?24 points. John Konchar scored 19, Oscar Tshiebwe tallied 16, and Kennedy Chandler had?13 points and nine assists. Utah has lost six of its seven previous games, and it was defeated 60-46 in the paint. Toronto led the Jazz 31-25 after the first quarter, when they held them to only 6-of-20 (30%) shots. Barnes scored back-to-back baskets with 2:30 remaining in the second quarter to give the Raptors a 60-47 lead. Toronto held a 6858 advantage at halftime. Barnes led Toronto in scoring with 16 points, while Bailey led Utah with 18 points. After a 20-6 run to start the third quarter, the?Raptors opened a 24 point lead. Barrett scored 18 in the third quarter to help Toronto gain control. Utah was trailing by 33 at the mid-point of the fourth quarter before a run of 24-3 cut the deficit down to?137 125 with just 1:48 left. Bailey led the rally, shooting 11 out of 21 shots from the field. He also shot 7?of ten from beyond the arc. The Raptors were without Brandon Ingram, Jakob Poeltl and Immanuel Quiley due to injuries. Toronto rookie forward Collin Murray-Boyles, who missed the previous 11 games due to a left thumb injury, returned and scored nine points with four rebounds. He played 17 minutes on the bench. Field Level Media
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Investors weigh US-Iran War as they lower Chicago soy and grains.
Chicago soybean futures fluctuated between positive and -negative territory on Monday, as financial markets were roiled by Donald Trump's announcement that he would delay possible strikes against Iranian power plants. Trump's comments, which also mentioned productive talks with Iran sent oil prices plummeting as investors saw an indication of a de-escalation from the U.S. and Israeli war against Iran that lasted three weeks, disrupting global energy supply. The decline in crude oil and grain prices was halted by the Iranian denial of any talks with Washington. Randy Place, an analyst at Hightower Report, said: "I don't believe the market feels like it's?the end of the war just yet." The lower crude oil price provided a?continuous downward pressure on corn and a ceiling to soybean futures. As of 10:15 a.m. (1530 GMT), the most active soybean contract traded on the Chicago Board of Trade had risen by 1-1/4 cents to $11.67-3/4 a bushel. The price of grains is sensitive to crude oil because corn and soyoil are widely used in biofuels. Investors also saw the crops as a hedge against inflation during the Iran Crisis. Although corn was under pressure due to crude oil prices, losses have been limited by strong fundamentals such as export demand and high ethanol margins. Wheat prices also fell after Trump's remarks on the postponement of a strike, which allayed fears about wheat shortages in Middle Eastern countries and North African countries. Place explained that "this pulls some support from the wheat market and there's more focus on global fundamentals which aren't bullish." Wheat futures are under pressure due to a "global oversupply of wheat and poor exports". CBOT Wheat was down 9-3/4 cents at $5.85-3/4, while corn eased 4-1/2 to $4.71-3/4. The?increased fuel and fertiliser costs are also affecting the?U.S. Farmers' allocation of acres to?corn and soy beans this spring. Reporting by Heather Schlitz, Chicago; Additional reporting from Gus Trompiz, Paris; Daphne Zhang & Lewis Jackson in Beijing. Editing by Rashmia Aich & Paul Simao & Jan Harvey
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US energy chief tells CNBC that a new SPR oil release will be unlikely
Chris Wright, U.S. energy secretary, told CNBC that the 'United States will be 'highly unlikely' to release a slew of oil from their Strategic Petroleum Reserve if they want to calm down the energy -markets in the midst of a raging war with Iran. He said the U.S. is looking at other levers in order to lower prices. These include improving refinery efficiency and bringing more diesel fuel to the market. Wright said in Houston that a new release was "of course possible", but he thought it highly unlikely. The?U.S. The?U.S. The Energy Department announced late Friday that it had loaned energy companies 45.2 million barrels of?the SPR, which is a little over half of the initial 86?million offered. The companies must repay the SPR 'loans' with additional barrels of crude oil to the reserve. Wright stated that by implementing the swaps, the SPR will have more oil than the 415 million barrels it currently has. (Reporting and editing by Andrei Khalip, Katharine Jackson and Timothy Gardner)
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US Energy Secretary: Oil prices are not high enough to destroy demand.
Despite the fact that the markets were bouncing and oil prices were near $100 a barrel due to the U.S./Israeli war against Iran, U.S. Energy Sec. Chris Wright said on Monday, at the CERAWeek conference in Houston, Texas. After the attacks in the Middle East on energy infrastructure and the closure of an important shipping channel, the world is experiencing one of its worst energy crises. The oil prices are at multi-year highs, and fuel prices in the U.S. have surged. This could cause problems for the Republican Party of President Donald Trump ahead of the midterm elections. The Trump administration has taken'steps to calm the markets, including releasing U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve oil in collaboration with other members of International Energy Agency. Wright said on Monday that the U.S. would release between one million and one million-and-a half barrels of oil per day, with a goal to reach three million barrels per days. Speaking shortly after Wright's remarks, Sultan Al Jaber, CEO of Abu Dhabi state oil company ADNOC, said that the increase in oil prices was slowing the global economic growth. He also added that no country should be able?to close the Strait?of Hormuz. This chokepoint, which Iran effectively closed, accounts for around 20% of world oil consumption. Wright, when asked if a U.S. win in Iran would mean the country no longer had control over the Strait of Hormuz, told CNBC during an interview at the conference that "we need to be in the position where they're ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz has either been gone or dramatically diminished from where it was in the past few years, last several decades." Wright stated that the Trump administration was prioritizing the supply of refineries in Asia, which has been the most affected by market shocks. He said, "We want oil to reach Asian refineries as quickly as possible and with as little downturn in refining as possible." Wright said Venezuela was "significantly better" now than it had been months earlier, after the capture of Nicolas Maduro and the U.S. taking over of the OPEC nation's oil exports. Wright, who visited Caracas in Caracas's oilfields and met with interim president Delcy Rodriquez last month, said that Venezuela will "eventually" hold elections. He did not provide any further details. U.S. NUCLEAR POWER Wright stated that the U.S. is on track to have three nuclear reactors of next-generation producing heat by July 4. This will be a prelude to delivering electricity into the grid. In?the country are being developed several so-called small modules reactors and?other advanced nuclear forms, but none of them are commercially operational at the moment. Wright said that new nuclear energy would be a crucial supplier of electrons for the U.S. electric grid, which struggles to meet the demand of data centers and electrification in industries such as transportation. Reporting by Jarrett Renshaw, Marianna Pararaga, Nathan Crooks, and Laila K. Kearney from Houston, and Timothy Gardner from Washington, D.C.
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US construction spending falls unexpectedly in January
Government data revealed that U.S. construction expenditures unexpectedly declined in January due to a general weakness in private projects. Census Bureau of the Commerce Department said that construction spending fell 0.3% on Monday, after a 0.8% increase in December which had been?upwardly re-evaluated. This was the largest?increase ever since April 2024. Economists surveyed by predicted that construction spending would increase 0.1%. Construction spending increased 1.0% in January on an annual basis. Census Bureau still has a lot of data to release after the government shutdown last year caused delays. The spending on private construction projects decreased by 0.6% in January, after rising 1.0% in the previous month. Residential construction investment?decreased by 0.8% in January after rising 2.5% in December. This was partly due to an increase in renovations. The spending on single-family housing fell by 0.2%, as mortgage rates continued to limit activity. Mortgage?rates were lower at the beginning of the year but have risen since the U.S. - Israel war with Iran began at the end February. Middle East conflict has increased oil prices and U.S. Treasury Yields amid rising inflation fears. Freddie Mac data showed that the average rate for the popular 30-year fixed mortgage had jumped from 5.98% to 6.22% at the eve before the war. Mortgage rates are based on the benchmark yield of a 10-year Treasury. The rising mortgage rates add to the higher labor and material costs that have risen due to import tariffs and immigration crackdowns. Residential investment has declined for four consecutive quarters. The spending on multi-family units, which make up a tiny part of the housing market fell by?0.7% during January. In January, spending on nonresidential private structures such as offices and factories fell by 0.4%. The spending on non-residential structures is down for eight straight quarters, despite an increase in the construction of data centres to support artificial intelligence. After a 0.1% drop in December, investment in public construction projects grew by 0.6%. In January, state and local government spending on construction rose by 0.6% and federal government expenditures increased by 1.0%. Lucia Mutikani, reporting; Paul Simao, editing.
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Sources say that the Japanese government is considering a possible intervention in the crude futures market.
Market sources reported on Monday that the Japanese government was considering intervening in crude oil futures market, as the Middle East Crisis is driving energy prices'sharply up. If agreed upon, the move would 'follow Japan’s decision to release the largest amount of oil reserves ever, in coordination and cooperation with other countries, to ease the shortages caused by the U.S./Israeli war against Iran. One source stated that the government inquired about specific methods of intervening on the crude oil futures markets. Energy prices rose after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, according to the previous statements of the top executives of several major exchanges. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed, which is a major route for global oil and LNG. Japan is in an extremely vulnerable position, as more than 90 percent of its oil comes from the Middle East. The yen is also weak. Tokyo's Ministry of Finance did not respond immediately to a question about reported activities in the?oil market. Atsushi MIMURA, Japan's currency diplomat, said earlier on Monday that the government is prepared to take any measures necessary to combat volatility on the?foreign-exchange market. He warned, however, that speculation on oil futures may have an impact on currencies. The Petroleum Association of Japan (the industry group that represents the country's largest oil refiners) suggested that more stockpiles should be released as?Japan battles record gasoline prices, and consumers are beginning to feel the impact of the rising cost of energy imports. Executive Director of the International Energy Agency, Rocky Swift, said that the agency is consulting with governments across Asia and Europe on the possibility of releasing more stockpiles. He added that this would calm markets but was not a solution. (Reporting and writing by Atsuko oyama, Rocky Swift, Katya Golubkova and Hugh Lawson; editing by Hugh Lawson).
McGeever: Why $100 oil won't ruin the American consumer
Oil is expensive, especially for Americans, who spend a lot of money and are involved in a lot of energy-intensive economic activity. The average U.S. customer is better prepared than ever to cope with oil priced at $100 per barrel, despite the fears.
The U.S. household is the wealthiest it has ever been, in nominal terms. In relative terms, they've never been any better. The unemployment rate is historically low.?And, perhaps more importantly, energy and gas account for an historically small portion of?consumption.
It may be that U.S. equities outperformed those of their global peers after the joint U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran in February triggered war in Middle East, the closing of the Strait of Hormuz, and one of worst energy supply shocks for decades.
Since then, the S&P 500 has lost 5% and Nasdaq has lost 5%. This is a big hit. More than $3 trillion has been wiped off the value U.S. stock. The pain is likely to be much worse for households and businesses in Europe, Asia, and emerging markets where benchmark indexes are down by 8-10%.
2% OF GAS AND ENERGY SPENDING
According to a?aggregate level, U.S. householders appear fully capable of enduring oil prices at the current levels. According to Bureau of Economic Analysis figures, gasoline and energy goods accounted for only 2% of all consumer spending during the fourth quarter of last year. This is the lowest percentage in 80 years.
In 2008, oil reached a record high of just under $150. For comparison, in 2022, when U.S. crude topped out at $130, almost 3% was spent on energy goods. The peak was around 6% between 1980 and 1981.
It is true that the current level of 2% may rise in the future if oil prices remain high for an extended period. Even then, the majority of Americans should be able handle it. Federal Reserve data from last week revealed that household balance sheets are at their strongest level ever.
The fourth quarter of last year saw a rise in household net worth to 794%, which is the highest since early 2022. Since the 1950s, the U.S. net worth of households has been higher only three times, and all during the pandemic-distorted period 2021-22.
Inequality of Energy
The energy price increase is not a problem for Americans. According to the American Automobile Association, the national average gas price is now almost $4 per gallon. This represents a 35% increase in one month.
Energy Information Administration estimates the average price at $3.72. This is up 27% from the start of the war, the highest level in the past two and a quarter years.
Remember, however, that the price of gas was above $4 for 6 months following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. It then hit $5 by June.
It's still important to remember the "energy inequality" that America faces. The lower-income households spend a greater percentage of their income on gasoline and energy.
Fed study from last year revealed that 1 in 5 U.S. homes are "energy burdened." This means the average ratio between energy expenditure and disposable income is 25%. These households tend to be in the lower two quintiles.
It would be a political suicide for the Trump administration to attempt to spin rising energy prices in any way other than as bad news. This is especially true of a president who's approval rating is so low that the Democrats could win both chambers of Congress in November due to midterm elections.
There may also be more pain ahead. The cost of oil could increase across the entire economy. This includes transportation, manufacturing and chemicals, plastics, fertilizer.
Trump has been scrambling for a drop in oil prices. He said earlier on Monday that military strikes against Iranian energy infrastructure and power plants would be put on hold.
This is a fluid situation and Americans' resilience may quickly wane, particularly if oil prices continue to rise. For now, however, it seems that fears of $100 oil breaking the backs of U.S. consumers are overblown.
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(source: Reuters)