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Oil prices drop after IEA reduces demand outlook

Oil prices drop after IEA reduces demand outlook

The oil prices fell on Tuesday, after the International Energy Agency (IEA) followed OPEC and lowered its oil demand projection. However, price drops were limited by President Donald Trump’s suggestion for some new tariff exemptions.

Brent crude futures fell 50 cents or 0.8% to $64.38 a barrel at 1005 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude also fell 50 cents or 0.8% to $61.03 per barrel.

OPEC lowered its demand forecast on Monday due to the uncertainty created by a vacillating U.S. Trade Policy.

The IEA cut its estimates for the global oil demand to 730,000 barrels a day (bpd), down from 1.03million bpd, and to 690,000. bpd, next year. It cited escalating tensions in trade.

UBS, a Swiss bank, cut its Brent price forecast by $12 per barrel to $68 per barrel on Tuesday.

The UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said that if the trade war escalates, the downside risk scenario -- i.e. a worsening U.S. economy and a hard landing on the Chinese mainland -- would see Brent trading between $40-60/bbl in the next few months.

BNP Paribas has lowered its average price expectations for this year and the next to $58 per barrel from $65.

Chris Wright, the U.S. Energy Secretary, said in comments that helped support Friday's prices that the United States can stop Iranian oil exports to Tehran as part of Trump’s plan to pressurize Tehran over its nuclear program.

China's crude imports were up nearly 5 percent in March compared to a year ago, as Iranian oil shipments surged.

Trump's announcement that he would consider modifying the 25% tariffs on auto imports from Mexico, among other countries, also helped risk assets like equities and crude oil. (Additional reporting from Colleen Chow in Beijing and Emily Chow, Singapore; editing by Sonali, Kim Coghill, and Jason Neely.)

(source: Reuters)