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MORNING BID EUROPE-Counting on more rate cuts

A take a look at the day ahead in European and international markets from Wayne Cole.

It's been a silently favorable start to the week for markets with China's reserve bank reducing its 14-day repo rate by 10 bps, a couple of days after frustrating markets by not cutting longer-term rates.

Analysts warned the move was just reaching an currently delivered cut to 7-day repo rates however stocks were happy for anything and added 0.6%.

Japan is on vacation however Nikkei futures are trading 740 points above the money close. Wall Street and European futures were all up between 0.2% and 0.6%.

The dollar and euro extended gains on the yen in the wake of Friday's dovish comments by the head of the Bank of Japan.

The S&P is up 1% up until now in September, historically the weakest month for stocks, and has actually gained 19% year-to-date to reach all-time highs.

More than 20 billion shares changed hands on U.S. exchanges on Friday, the busiest session since January 2021. Analysts at Bank of America noted the S&P increases an average of 21% when there is no recession in the 12 months after the start of Fed cuts.

Markets were still basking in the afterglow of the Federal Reserve's half-point rate cut, with futures suggesting a 50%. possibility it will deliver another outsized relocation in November.

At least nine Fed policy makers are speaking today,. consisting of prepared remarks from Chair Jerome Powell, two. guvs and New York Fed President John Williams.

Much will depend on what the Fed's favored inflation. gauge, core individual consumption expenses (PCE), reveals on. Friday. Experts expect a 0.2% month-on-month rise taking the. annual speed to 2.7%, while the heading index is seen slowing to. just 2.3%.

The coming week likewise consists of studies on global. manufacturing, U.S. consumer confidence and durable items.

The Swiss National Bank meets on Thursday and markets are. totally priced for a quarter-point cut to 1.0%, with a 41% chance. it will alleviate by 50 basis points.

Sweden's reserve bank meets on Wednesday and is likewise. anticipated to relieve by 25 basis points, once again with some chance it. may go larger.

One bank not reducing is the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA),. which meets on Tuesday and is considered almost specific to hold. at 4.35% as inflation shows stubborn.

Investors were also keeping a wary eye on negotiations to. prevent a U.S. government shutdown with just days before the. present $1.2 trillion in financing abandons Sept. 30. Republican U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Mike Johnson on. Sunday proposed a three-month substitute funding expense now it. has to go to vote.

Secret developments that could influence markets on Monday:

- Flash September PMIs for Europe and U.S., Chicago Fed. activity index

- Looks by European Reserve bank board member Piero. Cipollone and ECB board member Frank Elderson

- Speeches by Fed Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic,. Fed Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee and Fed Bank of. Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari

(source: Reuters)