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Stocks rise ahead of US jobs report and tariff ruling

Stocks rise ahead of US jobs report and tariff ruling
Stocks rise ahead of US jobs report and tariff ruling

Global stocks rose on Friday, ahead of an important U.S. employment report. Investors also awaited the Supreme Court's ruling on whether President Donald Trump’s tariffs were legal. These tariffs shocked markets last year.

Geopolitical tensions around the world have pushed up oil prices and defence stocks. They will continue to be on traders' minds when they consider developments in Venezuela and Greenland. The U.S. Supreme Court's possible ruling on tariffs will dominate the conversation on Friday.

The reduction of tariffs may impact U.S. revenue, driving Treasury yields up and causing new waves in volatility.

Kyle Rodda said that the ruling is a "real wildcard" and any action to lower U.S. Tariffs will also boost the broader market sentiment.

Investors believe that stocks will rise if the court reverses existing tariffs. This is especially true for companies who had to absorb large import costs.

He added that "a constraint could be the fact that, even if tariffs were ruled illegal, the Trump administration is unlikely to give in and look for other ways to maintain levies."

Traders are still hesitant to bet on market events.

Around midday, the Stoxx 600 index in Europe was up by 0.6%. The major regional indices are in the positive zone, with the French CAC40 adding 0.9% on the day and the German DAX rising 0.5%.

S&P futures EScv1 rose?0.1%. This suggests a modest increase at the opening later. The S&P500.SPX closed flat on Thursday. However, an aerospace and defense index reached a record high. European defence shares also hit a new all-time high.

US JOBS REPORT DECK

The December U.S. Jobs Report will also be a key focus point, following a series of data releases on the labour market earlier in this week.

On the positive side, there's no sign of a recession in this labour market. That's a good thing. There is also no indication of a strong acceleration on the subdued end. Samy Chaar is chief economist at Lombard Odier. He said that this was consistent with an economy growing moderately. There's no sign of overheating or growth above potential.

The JOLTS report on hirings and ADP's private sector payrolls released earlier this week showed that employment in the largest economy in the world is slowing down.

We want to confirm today the signals we received yesterday from JOLTs, ADP and the claims we got yesterday. "We don't want an upward surprise in the unemployment rate, or job creation," Chaar stated.

Right now, the markets expect two rate reductions from the Federal Reserve in this year. This expectation could be reduced if the monthly employment report is strong.

A survey by economists estimates that nonfarm payrolls increased by 60,000 jobs last month, after recovering by 64,000 jobs in November. In October, the economy lost 105,000 positions, which is the biggest drop in almost five years. Most of these were federal employees who took deferred-buyouts.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. notes remained at 4,187%, after increasing 4.5 basis points in the previous day. The dollar index (which measures the U.S. against six other currencies) hovered at a month-high.

Scott?Bessent, U.S. Treasury secretary said that he expects Trump to make an announcement soon about who will replace Jerome Powell when the Fed chairman's term expires in?May. Markets are expecting Trump to appoint someone dovish.

The oil prices rose on Friday to their highest weekly level since late October. Investors were concerned about the situation in Venezuela, and also worried about supply from Russia, Iraq and Iran.

In a post on social media on Friday, Trump announced that he had cancelled the previously anticipated second wave of attacks against Venezuela due to its cooperation.

Two sources said that foreign embassies are preparing for a visit next week by representatives of American and European oil companies.

Brent futures

The price of crude oil in the United States rose by 0.9%, to $62.54 per barrel. However, they are still on track for a gain of nearly 3% over the past week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude

The price of a barrel was also up by 0.9%, at $58,29. Reporting by Sophie Kiderlin, London. Ankur Banerjee contributed additional reporting from Singapore. Editing was done by Amanda Cooper and Susan Fenton.

(source: Reuters)