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The October budget revenue for Russia's oil and gas sector is expected to fall by 21%

The October budget revenue for Russia's oil and gas sector is expected to fall by 21%

Calculations show that Russia's oil and gas revenues in October will fall by about 21%, to 950 billion Russian roubles (about $11.7 billion), compared to the same month a year ago, due to lower prices and an increased rouble. This is a blow to Moscow's largest source of income.

The projected decline will present more challenges to the Russian government. It is already facing a growing budget deficit, and it has been forced to raise taxes in order to finance increasing military and security expenditures.

The oil and gas revenues account for up to one quarter of the Russian budget. They are also the main source of funds for Moscow's ongoing military campaign against Ukraine.

According to calculations based upon data on oil and natural gas production, refining and supplies on the domestic and international market, October revenues are expected to increase by 63% month-over-month due to companies paying profit-based tax.

Calculations show that revenue for the first 10 month of the year will fall by 20,5%, to 7,56 trillion roubles.

On November 5, the Finance Ministry will publish its estimates for oil and gas revenues in October.

The Ministry initially projected 2025 oil revenues at 10,94 trillion, or 5% of the gross domestic product. However, this has been reduced to 8,32 trillion roubles.

(source: Reuters)