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Sinopec to start work soon on $3.7 billion refinery in Sri Lanka, and bid for another refinery expansion
The energy minister announced on Tuesday that Sri Lanka is expecting the Chinese state energy giant Sinopec, to begin construction on a $3.7-billion refinery in this year. They are also considering the long-standing request of the company to sell more local fuel. In an interview in his office, Energy Minister Kumara Jayakody stated that the Sinopec refinery approved in 2023 will have a capacity of processing 200,000 barrels per day. It will be located close to the Chinese-built Hambantota Port in southern Sri Lanka. He said, "The land is already allocated to them and they've done all the other facilities." "The government... we all share the same expectations and idea about this project. (That it will begin this year)" Anil Jayantha, Sri Lanka's deputy minister for economic development, told a separate reporter that Sinopec would take three years to finish the project. Sinopec, according to a Chinese executive familiar with the project and the Sri Lankan government's latest proposal on the fuel market, has been waiting months for this latest proposal. The minister and an official stated that Sri Lanka previously wanted Sinopec only to sell 20% of its refinery output domestically and the rest exported. However, it is now considering proposals allowing the company up to 40% to be sold locally. Sinopec's spokesperson declined to make any comment. Arjuna Herath is the chair of the Board of Investment of Sri Lanka. She said, "From what we hear, they say that if they do not have greater access to the market, the feasibility and viability (could) be challenging." The point is being negotiated - whether or not it should be 30, 40% (percentage) or another point. There is a great deal of commitment in order to work out this issue. Sri Lanka imports the majority of its fuel. Jayakody stated that Sri Lanka plans to invest $3 billion in order to increase the refinery's capacity from 38,000 to 150,000 barrels per day. Sinopec, along with companies from China, India, and Qatar, have expressed interest in the project. He said that expansion work at Ceylon Petroleum's refinery will begin next year and be completed in two to three more years. Sinopec attended Sri Lanka's tender presentation early this month about the refinery expansion. The Chinese executive declined to provide further details. Sinopec has until the 26th of September to submit a statement of interest. The executive refused to be named as he wasn't authorised to talk to media. The details of the project have never been previously reported. Sri Lanka is a key point of rivalry between China, India and other nations. Both countries have invested heavily in energy and infrastructure projects in order to increase their influence on the 22 million-strong island nation in the Indian Ocean. India announced earlier this year that it was working to establish an energy hub along Sri Lanka's east coast. Jayakody said that the location of our country is extremely important in terms of geopolitics, particularly since many sea routes pass nearby. "On the one hand, we have India and other countries are going down the same path, so, our country gains automatically and naturally some important geopolitical benefits." Chen Aizhu contributed additional reporting from Singapore. Tony Munroe, Mark Potter and Tony Munroe edited the article.
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Dollar falls as traders bet on Fed rate cuts
Investors bought U.S. assets, assuming that the Federal Reserve will cut rates. They sold equities, however, in Europe where the borrowing costs are unlikely to drop much more. The MSCI all-country index rose 0.46%, reaching new records. The pan-European STOXX 600 fell 0.19%. This was mainly due to declines among rate-sensitive insurers and banks, who stand to lose if the European Central Bank doesn't cut euro zone interest rates any further. James Rossiter is the head of global macro-strategy at TD Securities, London. He said that markets are realizing there won't be any more cuts from the ECB. This has a negative impact on expectations for Fed to resume its easing policy. The money markets now only see a 40% probability of an ECB cut by 25 bps in June 2026, down from 50% last week. STOCKS SCALE NEW HEIGHTS Stocks reached new highs on Wall Street as the markets were buoyant in recent sessions. This was due to expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut. S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures are up 0.2%. This indicates that the indexes will continue to rally after reaching new highs on Monday. Futures have already priced over 127 basis points worth of Fed reductions by July 2026. This means that policymakers will need to work hard to keep investors hopeful. There do appear to be quite some rate cuts already priced in. "On balance, that might suggest that the bar for an unexpected hawkish move is lower than for one that's dovish," said Thomas Mathews. The Fed is likely to stick with its cautious approach in communicating and not reveal much. The markets reacted little to the news that Stephen Miran was narrowly confirmed to the Board of Governors of the U.S. central bank by the U.S. Senate, and that a U.S. court of appeals refused to allow President Donald Trump to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Both moves were not seen as likely to change the Fed's Wednesday decision, in which a 25 basis-point reduction is fully priced. Bank of Canada and Bank of England will also likely hold their rates this week. Other officials from the U.S., China and other countries said that they reached a framework deal on Monday to transfer ownership of TikTok (a short video app) to U.S. control. This agreement will be confirmed during a call between President Trump and Chinese president Xi Jinping this Friday. The Dollar: Pressure on the Dollar Fed's decision to cut bets has kept the pressure on the dollar. On Tuesday, it fell to its lowest level since July 4, against a basket currency. The euro traded at its highest level since early July. This was also the highest level since September 2021. The dollar was up 0.4% to $1.1811. The sterling reached its highest level in more than two months, at $1.3641. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note was the last to reach 3.5345%, after falling the previous session. The benchmark 10-year rate was nearly flat at 4.0432%. Investors assessed the impact that Ukrainian drone attacks against Russian refineries had on oil prices. Brent crude futures rose 0.5% to $67.79 a barrel. U.S. crude oil futures increased 0.8% to $63.74 per barrel. The spot gold price reached a record high of just under $3,700 per ounce. This was boosted by the weaker dollar, and expectations of a Fed rate reduction.
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Iron ore is a robust alternative to China's soft steel: Russell
In August, the gap between China's steel industry and its appetite for iron ore imports widened. This highlights the difference between hope and reality. China, which produces just over half the world's steel, saw its output fall for a third consecutive month in August, to 77.37 millions metric tons. The month was the weakest since December and was down by 0.7% compared to August and 2.9% compared to the 79.66 millions tons recorded in July. The steel output in the first eight-month period was 671.81 millions tons, which is a decrease of 2.8% compared to the same period last year. Iron ore imports and prices remain robust, despite the weakness in steel. According to data released by the Chinese government last week, China imported 105.23 millions tons of seaborne iron ore in August. This was the third consecutive month that imports were above 100 million tonnes. This trend is expected to continue into September when commodity analysts Kpler predict imports of 112.2 millions tons. If achieved, this would be the highest level since December of last year. Iron ore prices have also been rising, with benchmark futures at the Singapore Exchange closing Monday at $105.50 per ton, just under the six-month peak of $106.75 reached on September 9. The front-month contract has increased 13% since its lowest point of this year, which was $93.35 per ton on July 1. The price of iron ore is rising due to the strong Chinese demand. But why are steel mills purchasing more of this key raw material when they are experiencing lower production and shrinking margins? Answer: They are still hopeful that Beijing's efforts at stimulating steel-intensive industries, such as construction will be fruitful. It is difficult to prove this, as new home prices dropped by 0.3% from August of the previous month. This is a continuation of a downward trend which began in May 2023. The number of new construction starts is also low, falling 19.5% from August 2024 to August 2018. SEPTEMBER STEEL RECYCLING The positive side is that there's optimism about the steel production in September, after the disappointing August results. Some of this was attributed to production cuts to reduce pollution before the military parade of Beijing on September 3, which marks the end of World War Two. Even if the steel production does improve in September, it is unclear how large or long-lasting this recovery will be. Beijing is thought to have an informal goal that the annual steel production be kept at the same level of around 1 billion tonnes that has prevailed over the last five years. After subtracting the total steel production for the year from 1 billion tons, there are 328 millions tons left over to use in the final four months of the calendar year. This is an average of about 82 million tonnes per month. There is room for growth in the third quarter and September. The visible inventories of iron ore and steel have increased but remain at levels which suggest that more stockpiles could be added. Stocks of steel rebar SteelHome consultants monitored the rise to 4,69 million tons during the week ending September 12. Rebar stocks tend to peak in March after a build-up over the winter months. The current level, however, is below the peak of March 2025 at 6.36 million tonnes and the 8.37 millions tons from March 2024. Iron ore stocks at China's port The week ending September 12 saw a drop to 132.6 millions tons from the 149.4 that was recorded in the same period last year. You like this column? Check out Open Interest, your new essential source of global financial commentary. ROI provides data-driven, thought-provoking analysis on everything from soybeans to swap rates. The markets are changing faster than ever. ROI can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, X. These are the views of the columnist, an author for.
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German engineering production will recover in 2026, according to lobby
According to the VDMA sector group, German engineering companies are expecting production to only recover slightly next year after the pounding that high costs and global uncertainty, as well as a trade conflict, will have on the level this year. VDMA says that production will only grow by 1.0% by 2026 if the major reforms promised to the German government this autumn are actually implemented. The VDMA warned that there were "considerable risks" including an intensification of the trade conflict, a rise in government debt, and punitive duties on steel and aluminum. These factors prompted the VDMA's 2025 outlook to be lowered. The German lobby is now expecting a real-terms 5% decline in production, compared to the 2% drop it forecasted earlier this year. The tariffs have had a major impact on the metals industry. Several companies stopped exporting to the United States because of the risks involved in proving the origins of steel and aluminum. Bertram Kawlath, VDMA President, said: "The EU needs to make it clear that our machines are used in American production and for export and therefore do not face punitive duties." The VDMA also called on the German Government to create a strong market in Germany, as "the wind blows ever harsher into our faces", said he. (Reporting and editing by Tom Kaeckenhoff, Miranda Murray)
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World Bank: Heatwaves cost Bangladesh $1.8 Billion last year
According to a World Bank study released on Tuesday, rising temperatures will have a significant impact on Bangladesh. Heat-related illnesses, and losses in productivity, could cost the country up to $1.78bn - or 0.4% of its GDP - by 2024. The study shows the maximum temperature in South Asia has increased by 1.1 degrees Celsius since 1980. However, the "feels-like" temperature has increased by 4.5 C. As the heat increases, so do diarrhea, respiratory issues, fatigue and mental health problems such as anxiety and depression. Women and older adults are at greater risk. Dhaka, the capital of Bangladesh, has been ranked as one the most heat-stressed city in the world. Its heat index is rising at a rate 65% higher than the national average. According to the report, heat-related mental and physical health conditions will wipe out 25 million days of work in Bangladesh by 2024. "Extreme Heat is Not Just a Seasonal Inconvenience. Its effects are far-reaching. We see that in Bangladesh, the rising temperatures are affecting the health of the people and their productivity. By building on its climate adaptation experience and adopting a coordinated sector-wide approach, Bangladesh can mitigate the impacts of heatwaves and maintain sustainable economic growth. It is possible, as countries such as Singapore have shown. The report calls for urgent action to improve data collection, strengthen the health system, and expand green spaces in urban areas. The report calls for international funding to help Bangladesh cope with the escalating risks of climate change. (Reporting and Editing by Ros Russel)
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Nigerian troops kill 8 Islamic State fighters during Borno ambush. Military says
The military reported that eight militants from the Islamic State West Africa Province, including two senior commanders, were killed during an ambush on a major supply route in northeast Nigeria. The clash took place early Monday morning near Garin Giwa, on the Baga Cross Kauwa Road in Borno State. This area is frequently targeted by insurgents who want to disrupt military operations. ISWAP fighters tried to ambush an army patrol, but troops were able repel them. The ISWAP's senior field commander Abu Aisha was among those killed, as were Qaid of Tumbun Mota and two mid-level leaders, also known as Munzirs. According to the statement, several other militants fled with gunshot injuries. Boko Haram militants and their splinter ISWAP group have been responsible for thousands of deaths and displacements in northeast Nigeria. They also caused a humanitarian crisis by attacking security forces and civilians. (Reporting from Camillus Eboh, Abuja; writing and editing by Elisha Gbogbo)
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Strong investment demand is driving India's silver imports.
Industry officials said that India's imports of silver are expected to grow in the next few months. This is due to increased investment and industrial demand, which has already consumed the excess from last year's high shipments. The world's largest silver consumer, China, could boost global prices to the highest level since 14 years. Chirag Thakkar of Amrapali Group Gujarat (a silver importer) said at the India Gold Conference, New Delhi, that "with prices going up, the investment demand has also shot up -- nearly twice what it was before." Thakkar predicted that silver imports would increase in the next few months. The annual total is likely to range between 5,500 to 6,000 metric tonnes. After shipments had more than doubled to 7,669 tonnes in 2024, the industry expected a sharp decline in India's imports in 2025. India's imports of silver in the first eight-month period of 2025 dropped by more than half to 2,580 tonnes from 5,695 tons one year earlier, according to preliminary data released by the trade ministry. Thakkar stated that the strong demand of recent months has led to a depletion of stocks and prompted banks and dealers stepping up imports. Silver futures in India hit a new record of 129.878 Indian Rupees (1,474.75) per kilo on Tuesday. They are up almost 49% so far this year and have outpaced a 44% increase in gold prices. A Mumbai-based dealer at a private bank said that despite the price rally, Silver is still trading at a premium to official domestic rates. These include a 6% duty on imports and a 3% tax on sales. Demand from industrial users and investment firms remains high. Investors usually cash out when prices rise. This time, however, they are so confident about the future that there is hardly any scrap on the market," he said. The Association of Mutual Funds in India reported that inflows to silver exchange-traded fund reached 17.59 billion rupies in July, and 19.04 billion rupies in August. This is well above the average monthly inflows of 6.7 billion rupies in the previous fiscal year. India imports silver from the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Britain, and China. $1 = 88.0680 Indian Rupees
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Copper prices are impacted by profit-taking and lack of interest from China
The price of copper fell on Tuesday, as traders reported that a lack of interest from China's leading consumer led to profit-taking. Prices had risen 15 months earlier. At 1105 GMT, the benchmark copper price on London Metal Exchange had fallen by 0.5% to $10,134 per metric tonne. It reached $10,192.50 per ton on Monday, the highest level since June of last year. The rapid rise of copper to $10,000 per ton this month has pushed Chinese buyers away, traders have said. The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday to decide the interest rate in the United States. The expectation of a rate cut has weighed heavily on the U.S. dollar, which will make metals priced in dollars cheaper for holders of other currencies. This could increase demand. Analysts at Benchmark Mineral Intelligence said that given the high level of market consensus regarding the likelihood of a rate reduction, it's likely that investors and traders have been positioning themselves well in advance. This will dampen the immediate impact of any such mechanism. Traders reported that funds were placing bets ahead of the Fed's decision on higher copper prices and that there was a pickup in the amount of copper in storage warehouses monitored by Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Chinese demand for goods has heightened concerns. The focus is also on the zinc stocks in LME-approved warehouses The LME's total tonnage, 48,975 tonnes, has dropped by 60% since mid-July. Metal marked for delivery or cancelled warrants at 36% indicates another 17,600 tons are due to leave the LME. Low zinc stocks have fueled concerns about zinc availability on the LME and created a premium for the forward cash contract of three months. . The premium reached its highest level since October of last year. On Monday, it closed at around $27 per ton. After earlier reaching a six-month record of $2,985, three-month zinc fell 0.2% to $2,974 per ton. Other metals saw a 0.1% increase in aluminium at $2704 per ton. Lead was unchanged at $2002, while tin rose 0.5% to $34,825. Nickel retreated by 0.2% at $15,400.
MORNING quote AMERICAS-Markets capture a break before inflation, profits
A take a look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Mike Dolan
Thanks mostly to a stabilisation of bond markets and an ebbing of the super-strong dollar, international stocks caught an unusual new year quote on Tuesday with critical inflation and corporate incomes updates now in view.
A somewhat strange narrative established behind Monday's. bounce in stocks, with some mentioning a Bloomberg report claiming. President-elect Donald Trump's group is studying gradual tariff. hikes - using emergency legislation to boost import responsibilities 2% -5%. per month till they wreak concessions from trade partners.
While it may have planted some relief that bigger one-off. tariff rises are not coming as soon as next week, the prospect. of months - or perhaps years - of drip-fed tariff walkings, and serial. dangers of such, does not seem like a dish for smooth market. cruising or simpler inflation concerns ahead.
Nevertheless, this year's relentless selloff in Treasuries. has stopped briefly at least over the past 24 hr and a somewhat more. favorable posture there filtered through Wall Street stocks and. out throughout the world over night.
With December manufacturer and customer rate reports due out. today and Wednesday, respectively, 10-year criteria Treasury. yields have called back from 14-month highs above. 4.8% hit on Monday and 30-year 'long bond' yields are balking at. 5% for now.
Helping the state of mind on Monday was the release of the New york city. Fed's December customer survey, which painted a more mixed. photo of public inflation expectations than a sparkier. University of Michigan readout last Friday. The latter had. exacerbated bonds' post-payrolls swoon late recently.
The NY Fed poll showed households' anticipated course of. inflation a year from now stayed constant at 3%. While the. 3-year view rose to 3% from 2.6% in November, the 5-year view. ebbed to 2.7% from 2.9%.
This saw Fed futures find their feet and the market is back. pricing one rates of interest cut this year - by October - compared. to a scenario early the other day morning that showed none totally. priced for the entire of 2025. A stalling of crude oil costs. , which struck four-month highs on Monday on the current U.S. sanctions on Russia, likewise calmed the bond market horses a bit.
However, annual heading and 'core' U.S. manufacturer cost. inflation readings due later on Tuesday are expected to see a. substantial pickup up in 3.4% and 3.8% respectively.
And more significantly, tomorrow's customer cost report is. expected to show the 'core' annual inflation rate stuck as high. as 3.3% last month.
Market inflation expectations embedded in Treasury. inflation-protected securities are now just a hair from 2.5%. for the very first time considering that October 2023. The NY Fed's quote of. the so-called 'term premium' demanded by financiers to hold. 10-year Treasuries, meantime, struck practically 65 basis points on. Monday for the very first time given that September 2014.
But quick stabilisation in small yields has functioned as a. balm more extensively.
Although the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed lower again. on Monday, the S&P 500 bounced off its least expensive level given that. the November election day and eked out a small gain by the. close. And, with stock gains extending throughout Asia and. European bourses, Wall Street futures are up another half. percent ahead of Tuesday's bell.
The fourth-quarter revenues season starts in earnest on. Wednesday, with many of the big banking names kicking the. updates off as usual.
The dollar stepped back with Treasury yields too,. retreating from 2-year highs. Ailing sterling bounced. from 14-month lows as British federal government bonds. stabilised in line with Treasuries, with which they have been. joined at the hip all year.
Chinese stocks were a standout gainer overnight, with the. mainland CSI300 clocking an increase of 2.7% and staging. its best day because November 7.
With domestic regulators vowing more market assistance on. Monday to address the worst start to a calendar year in a. years, regional chip companies also rallied after the U.S. stepped up. its tech curbs.
However the reports about more steady U.S. tariff rises may. likewise have assisted and traders are waiting for Friday's swathe of. month-to-month economic releases, including fourth-quarter Chinese GDP. information.
Investments in governments bonds are not risk-free, Chinese. central bank authorities Zou Lan said on Tuesday, caution of a. prospective market bubble and resulting turbulence if bond yields. leave from economic basics. Fast falling Chinese bond. yields have been complicating Beijing's efforts to stabilise a. weakening yuan and individuals's Bank of China suspended treasury. bond purchases in January.
What's more, the annual travel rush for China's Lunar New. Year events officially started on Tuesday, with many taking. a break to reunite with family or take a vacation ahead of the. Jan 29 new year celebration.
Back stateside, the inflation news will dominate sentiment. this week, but the release of December retail sales on Thursday. will also give a crucial take on the holiday shopping season. Key advancements that ought to offer more instructions to U.S. markets in the future Tuesday:. * United States December manufacturer price report, NFIB Dec small company. survey. * New York Federal Reserve President John Williams and Kansas. City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid both speak
(source: Reuters)