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Oil costs edge down, projections for higher oil output, weak need growth weigh
Oil rates dropped somewhat early on Thursday on expectations of greater worldwide production in the middle of projections for weak demand growth, while a firmer dollar likewise kept a cover on rates. Brent unrefined futures were down 6 cents, or 0.08%, at $ 72.22 a barrel by 0133 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude ( WTI) futures were down 13 cents, or 0.19%, at $68.30. The U.S. Energy Details Administration has slightly raised its expectation of U.S. oil output to an average 13.23 million barrels per day this year, or 300,000 bpd greater than in 2015's record of 12.93 million bpd, and up from 13.22 million bpd projection previously. The company also raised its international oil output forecast for 2024 to 102.6 million bpd, from its prior forecast of 102.5 million bpd. For next year, it anticipates world output of 104.7 million bpd, up from 104.5 million bpd formerly. This follows the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Tuesday again cut its global oil demand development projection to 1.82 million bpd in 2024, below 1.93 million bpd forecast last month, on weak need in China, India and other regions, sending oil prices to their least expensive in nearly two weeks. The EIA projections oil need growth weaker than OPEC, at about 1 million bpd in 2024, although that is up from its previous projection of about 900,000 bpd. Market individuals are now waiting on the International Energy Firm's oil market report, due later on in the day, and the EIA's U.S. petroleum and product stockpiles data for further trading hints. A weak outlook for need in China continues to weigh on sentiment. The stronger USD is developing strong headwinds for commodities, ANZ Research study stated in a note. The U.S. dollar rose to near a seven-month high versus major currencies on Wednesday after data showed U.S. inflation for October increased in line with expectations, suggesting the Federal Reserve will keep cutting rates. A firmer dollar makes products priced in the greenback costly for buyers using other currencies.
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Brazil's top court evacuates after 2 close-by explosions, man dead
Brazil's Supreme Court was evacuated after 2 surges went off outside the structure on Wednesday night and a man was killed by one blast in the square in front of the court, authorities and eyewitnesses stated. The justices were left safely, the court stated in a. declaration. The first surge remained in a parking lot adjacent to the court. structure, and regional tv revealed the blast occurred in the. boot of a parked car. Authorities swept the area for other explosive gadgets, and the. nation's lawyer general called the surges on social. media an attack. The body of the dead male was found depending on the square. opposite the court. It was unclear what his connection was to. the 2nd explosion. The Supreme Court lies across the square from Brazil's. presidential palace, where President Luis Inacio Lula da Silva. had actually left for the night minutes before the surges. Local media outlet UOL said a guy was seen near the front of. Supreme Court building with explosives, without stating how it. got the info. The 2 surges were heard within 20 seconds of each. other, according to local media.
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US refiner margins to stabilize next year as plant closures cut supply, EIA states
U.S. refiner margins for gasoline and diesel will be reasonably the same next year, the U.S. Energy Details Administration said on Wednesday, indicating relief for fuel manufacturers who saw profits slump dramatically since 2022 on slowing demand development. Refiners worldwide reaped record profits in 2021 and 2022 from the post-pandemic surge in travel need and recovering financial activity. Nevertheless, margins then dropped dramatically as mammoth brand-new plants opened around the world and need growth slowed, partly due to efforts to shift away from fossil fuels. The prepared closures of 2 U.S. refineries next year - LyondellBasell Industries' 263,776 barrel-per-day Houston refinery and Phillips 66's 139,000-bpd Los Angeles refinery - will help stop the downturn in margins for plants that stay, the EIA said in its November Short-Term Energy Outlook. The closures will decrease U.S. refining capacity to 17.94 million barrels per day by the end of next year, the most affordable considering that June 2022, according to EIA data. Capability had grown over the previous 2 years. Higher need for gas and diesel in the United States will also help refiner margins improve next year, the agency said. The 3-2-1 crack spread, a market metric used to examine refiners' margins on both fuel and diesel created, plunged to around $17 per barrel since Wednesday, down from $60. per barrel in June 2022 - the highest in LSEG records going back. to 2002 . The EIA on Wednesday lifted its projection for this year's. U.S. gas intake to 8.94 million bpd, like last. year, compared to its earlier view that need will fall this. year to 8.91 million bpd. The company likewise raised this year's need forecasts for. extract fuel oil, that includes diesel and heating oil, and. for jet fuel.
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Democratic governors develop group to resist Trump policies
The governors of Illinois and Colorado on Wednesday stated they will cochair a union of primarily Democraticled states to eliminate back versus authorities incoming Republican President Donald Trump has pledged to press through. With their Governors Safeguarding Democracy group, Democrats J.B. Pritzker of Illinois and Jared Polis of Colorado join attorneys general and other Democratic governors who have pledged to withstand conservative Trump policies on everything from immigration to rollbacks on environmental protections. Among other things, Trump - who won a decisive victory over Democrat Kamala Harris in last week's election - has vowed to use federal police to examine his political opponents, launch the largest deportation effort in American history and purge institution of higher learnings of variety programs. In previous years, conservative states - most especially Texas - have filed suits and taken other actions to try to control Democratic Party presidents. Texas Chief Law Officer Ken Paxton this week sent out an e-mail highlighting his 100th suit versus the administration of President Joe Biden. We founded (the group) because we understand that basic hope alone won't save our democracy, Polis stated on a conference call revealing the group. We require to collaborate, specifically at the state level, to safeguard and reinforce it. He and Pritzker did not information the actions they are pondering. Responding to the group's formation, Karoline Leavitt, a. representative for Trump's shift team, stated the. president-elect will serve all Americans, even those who did. not choose him in the election. He will combine the nation. through success. Whether the brand-new Democrat-led group will have much success is. uncertain. Democratic-led states consistently battled against Trump. policies in his very first administration, however he still handled to. push through a strongly conservative program on whatever from. energy policy to migration constraints. Governors Safeguarding Democracy says it is a non-partisan. group. When pressed by press reporters on Wednesday's call about. Republican guvs' participation, Pritzker stated the group had. been having excellent discussions with Republican officials however. decreased to state with whom. Previously, California Guv Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, called a. special legislative session to deal with Trump policies he said. threaten the state's worths in locations such as civil liberties,. immigration and environment. Trump responded to Newsom's. announcement by saying on social media that the guv is. attempting to kill our nation's gorgeous California. Washington state's Governor-elect Bob Ferguson, another. Democrat who is the state's existing attorney general, said last. week that his legal team has been getting ready for months on how to. react to future Trump policies. New York Guv Kathy Hochul, a Democrat, has actually stated she is. dealing with her attorney general of the United States on how to safeguard New. Yorkers' basic liberties and Massachusetts Attorney. General Andrea Campbell, another Democrat, has actually stated that she and. other attorney generals of the United States are on the cutting edge to safeguard our. fundamental rights and flexibilities against Trump policies.
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OMV overcomes $243 mln in arbitral award for Gazprom's irregular German gas materials
OMV has actually gotten an arbitral award of over 230 million euros ($ 243.06 million) from the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) in connection with irregular German gas products from Gazprom, the Austrian oil and gas group stated on Wednesday. The award, consisting of interest and costs, would positively contribute to its financial losses sustained in 2022, the business stated in a declaration. The oil and gas group anticipates a worsening of its contract with Gazprom Export, a subsidiary of the Russian gas giant, perhaps resulting in a halt of gas supply. The business validated it will balance out claims versus billings under the Austrian gas supply contract with Gazprom Export to obtain compensation, which will increase its tidy CCS operating outcome and capital. OMV said the potentially affected volume of gas for the Austrian Virtual Trading Point, due to the award, is approximated at approximately 7,400 megawatt per hour. OMV validates that it can deliver the complete contracted volumes of gas to its customers in case of a possible supply disruption by Gazprom Export, the Vienna-based company stated. We have been getting ready for a possible supply interruption for a long time. In any case, our country's gas supply is secure. Our gas storage centers are full, Austrian Energy Minister Leonore Gewessler composed in a post on X, on Wednesday. In May, OMV said the gas materials from Russia's Gazprom may be suspended due to a court judgment, without identifying the case. Previously in April, Kremlin-controlled energy giant Gazprom had asked a Russian court to prohibit Austria's OMV from pursuing international arbitration. Later in the exact same month, Gazprom submitted lawsuits in a Russian court versus Czech utility CEZ, OMV and Slovak energy group ZSE. OMV had actually started arbitration proceedings versus Gazprom in connection with its participation in a Russian gas field.
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How Musk's US government efficiency panel might work
President-elect Donald Trump has charged billionaire Tesla CEO Elon Musk with setting up a panel to simplify the U.S. federal government. Although Trump has stated little about how this group would operate, Musk previously set an enthusiastic objective of cutting $ 2 trillion of federal spending. Musk, the world's wealthiest individual, will head the brand-new panel along with former Republican politician Presidential prospect Vivek Ramaswamy. Here is how it may work. WHAT DOES MUSK WISH TO CUT? Musk stated at a Trump rally at Madison Square Garden in October that the federal budget could be lowered by a minimum of $2. trillion. That ambitious goal exceeds overall discretionary. spending, consisting of defense spending, which is approximated to. total $1.9 trillion out of $6.75 trillion in total federal. outlays for financial 2024, according to the Congressional Budget. Office. Musk, whose companies consist of the electrical lorry maker Tesla. and commercial space business SpaceX, has comprehensive federal. contracts for rockets and other space operations with the. National Aeronautics and Space Administration and the Pentagon. Musk has likewise tussled with numerous federal regulators. The. Federal Air Travel Administration has a say in SpaceX rocket. launches and the Epa has actually fined the. business over pollution near a launch website in Texas. The National. Highway Traffic Safety Administration is examining. autonomous driving functions in Tesla's cars and trucks. The Securities and. Exchange Commission disciplined Musk for a 2018 tweet about. taking Tesla private. Ramaswamy, who founded pharmaceutical company Roivant Sciences,. has worked with the Fda, a company he. has called corrupt. On social networks site X in 2023 he wrote:. Numerous FDA policies and actions are hypocritical, harmful. & & unconstitutional. WHAT HAVE MUSK AND TRUMP SAID ABOUT THE PANEL? Trump in a declaration on Tuesday stated the panel would. supply suggestions and guidance from beyond federal government, on. slimming down the government, cutting guidelines, reducing. costs and restructuring federal firms. Trump wants to abolish the Department of Education, providing. states greater control of schooling. He also wishes to dramatically. cut the deep state-- profession federal staff members he states are. clandestinely pursuing their own programs. Trump and Musk have suggested the panel will make dramatic cuts. However the U.S. Constitution offers Congress the power over the. federal budget plan. Congress can take or neglect recommendations from. outside panels like the proposed efficiency group. In an effort to be transparent, Musk said the panel will. post its actions for public comment. Anytime the general public thinks we are cutting something. important or not cutting something inefficient, just let us know!. he stated on X. He likewise pointed out producing a list of dumb spending, which he. noted would be incredibly amusing. On Tuesday, Ramaswamy said the panel would quickly start. crowdsourcing examples of government waste and supposed fraud. WHAT IS THE PRECEDENT FOR THE EFFECTIVENESS PANEL? In February 1982, previous President Ronald Reagan revealed. he would form a group of private sector professionals to suggest. ways to remove inefficiency and waste. That June, his. executive order formed a panel that became known as the Grace. Commission for its chairman J. Peter Grace, previous CEO of W.R. Grace and Co. . Grace raised money to money the effort through a foundation. About 150 magnate offered time on an executive. committee that supervised 36 Grace Commission job forces, which. examined agencies or functions. The Commission issued a report in January 1984 with 2,500. recommendations. The task forces came out with reports as. well. The majority of the recommendations, specifically those needing. legislation from Congress, were never executed, the Reagan. Library stated. In March 2017, Trump signed an executive order aiming to improve. effectiveness, effectiveness, and accountability and eliminate or. rearrange unneeded federal agencies. It directed each. agency to send a strategy to rearrange. He signed a different. executive order to put regulative reform task forces and. officers within firms. Trump unsuccessfully tried to eliminate a minimum of 19 firms throughout. his very first term. He called for getting rid of the Overseas Private. Investment Corporation that helps stimulate private financial investment in. foreign development projects and the Corporation for Public. Broadcasting. He likewise attempted to cut financing for Amtrak, subsidies. for rural airline company service and the Special Olympics. WHAT EXPERIENCE DOES MUSK HAVE WITH EXPENSE CUTTING? After Musk bought the social networks app Twitter, he laid off. roughly 3,700 staff members, half its workforce. Revenue diminished as. marketers pulled spending and hundreds more staff members. consequently resigned. He later on renamed the social networks site. X, however its appraisal has actually plunged under his ownership. Musk has had much greater success with SpaceX. Its Falcon 9. rocket slashed launch expenses with its reusability. This grown. new satellite markets, triggering the business's fast-growing. Starlink constellation, which has interrupted the established. satellite communications market and assisted shape modern. military methods. SpaceX is now a major defense contractor. I would hope that he will try to find locations to do what he. did at SpaceX, stated Steve Grundman, a deputy under secretary at. the Pentagon under President Bill Clinton. The method to save huge money is to erase stuff, close. things, Grundman stated, including the task is complicated because,. you're never going to discover a thing that is pure dead weight. WHAT ARE THE GUIDELINES FOR A PANEL LIKE THIS? The committee would likely run under the Federal. Advisory Committee Act, a 1972 law making sure panels provide. guidance that is timely, unbiased and available to the public. It. requireds cost controls and record keeping requirements that. apply to the roughly 1,000 committees with some 60,000 members. encouraging the President and the executive branch at any provided. time. Ramaswamy stated on Wednesday, once again on X, that the panel will. have a legal required offered current choices by the Supreme Court. the curtailed the power of regulators.
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Democratic guvs create group to resist Trump policies
The guvs of Illinois and Colorado on Wednesday stated they will cochair a union of mostly Democraticled states to eliminate back against polices incoming Republican President Donald Trump has pledged to push through. With their Governors Safeguarding Democracy group, Democrats J.B. Pritzker of Illinois and Jared Polis of Colorado sign up with attorneys general and other Democratic governors who have vowed to resist conservative Trump policies on everything from immigration to rollbacks on environmental protections. To name a few things, Trump - who won a definitive victory over Democrat Kamala Harris in last week's election - has pledged to use federal law enforcement to examine his political opponents, release the biggest deportation effort in American history and purge institution of higher learnings of diversity programs. In previous years, conservative states - most especially Texas - have submitted claims and taken other actions to try to control Democratic Celebration presidents. Texas Attorney General Of The United States Ken Paxton today sent an e-mail highlighting his 100th suit against the administration of President Joe Biden. We founded (the group) since we know that easy hope alone won't conserve our democracy, Polis stated on a teleconference announcing the group. We require to work together, particularly at the state level, to safeguard and strengthen it. He and Pritzker did not detail the actions they are pondering. Trump's shift team did not instantly react to an emailed ask for remark. Whether the brand-new Democrat-led group will have much success is uncertain. Democratic-led states consistently fought versus Trump policies in his first administration, however he still handled to push through a highly conservative program on everything from energy policy to immigration constraints. Governors Safeguarding Democracy states it is a non-partisan group. When pushed by reporters on Wednesday's call about Republican governors' participation, Pritzker said the group had been having excellent conversations with Republican officials but declined to state with whom. Earlier, California Governor Gavin Newsom, a Democrat, called a. special legislative session to deal with Trump policies he stated. threaten the state's worths in locations such as civil rights,. migration and climate. Trump responded to Newsom's. announcement by stating on social networks that the governor is. trying to eliminate our nation's stunning California. Washington state's Governor-elect Bob Ferguson, another. Democrat who is the state's existing attorney general of the United States, stated last. week that his legal team has been getting ready for months on how to. respond to future Trump policies. New York Guv Kathy Hochul, a Democrat, has said she is. dealing with her chief law officer on how to secure New. Yorkers' basic freedoms and Massachusetts Attorney. General Andrea Campbell, another Democrat, has stated that she and. other attorneys general are on the cutting edge to safeguard our. basic rights and freedoms versus Trump policies.
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Stocks dip, longer-dated US yields edge up after inflation data
A gauge of worldwide stocks declined for a 2nd straight session and longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields edged up in choppy trading as investors examined the latest U.S. inflation data and the course of rate of interest from the Federal Reserve. The Labor Department stated the consumer cost index (CPI) increased 0.2% for the fourth straight month, in-line with expectations of economic experts polled . In the 12 months through October, the CPI advanced 2.6%, also matching forecasts, after climbing 2.4% in September. Treasury yields fell after the data, but reversed course somewhat to when again put pressure on equities. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 2 basis points ( bps) to 4.453% after falling as low as 4.361% after the CPI report. An excellent part of the move higher in yields shows ongoing financial resilience and strength and the view that the Fed does not require to lower rates as much as formerly believed to support what the summer looked like - a slowing economy, stated Matt Bush, US financial expert at Guggenheim Investments in New York. There's a great deal of unpredictability though around that view, particularly given the capacity for policy modifications post-election, so the marketplace today is making a lot of assumptions and what the policy mix will look like but nobody really understands where things will stand a year or two from now. On Wall Street, U.S. stocks were modestly higher as the inflation data most likely kept the Fed on track to cut interest rates in December. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 140.93 points, or 0.32%, to 44,051.91, the S&P 500 rose 17.08 points, or 0.29%, to 6,001.07 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 34.97 points, or 0.18%, to 19,316.65. MSCI's gauge of stocks around the world fell 0.81 points, or 0.09%, to 856.03, on track for a 2nd straight decrease after 5 sessions of gains. In Europe, the STOXX 600 index shut down 0.13% to a three-month low. Investors have actually gathered towards assets expected to benefit from Trump policies for his 2nd term in office, after he pledged to impose high tariffs on imports from crucial trading partners, along with lower taxes and looser federal government policies. Bitcoin, the world's biggest cryptocurrency, has soared more than 30% since the Nov. 5 election, soaring above the $ 93,000 mark to a record. Trump is seen as an advocate of cryptocurrencies, guaranteeing throughout his campaign to make the United States the crypto capital of the planet. Bitcoin was last up 3.35% to $91,279.00 The S&P 500 closed at a record on Monday, partially driven by a. dive in banks, which are most likely to gain from a. reduced regulative environment. Domestically focused small-cap. stocks have actually jumped on expectations tariffs will generate less. competition for their products and lower tax rates, with the. Russell 2000 vaulting to a three-year high on Monday. However bond yields have actually likewise risen, on issues that while. Trump's policies will spur development , they likewise might revive inflation after a long battle to. minimize rate pressures following the COVID-19 pandemic. In. addition, tariffs could result in an increase in loaning by the. government, further swelling the fiscal deficit. While expectations the Federal Reserve will continue. cutting rate of interest have actually been called back by the market over. the previous few weeks, they have become more volatile just recently. Expectations the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps at its December. conference were at 82.3%, up from 58.7% in the prior session and. just below the 84.4% seen a month back, according to CME's FedWatch Tool . Remarks from numerous Fed officials on Wednesday. showed that after a scare earlier this year that the labor. market may be cooling too quick, they are moving their attention back to inflation threats as they weigh when,. and how quick and far, to cut interest rates. The dollar index, which determines the greenback. against a basket of currencies consisting of the yen and the euro,. increased 0.46% to 106.48, with the euro down 0.56% at. $ 1.0564. The greenback is on track for a fourth straight session. of gains after hitting 106.53, its highest given that Nov. 1, 2023. Republican politicians on Wednesday clinched a bulk in the House of Representatives and with it complete control of. Congress, which would offer Trump power to advance his program of. tax cuts for businesses, workers and retirees. Early concerns are anticipated to include extending. Trump's 2017 tax cuts, funding the wall along the U.S.-Mexico. border, cutting unspent funds assigned by Democrats,. eliminating the Department of Education and curbing the powers. of agencies. Versus the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened. 0.65% to 155.60 while sterling weakened 0.29% to $1.271. The dollar strength has actually served just recently to weigh on. commodities. However, U.S. crude increased 0.68% to $68.58 a. barrel and Brent increased to $72.45 per barrel, up 0.78% on. the day on short covering after rates dropped to a two-week. low.
Asia stocks slip, bitcoin at record high as Trump trade whipsaws markets
Asian stocks tumbled on Tuesday dragged by Chinese markets and chip shares as financiers concerned about U.S. Presidentelect Donald Trump's policies, while bitcoin struck a record peak on bets on possessions that are set to benefit from the brand-new administration.
Financiers expect Trump's second four-year term in workplace will bring equities-boosting tax cuts and looser guidelines, raising the world's greatest and best-known cryptocurrency, bitcoin, to an all-time high of $89,637.
But the danger of possible tariffs from the new White House administration has actually put the euro and China's yuan under pressure. The single currency touched a near seven-month nadir of $1.0687 overnight and was last at $1.064075, while the onshore yuan slipped to an over 3-1/2- month low.
The dollar on the other hand is anticipated to take advantage of a few of the policies that will likely keep U.S. interest rates fairly higher for longer. The dollar index, which steps the greenback versus 6 peers, was at 105.59, simply shy of the 4-month high hit on Monday.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down 1.7% to its least expensive given that Sept. 25, with Taiwan shares sliding over 2% and South Korean stocks 1%. lower.
Chip stocks in the region have actually been reeling this week after. Reuters reported that the U.S. ordered Taiwan Semiconductor. Production Co to stop shipments of advanced chips. to Chinese consumers that are frequently used in AI applications.
Chinese shares slid while Hong Kong stocks tumbled 2.65%. Sentiment remained mainly downbeat after Beijing's newest. stimulus package failed to provide the direct spending targeted at. consumers that financiers have actually been anticipating.
Analysts likewise pointed to reports of Trump tapping U.S. Senator Marco Rubio to be his secretary of state, probably the. most hawkish alternative.
The market is now worrying that there will be more fast. unfavorable China policy emerging from the Trump administration. with his new cabinet picks, stated Steven Leung, executive. director of institutional sales at UOB Kay Hian in Hong Kong. Their hawkishness might be more than expected.
Futures indicate European markets are set for a lower open,. with pan-European STOXX 50 futures down 0.8%.
Data company DDHQ projected on Monday that Trump's. Republican politician Party had actually won a majority in the U.S. House of. Representatives, signalling a majority for Republicans in both. chambers of Congress.
Vasu Menon, managing director of financial investment strategy at. OCBC, stated the definitive win by Trump and the Republican party. gets rid of the overhang of an uncertain or an objected to U.S. election. outcome.
The medium-term outlook might become cloudier if Trump. pursues aggressive tariff walkings ... This might sustain inflation. ultimately and stop the Fed from cutting rates. Tariffs likewise. bring the threat of retaliation from the major trading partners.
But this is a story for another time and Trump's triumph. has actually unleashed the animal spirit in markets in the meantime, Menon stated.
Overnight, Wall Street's primary indexes notched record high. closes, with Tesla acquiring around 9% after touching $1. trillion in market value on Friday on bets that the automaker. would take advantage of CEO Elon Musk's backing of Trump.
Trump's success and the election of pro-crypto prospects to. Congress have actually supercharged a bitcoin rally to tape highs. closer to 90,000, and targeting $100,000 next. It was last at. $ 88,516.
After such an efficiency, one could ask whether the Trump. trades are already played out? Our take is 'No', as we think. these trades still have plenty more legs, stated Manish Kabra,. lead U.S. equities & & multi-asset strategist at Societe Generale. in a note.
On the macro side, investor focus will be on U.S. consumer. price inflation data on Wednesday, with a parade of Federal. Reserve speakers also due to speak this week, consisting of Fed. Chair Jerome Powell on Thursday.
Markets are pricing in 87% possibility of the Fed cutting rates. in December by 25 basis points.
In commodities, oil rates moved as China's stimulus strategy and. oversupply concerns took the wind out of markets in prior. sessions.
Brent unrefined futures was at $71.60 a barrel, down. 0.32% while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures. was 0.35% lower at $67.80 a barrel.
Area gold was 0.5% lower at $2,606 per ounce,. touching its most affordable level in a month.
(source: Reuters)