Latest News

Sberbank, a Russian bank, says the rouble must weaken to US$90 per rouble for commodity exporters 'to breathe'

By Gleb?Elena Fabrichnaya and Gleb Bryanski

MOSCOW, 3 June - A'strong rouble' is hurting Russian commodity exporters and reducing profits from higher oil prices. The rouble needs to drop to 90 dollars per U.S. to allow companies to breathe, said Alexander Vedyakhin, a top Sberbank executive.

Sberbank has raised its forecast of commodity exports by 27% this year to $491 billion. This is based on a surge in prices caused by the war in the Middle East and the closing of the Strait of Hormuz.

Sberbank also projects that the average price of Urals blend oil in 2026 will be $10 to $15 more than the $59 per a barrel forecast by the government.

Vedyakhin, however, said that the strong rouble is a major problem. "...We need to also talk about the strong currency, which places significant pressure on exporters. The strong rouble has a negative impact on exporters, and therefore, the budget. "The gains in dollars that companies get from higher oil prices will be offset in large part by the stronger rouble," said Mr. Yergin ahead of Russia's largest economic conference, which is taking place in St. Petersburg.

In the last two months, the?rouble has gained a?12% increase to 71 dollars on the back of a influx of foreign currency generated by?Russian exports. Since the beginning of 2025, the Russian currency has appreciated by more than 55%.

The strength of the?rouble has affected companies from oil majors, fertilizer producers, grain traders and farmers. Reporting by Gleb and Elena Fabrichnaya, Writing by Gleb Brianski Editing Andrew Osborn

(source: Reuters)