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The oil price is expected to rebound this week after US-China trade talks resume

Oil prices fell on Friday, but are on track to gain their first weekly increase in three weeks following the resumption of trade talks between U.S. president Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. This has raised hopes for stronger growth and demand in two of the world's largest economies.

Brent crude futures dropped 19 cents or 0.3% to $65.15 per barrel at 0441 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude lost 20 cents (0.3%), to $63.17 after having gained around 50 cents Thursday.

Both benchmarks are on course to end the week higher, after two weeks of falling. Brent is up 2.1%, and WTI is up 4% this week.

China's official Xinhua News Agency said that trade talks between Xi Trump were held at Washington's request. Trump said that the conversation had ended in a "very good conclusion" and added that the U.S. is "in very great shape with China, as well as the trade agreement."

According to Melanie Joly, Canada has also been in trade discussions with the U.S. The Prime Minister Mark Carney is directly in contact with Trump.

The oil market continues to be volatile with the news of tariff negotiations, and data that shows how the U.S. levies and trade uncertainty are affecting the global economy.

Analysts at BMI (a Fitch affiliate) said that the possibility of increased US sanctions on Venezuela, which would limit crude exports, and an Israeli strike against Iranian infrastructure could add upside risks to prices.

The price of oil will continue to fall in the next quarters due to both increased production by OPEC+ producers and non-OPEC producers.

Saudi Arabia, the top exporter of crude oil to Asia, has cut its July crude price for Asia near the two-month low. This was a lower price drop than expected, after OPEC+ agreed in July to increase output by 411,000 barrels a day.

The Kingdom had pushed for a larger output increase as part of a broader plan to regain market share and discipline the over-producers within OPEC+. This grouping includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, including Russia. (Reporting and editing by Sonali Freed and Jamie Freed; Sudarshan Varadhan)

(source: Reuters)