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The market is weighing the supply risks from Russian refinery attacks.

The market is weighing the supply risks from Russian refinery attacks.

The oil prices remained stable in early trading on Tuesday, after increasing in the previous session as participants considered a potential disruption in supply from Russia following Ukrainian drone attacks against its refineries.

Brent crude futures were up 4 cents at $67.48 per barrel as of 0000 GMT, while U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was up 2 cents at $63.32. Brent crude futures settled at $67.44, up 45 cents. WTI closed 61 cents higher on Monday at $63.30.

Ukraine intensified its attacks on Russia's infrastructure to undermine Moscow's military capability as the talks to end their war have stagnated.

In a note to clients, Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that "heightened fears of supply disruptions by Russia, a major producer accounting for more than 10% of the global oil output", is helping oil price.

U.S. Treasury secretary Scott Bessent said on Monday that the government will not impose any additional tariffs on Chinese products to encourage China's purchase of Russian oil, unless European countries impose steep duties on China and India.

Investors will also be watching the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting on September 16-17, where the bank is expected to reduce interest rates. Lower borrowing costs may boost fuel demand.

Sycamore stated that "a weaker U.S. Dollar, driven by the expectation of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut this coming week, has further supported crude oil."

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback against six other currencies, has fallen to a near-week's low. Oil becomes cheaper for holders of currencies other than the dollar when the dollar falls.

Axios, citing Israeli officials, reported that the Israeli military launched an offensive to occupy Gaza City on Monday, adding to the risk profile for Middle Eastern oil supplies.

In a rare breakthrough after months of talks, U.S. officials and Chinese officials announced on Monday that they had reached a framework deal to transfer the short-video application TikTok under U.S. control.

The easing of U.S.-China tensions has boosted the risk sentiment, and therefore increased expectations for oil demand. (Reporting and editing by Christopher Cushing in Bengaluru, Anjana Anil)

(source: Reuters)