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BMW increases third-quarter profits for cars, as EV investment ebbs
BMW, the German automaker, increased its core profit margin for the third quarter following further reductions in research and development expenditure on electric vehicles. It is banking on its all-electric series as a growth booster amid fierce competition in China. BMW reported on Wednesday that its automotive division had an operating margin in the period of July to September of 5.2%, compared with 2.3% one year ago. This is higher than the forecast of 4.9% in a poll conducted by the company. Oliver Zipse, BMW CEO, said: "In the third-quarter we have once again proven that our business model has robustness and resilience." The group continued to forecast that the margins for cars would fall between 5 and 6%. This is down from 6.3% in 2020. The group stated that the first model of the all-electric "Neue Klasse" product offensive would drive growth in 2026. However, it said that it has "transitioned", from its record investment last year in its EV Portfolio. Walter Mertl, CFO, said that "we are reaping benefits from having invested in future early. The peak is now behind us." He added that he expects further cost reductions to occur in the fourth-quarter. The group's earnings before interest and taxes were in line with the expectations, at 2.3 billion euro ($2.68 billion). This is a rise of a third on an annual basis following a poor performance in 2024's third quarter when brake problems hit sales. The group's quarterly revenues fell short of expectations by a small amount, at 32 billion euros.
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Ahold Delhaize will launch a $1.2 billion buyback program after Q3 profits beat expectations
Ahold Delhaize, a Dutch supermarket group, announced on Wednesday that it plans to buy back 1 billion euros ($1.2 billion) of shares, beginning in 2026, following its third-quarter earnings beating market expectations. Analysts polled by the company had predicted an average of 866 millions euros for the quarter. Ahold said that the strong performance in its U.S. operations, which includes Stop & Shop and Giant chains as well as Hannaford, was a major contributor to this positive result. Sales comparable in the United States excluding gasoline increased by 2.9%. Ahold earns over half its revenue in the United States. The company's financial targets for the full year include an operating margin of 4%, and at least 2,2 billion euros in free cash flow. Ahold's record-breaking sales for the first quarter 2025 may be headed into rougher waters because of rising inflation and the impending expiration of food aid programs in the U.S. "With rising prices, stagnating growth, and government policy changes, the business climate and customer climate are under pressure", said Frans Müller, CEO of Frans Muller, in a press release, pointing out price limitations in Serbia and increased VAT rates in Romania.
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Commodity stocks drag Australian shares down; banks cushion the fall
Australian shares dropped for the second consecutive session on Wednesday, as investors shifted from commodity stocks to banks in search of stability and higher returns amid the cautious policy stance of Australia's central bank. The S&P/ASX 200 Index fell 0.1%, closing at 8,802 points. This is its lowest level since September-end and it now stands 313.2 points lower than its record high of 9115.20 points hit on October 21, 2010. Fortescue fell 2.5% due to lower iron ore, and Rio Tinto too. Gold stocks fell 1.1%, as the sector that recently propelled ASX200 to record levels dropped to follow bullion's overnight decline, posting its third consecutive session of losses. Small-cap producers, like Bellevue Gold ended the day 3.1% lower while Northern Star Resources, a larger producer, lost 0.5%. Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Australia's largest lender, rose 1.3%, its highest level since mid-August. This helped limit the benchmark index's losses, and the sub-index of financials closed 0.6% higher. National Australia Bank rose 1.7%. Markets looked to stable, high-yield banks because of inflated valuations, underperformance in certain sectors, and Reserve Bank of Australia’s cautious monetary policies. Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst at KCM Trade, said that CBA shares were benefiting from the current outflow of money in other sectors. The market is experiencing a high level of anxiety. In such circumstances, bellwether bank stocks look more attractive. The technology stocks fell 2.7%, to their lowest level since mid-May. This follows Wall Street's fall amid investor fears about a bubble in the market. Megaport fell 9.7% while WiseTech Global, the sector leader, lost 1.4%. The benchmark S&P/NZX 50 Index for New Zealand closed at 13,620.98, up 0.1%.
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Gold prices rebound from near-week-lows on bargain-hunting in advance of US jobs data
Gold prices rose Wednesday as bargain-hunters stepped in following a drop to a low of nearly one week in the previous session. The focus was also placed on U.S. payroll data, which could provide clues about future interest rate reductions. Gold spot rose 0.8%, to $3.961.85 an ounce at 0346 GMT. Bullion dropped more than 1.5% Tuesday, reaching its lowest level since October 30. U.S. Gold Futures for December Delivery rose by 0.2%, to $3.970.10 an ounce. The dollar was just below the three-month highs reached in the previous session. Jigar Trivedi is a senior currency analysts at Reliance Securities. He said that the demand for safe-haven gold was due to bargain-buying and a broader risk-off mood across financial markets. Investors' concerns over stretched valuations dampened confidence in Wall Street stocks as Asian stocks continued to fall overnight. Trivedi said that gold is under pressure due to the waning expectation of a rate cut in this year. If the ADP data are on the high side, the price could drop further down to $3.900. Last week, the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered interest rates. Chair Jerome Powell said it could be the final reduction of borrowing costs this year. CME's FedWatch Tool shows that market participants see a 69% probability of a December rate cut, down from 90% before Powell's remarks. The Fed's comments have revealed different perspectives on the data gap. Investors are focused on non-official reports due in the afternoon, such as the ADP National Employment Report. Gold that does not yield tends to perform well in low interest rate environments and times of economic uncertainty. Bullion reached a record-high of $4,381.21 in October but has since fallen by about 10%. Other than that, silver spot gained 1.2%, to $46.78 per ounce. Platinum was up by 0.1%, at $1,537.10, and palladium rose 0.2%, at $1394.75. (Reporting and editing by Subhranshu sahu, Eileen Soreng and Ishaan arora)
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ConocoPhillips Begins Drilling Offshore Eastern Australia
U.S. independent ConocoPhillips began drilling its first exploration well as part of larger campaign searching for natural gas offshore eastern Australia, 3D Energi, its junior partner in the project, said on Monday.Work began over the weekend on the Essington-1 well, which will take 32 days to drill down to 2,650 metres (8,694 feet), 3D Energi said in a filing to the ASX.The well is the first in the Otway Exploration Drilling Program to develop new gas for Australia’s eastern domestic market, the company said.Eastern and southern Australia is facing supply shortfalls before the end of the decade, causing tension between gas exporters and domestic manufacturers.The campaign represents one of the first major offshore exploration campaigns in East Coast waters in almost seven years as the old fields in the Bass Strait offshore the state of Victoria run dry.Under the Otway program, Conoco will drill two wells this year, out of a total of six planned, and an option for four additional wells if needed.The tight domestic eastern gas market has been a source of political tension for many years.An "Australian Domestic Gas Mechanism" trigger was introduced in late 2017, limiting the export of spot cargoes when gas was tight from the three liquefied natural gas consortia in Queensland fed by the state’s onshore coal seam gas fields, with backup from Victorian gas supplies. ConocoPhillips is operator of one, Australia Pacific LNG.The current Labor government has considered expanding export controls since its first term in 2022. Japan has argued against controls as it is Australia’s largest LNG buyer.(Reuters - Reporting by Helen Clark; Editing by Christian Schmollinger)
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Oil prices fall amid market declines and strong dollar pressure
The oil prices fell on Wednesday as investors assessed the outlook for supply, amid a wider financial market slump and a stronger U.S. Dollar. Brent crude futures fell by 6 cents or 0.1% to $64.38 per barrel at 0408 GMT. They had previously hit a two-week low. U.S. West Texas Intermediate Crude was down 10 cents or 0.17% at $60.46. In a client note published on Wednesday, ANZ analysts noted that investors had left the energy market due to a risk-off mood across all markets. After an overnight sell-off led by tech on Wall Street, the market volatility in Asia reached levels last seen in April. The U.S. Dollar Index - which measures currency against euro, sterling, the yen, and three other counterparts - was stable at a 3-month high. This was boosted by divisions within the Federal Reserve Board, and indicates low odds of an interest rate reduction at the next policy meetings in December. The demand for oil can be affected by a stronger dollar. Demand is typically boosted by a U.S. rate cut. Tony Sycamore, IG's market analyst, said that crude oil was trading lower as the risk sentiment shifted to a negative direction, boosting the U.S. Dollar, a safe haven currency. Both factors weighed on crude oil prices. The API data on Tuesday showed that U.S. crude stocks rose during the week ending October 31. This put pressure on prices. Prices were still being affected by supply-side concerns. OPEC+ (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) and its allies, also known as OPEC, agreed to increase production by 137,000 barrels a day in December. The group decided that it would halt further increases during the first quarter 2026. The pause, however, was "unlikely" to provide meaningful support for November and December prices. LSEG analysts stated in a report. OPEC only increased its production by 30,000 bpd compared to 330,000 bpd the month before as OPEC+ agreed increases were offset due to declines in Nigeria. Libya, and Venezuela. Reporting by Colleen Liu and Siyi Liu from Singapore and Beijing; Editing by Christian Schmollinger, Christopher Cushing
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PMI data shows that growth in the UAE's non-oil sectors slowed slightly in October.
A survey on Wednesday showed that the growth in non-oil activity in the United Arab Emirates in October was less robust, and business confidence had fallen to its lowest level in almost three years. The S&P Global UAE Purchasing Managers' Index, which is adjusted for season, fell to 53.8 from 54.2 in Septembre but remained well above 50.0, the mark that indicates expansion. The growth was driven by an increase in new orders and improved economic conditions, as well as increased marketing efforts. The pace of growth in new business slowed compared to September and orders from foreign clients only increased marginally. The subindex for new orders fell from 57.2 in September to 56.0 readings in October. The employment growth rate has nearly stagnated. It is the lowest it has been since March. This partly reflected the relatively low level of confidence in business. David Owen, Senior Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said that the most recent survey showed the firms to be the least optimistic for nearly three years. "Although many companies continue to expect that the economic climate will remain favorable and that orders will support activity, concerns about market competition and their potential impact on margins remained." Input costs increased modestly in July, the slowest rate of increase since June. This helped to keep output charges steady for a second month. Dubai, the business and tourism center of the UAE, saw its headline PMI reach a high of 54.5 in nine months, driven by a stronger output and robust consumer demand. Input prices rose at the fastest rate in six months. This led firms to increase their selling prices. Hugh Lawson, Hugh Lawson (Reporting)
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Shanghai copper continues to fall as supply concerns and weakening China demand weigh
Shanghai copper prices fell for the fourth consecutive session on Wednesday. Futures hit a record low of more than a week, despite a downward revision in Codelco’s output target for 2025, which still indicated a higher supply next season. The market was also affected by a weakening Chinese demand, and the strong dollar. As of 0250 GMT, the most active copper contract at the Shanghai Futures Exchange had fallen 1.25%, to 85,350 Yuan ($11,982.31) a metric ton. Shanghai copper fell as low as 84.900 yuan per ton in the first session of this week, marking a two-week high since October 22, when it reached 84.500 yuan per ton. The benchmark copper three-month futures on the London Metal Exchange fell 0.32%, to $10629.5 per ton. Codelco in Chile, the largest copper producer in the world, has cut its output forecast for 2025, but the new target still exceeds 2024. The first nine months of this year saw an increase in output compared to the same period the previous year. Analysts at Sucden Financial stated that the forecast was higher than 2024 despite it being adjusted down. This helped ease concerns about a near-term budget deficit "that has been underpinning prices since September". Copper demand in China remained weak, due to high copper prices. The Yangshan Copper Premium The, which measures China's appetite to import copper, was at $35 per ton on Monday, down from the $58 it had been in late September, and a significant drop from over $100 in May. The U.S. Dollar remained strong and weighed on the copper price, although it did ease slightly on Wednesday. The strong dollar makes commodities that are traded in dollars more expensive to investors who use other currencies. Aluminium fell 0.98% among the SHFE base metals. Zinc dropped 0.55%. Nickel tumbled 0.96%. Tin shed 1.24%. Lead was the only one to gain 0.32%. Wednesday, November 5 DATA/EVENTS (GMT) 0700 Germany Industrial Orders MM Sep 0700 Germany Manufacturing O/P Cur Price SA Sep 0700 German Consumer Goods SA Sep 0850 France HCOB Services, Composite Final PMI Oct 0855 Germany HCOB Services, Composite Final PMI Oct 0900 EU HCOB Services, Composite Final PMI Oct 0930 UK S&P GLOBALPMI: COMPOSITE - OUTPUT Oct 0930 UK Reserve Assets Total October 1400 Wednesday, November 5, DATA/EVENTS, GMT 0700 Germany Industrial orders MM Sep 0700 Germany Manufacturers O/P Cur Price SA Sept 0700 Germany Consumer Goods SA September 0850 France HCOB Services Composite Final PMI October 0855 Germany HCOB Services Composite Final pmI Oct 0900 EU HCOB Services Composite Final pmI Oct 0930 UK S&P GLOBALPMI: COMPOSITE OUTPUT Oct 930 UK Reserve Assets total Oct 1400 US S&P Global Comp
OPEC+ bets the robust petroleum demand forecast is ideal: Russell
The OPEC+. choice to extend crude oil production cuts is an. acknowledgment that require growth is still unsure, but likewise. that the group remains hopeful its bullish scenario is appropriate.
The Company of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). and its allies including Russia, concurred at a meeting on Sunday. to extend the overall of 5.86 million barrels per day (bpd) of. output decreases.
Within that more comprehensive figure the exporter group chose to. extend 3.66 million bpd of cuts that were due to expire at the. end of June 2024 till completion of next year.
Additional voluntary decreases of 2.2 million bpd by 8. members, consisting of leading exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia,. were prolonged by three months to the end of September.
Putting the extension of the larger section of the output. cuts together with the possible rolling back of the smaller sized. voluntary reductions shows OPEC+ is successfully betting that oil. demand is going to be more powerful in the second half of 2024.
Keeping the 3.66 million bpd of cuts up until the end of 2025. is a reflection that OPEC+ holds much of the world's spare. production capability, however also that supply development from outdoors. the group has actually sufficed to fulfill the boost in worldwide need.
Preparation on phasing out the additional 2.2 million bpd of. voluntary cuts in the 4th quarter is the hope that the OPEC. forecast for international need growth of 2.25 million bpd is going. to end up being on the money.
It might be a coincidence that the OPEC forecast for world. need growth nearly exactly matches the OPEC+ voluntary. production cuts.
But if the OPEC price quote shows precise, it indicates that. oil rates will a minimum of stay at present levels while allowing. the eight OPEC+ members based on the voluntary cuts to. increase their output and make more money.
Nevertheless, the danger for OPEC+ is that world need development. dissatisfies in the middle of continuous tighter monetary policy to fight. sticky inflation, continuing geopolitical conflicts and. uncertainty surrounding the U.S. governmental election in. November.
OPEC+ is probably also concerned about the state of demand. development in Asia, the top-consuming area and the engine space of. its projection for worldwide growth of 2.25 million bpd this year.
The May regular monthly outlook from OPEC approximated overall Asian. need growth of 1.27 million bpd in 2024.
If that projection is to be realised it would recommend that. Asia's imports would be rising highly, but so far in 2024 they. have not.
SOFT ASIA
Asia's unrefined imports for the first five months of the year. were 27.19 million bpd, up a simple 100,000 bpd from the exact same. period in 2023, according to data put together by LSEG Oil Research Study.
This indicates that Asia's need for oil is going to need to. rise in the 2nd half of the year for OPEC's optimism to. show right.
The question for the marketplace is whether a strong recovery in. demand is most likely in Asia.
The response is that much will depend upon what happens in. China, the world's second-biggest economy and likewise the biggest. crude importer.
Economic signals from China have actually been somewhat blended, with. the home sector having a hard time to recuperate and unequal results. from manufacturing and consumer spending.
For petroleum, China's imports have actually been soft, and may even. reveal a year-on-year decrease for the very first five months.
Taking main customizeds data for the very first four months of. 2024 and including LSEG's forecast for May imports gives a figure. of 10.97 million bpd for the first five months of the year,. which is 210,000 bpd below the custom-mades variety of 11.18 million. bpd for the exact same period in 2023.
It's possible that China's crude oil imports will rebound in. the second half, particularly if Beijing's stimulus measures begin. to bear fruit.
If this holds true then OPEC+ can wind back the voluntary. 2.2 million bpd of output cuts.
But if China, and the rest of Asia, stays soft for crude. imports, then OPEC+ has the versatility to keep the additional. limitations in location.
OPEC+ most likely wants to keep crude oil prices above $80 a. barrel and most likely closer to $90, and the current Brent. futures rate of $80.78 is no doubt a concern.
It may be helpful for the group to think about if utilizing their. market muscle and normally low production expenses to pump more. oil and enable the rate to drop to closer to $60 would serve. them much better.
This would enable a quicker reducing of monetary policy around. the world by cutting inflation, while at the exact same time putting. pressure on high-cost manufacturers, such as U.S. shale oil.
The viewpoints revealed here are those of the author, a columnist. .
(source: Reuters)