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Oil gains weekly amid improved demand and supply concerns

Oil gains weekly amid improved demand and supply concerns

The oil prices were stable on Friday, and are expected to rise by a significant amount this week due to an improved outlook for the demand in China and the United States. The price of oil was also supported by concerns over disruptions to supply in Russia.

Brent futures fell 3 cents, to $76.45 a barrel by 0414 GMT. U.S. West Texas intermediate crude was down 4 cents at $72.44.

Both indexes gained more than 2% in the past week, marking their largest weekly gains since early January. Brent will be marking its second week of gains following three weeks of declines. WTI will have its first positive week after four consecutive weeks of declines.

JPMorgan analysts stated in a Friday note that the global oil demand averaged 103.4 millions barrels per daily (bpd). This is an increase of 1.4 million bpd.

The coming week will see increased demand due to cold weather in China and an increase in industrial activity as Chinese people return from their holidays.

The Energy Information Administration reported on Thursday that the U.S. crude stockpiles increased while gasoline and distillate stocks fell due to seasonal maintenance at refineries, which led to a lower processing.

Toshitaka Takawa, an analyst with Fujitomi Securities, said that the oil price is supported by both the drawdown of U.S. gasoline stocks and concerns about tight supply in Russia.

The hardened stance of Ukraine has led some investors to buy into the market.

The Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelenskiy was furious earlier this week at U.S. and Russian attempts to negotiate a deal without Kyiv, and Donald Trump's comments blaming Ukraine as the cause of the three-year conflict with Moscow.

Zelenskiy, however, said that after a meeting on Thursday with Trump's representative for the Ukraine conflict, Ukraine was prepared to work quickly in order to reach a solid agreement with the United States on security and investments.

U.S. Treasury Sec. Scott Bessent said on Bloomberg Television that Russia may be able to get some relief from U.S. Sanctions if it is willing to negotiate a ceasefire in its war with Ukraine.

Despite the disruptions in oil supply, prices continued to rise.

Russia reported that oil flow through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, which is a major route used for exporting crude oil from Kazakhstan, was reduced by 30-40% after an attack by a Ukrainian drone on a pumping facility on Tuesday.

Industry sources reported on Thursday that Kazakhstan had pumped record oil volumes in spite of damage to its main route for export via Russia (the Caspian Pipeline Consortium). It wasn't immediately clear how Kazakhstan was able to pump such high volumes. Reporting by Yuka Obaashi in Tokyo, and Siyi Lu in Singapore. Editing by Sonali Paul & Edwin Gibbs

(source: Reuters)